For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 4.5 | 14.45 | 1.82 | 1.53 | 67 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 4.0 | 12.73 | 1.97 | 2.51 | 22 | 40 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Monolith 1 | 2.5 | 10.66 | 2.16 | 4.03 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | chess22k 1.12 | 3.5 | 10.65 | 2.15 | 4.04 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 5 | Marvin 20190228 | 2.5 | 8.69 | 2.06 | 5.75 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 12 | 7 |
| 6 | Wasp 3.59 | 2.5 | 8.54 | 2.09 | 5.88 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 8 |
| 7 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 2.5 | 8.25 | 2.03 | 6.13 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 9 |
| 8 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 1.0 | 6.87 | 2.21 | 7.34 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 21 | 23 |
| 9 | Gaviota 1.01 | 1.0 | 6.00 | 1.53 | 8.18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 38 |
| 10 | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.0 | 3.16 | 1.92 | 9.62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 65.605% | 21.278% | 86.883% | 7.943% | 3.066% | 2.108% | 1.316% | 0.516% | 0.219% | 0.053% | 0.002% | 0.002% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 22.130% | 38.773% | 60.903% | 19.368% | 10.025% | 9.704% | 5.313% | 2.605% | 1.204% | 0.435% | 0.139% | 0.008% | |||||
| 3. | Monolith 1 | 5.897% | 14.832% | 20.729% | 23.409% | 20.087% | 35.775% | 14.460% | 9.799% | 6.302% | 3.404% | 1.488% | 0.322% | |||||
| 4. | chess22k 1.12 | 4.355% | 14.125% | 18.480% | 21.135% | 19.811% | 40.574% | 15.483% | 11.405% | 7.575% | 4.135% | 1.797% | 0.179% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.674% | 3.861% | 4.535% | 9.250% | 14.421% | 71.794% | 18.032% | 17.978% | 15.408% | 11.564% | 7.505% | 1.307% | |||||
| 6. | Wasp 3.59 | 0.619% | 3.737% | 4.356% | 8.642% | 13.382% | 73.620% | 16.813% | 17.620% | 16.026% | 13.013% | 8.517% | 1.631% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.519% | 2.409% | 2.928% | 6.898% | 12.202% | 77.972% | 15.609% | 18.056% | 17.973% | 15.121% | 9.516% | 1.697% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.199% | 0.935% | 1.134% | 3.074% | 5.865% | 89.927% | 9.227% | 12.878% | 16.335% | 19.300% | 22.273% | 9.914% | |||||
| 9. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.001% | 0.030% | 0.031% | 0.211% | 0.911% | 98.847% | 3.137% | 7.826% | 16.067% | 26.858% | 34.567% | 10.392% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.001% | 0.020% | 0.021% | 0.070% | 0.230% | 99.679% | 0.610% | 1.317% | 2.891% | 6.117% | 14.196% | 74.548% |
Speculate Monolith 1 – Jumbo 0.6.99.2 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 64.149% | 21.985% | 86.134% | 8.548% | 3.272% | 2.046% | 1.290% | 0.506% | 0.170% | 0.061% | 0.017% | 0.002% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 22.828% | 37.813% | 60.641% | 19.614% | 10.149% | 9.596% | 5.259% | 2.684% | 1.128% | 0.398% | 0.120% | 0.007% | |||||
| 3. | Monolith 1 | 7.260% | 17.794% | 25.054% | 27.396% | 21.079% | 26.471% | 13.280% | 7.603% | 3.601% | 1.470% | 0.464% | 0.053% | |||||
| 4. | chess22k 1.12 | 3.989% | 12.851% | 16.840% | 19.919% | 20.972% | 42.269% | 16.658% | 11.906% | 7.674% | 4.192% | 1.660% | 0.179% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.604% | 3.627% | 4.231% | 8.571% | 14.513% | 72.685% | 18.469% | 18.901% | 15.870% | 11.259% | 6.930% | 1.256% | |||||
| 6. | Wasp 3.59 | 0.597% | 3.448% | 4.045% | 8.160% | 13.614% | 74.181% | 17.801% | 18.699% | 15.993% | 12.333% | 7.953% | 1.402% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.519% | 2.200% | 2.719% | 6.429% | 11.937% | 78.915% | 16.721% | 18.573% | 18.719% | 14.356% | 8.880% | 1.666% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.051% | 0.246% | 0.297% | 1.146% | 3.272% | 95.285% | 6.710% | 11.388% | 16.447% | 21.257% | 26.960% | 12.523% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.003% | 0.010% | 0.013% | 0.057% | 0.243% | 99.687% | 0.584% | 1.408% | 3.161% | 6.478% | 15.036% | 73.020% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.026% | 0.026% | 0.160% | 0.949% | 98.865% | 3.228% | 8.332% | 17.237% | 28.196% | 31.980% | 9.892% |
Speculate Monolith 1 – Jumbo 0.6.99.2 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 67.082% | 21.122% | 88.204% | 6.976% | 2.752% | 2.068% | 1.200% | 0.557% | 0.215% | 0.079% | 0.016% | 0.001% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 22.773% | 40.597% | 63.370% | 18.206% | 9.241% | 9.183% | 4.771% | 2.535% | 1.238% | 0.490% | 0.134% | 0.015% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 5.006% | 16.251% | 21.257% | 23.481% | 18.312% | 36.950% | 13.772% | 10.324% | 6.920% | 4.059% | 1.682% | 0.193% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 2.910% | 9.956% | 12.866% | 20.199% | 21.006% | 45.929% | 17.166% | 12.999% | 8.612% | 4.874% | 1.940% | 0.338% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.745% | 4.310% | 5.055% | 9.965% | 14.286% | 70.694% | 16.775% | 17.052% | 15.177% | 12.220% | 8.028% | 1.442% | |||||
| 6. | Wasp 3.59 | 0.680% | 4.047% | 4.727% | 9.564% | 13.706% | 72.003% | 15.980% | 16.434% | 15.548% | 13.540% | 8.880% | 1.621% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.611% | 2.588% | 3.199% | 7.530% | 11.882% | 77.389% | 15.146% | 16.521% | 17.461% | 15.854% | 10.506% | 1.901% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.192% | 1.091% | 1.283% | 3.822% | 7.743% | 87.152% | 11.831% | 15.627% | 18.711% | 18.880% | 16.577% | 5.526% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.001% | 0.018% | 0.019% | 0.083% | 0.274% | 99.624% | 0.684% | 1.309% | 2.696% | 5.452% | 13.179% | 76.304% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.020% | 0.020% | 0.174% | 0.798% | 99.008% | 2.675% | 6.642% | 13.422% | 24.552% | 39.058% | 12.659% |
Speculate Monolith 1 – Jumbo 0.6.99.2 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 67.637% | 21.359% | 88.996% | 6.420% | 2.523% | 2.061% | 1.180% | 0.568% | 0.224% | 0.069% | 0.019% | 0.001% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 22.464% | 40.686% | 63.150% | 18.425% | 8.941% | 9.484% | 4.738% | 2.622% | 1.372% | 0.552% | 0.183% | 0.017% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 5.769% | 17.962% | 23.731% | 24.953% | 17.086% | 34.230% | 12.307% | 9.364% | 6.665% | 4.102% | 1.619% | 0.173% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 1.423% | 5.513% | 6.936% | 13.052% | 17.101% | 62.911% | 17.599% | 16.151% | 13.786% | 9.768% | 4.552% | 1.055% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.733% | 4.542% | 5.275% | 10.713% | 14.076% | 69.936% | 16.010% | 16.105% | 15.253% | 12.687% | 8.387% | 1.494% | |||||
| 6. | Wasp 3.59 | 0.721% | 4.346% | 5.067% | 9.794% | 14.079% | 71.060% | 15.175% | 15.613% | 15.496% | 13.962% | 9.134% | 1.680% | |||||
| 7. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.643% | 2.893% | 3.536% | 8.615% | 13.554% | 74.295% | 15.608% | 16.661% | 16.178% | 13.779% | 9.439% | 2.630% | |||||
| 8. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.609% | 2.665% | 3.274% | 7.751% | 11.585% | 77.390% | 14.503% | 16.125% | 16.997% | 16.693% | 11.068% | 2.004% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.001% | 0.008% | 0.009% | 0.093% | 0.294% | 99.604% | 0.658% | 1.293% | 2.534% | 5.331% | 13.120% | 76.668% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.026% | 0.026% | 0.184% | 0.761% | 99.029% | 2.222% | 5.498% | 11.495% | 23.057% | 42.479% | 14.278% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.18h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-11 23:35 | 26 | Gaviota 1.01 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 00:46 | 27 | Bagatur 1.5f | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 01:57 | 28 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 03:08 | 29 | Wasp 3.59 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 04:19 | 30 | chess22k 1.12 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 05:30 | 31 | Marvin 20190228 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 06:41 | 32 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 07:52 | 33 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 09:03 | 34 | Monolith 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 10:14 | 35 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 11:25 | 36 | Gaviota 1.01 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 12:36 | 37 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 13:47 | 38 | Wasp 3.59 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 14:58 | 39 | chess22k 1.12 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 16:09 | 40 | Marvin 20190228 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 17:20 | 41 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 18:31 | 42 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 19:42 | 43 | Monolith 1 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 20:53 | 44 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 22:04 | 45 | Bagatur 1.5f | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 23:15 | 46 | Gaviota 1.01 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 00:26 | 47 | Bagatur 1.5f | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 01:37 | 48 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 02:48 | 49 | Monolith 1 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 03:59 | 50 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 05:10 | 51 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 06:21 | 52 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 07:32 | 53 | Marvin 20190228 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 08:43 | 54 | chess22k 1.12 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 09:54 | 55 | Wasp 3.59 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 11:05 | 56 | Gaviota 1.01 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 12:16 | 57 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 13:27 | 58 | Bagatur 1.5f | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 14:38 | 59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 15:49 | 60 | Monolith 1 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 17:00 | 61 | Monolith 1 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 18:11 | 62 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 19:22 | 63 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 20:33 | 64 | Marvin 20190228 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 21:44 | 65 | chess22k 1.12 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 22:55 | 66 | Gaviota 1.01 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 00:06 | 67 | Wasp 3.59 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 01:17 | 68 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 02:28 | 69 | Bagatur 1.5f | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 03:39 | 70 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 04:50 | 71 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 06:01 | 72 | Monolith 1 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-14 07:12 | 73 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 08:23 | 74 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 09:34 | 75 | Marvin 20190228 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 10:45 | 76 | Gaviota 1.01 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 11:56 | 77 | chess22k 1.12 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 13:07 | 78 | Wasp 3.59 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 14:18 | 79 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 15:29 | 80 | Bagatur 1.5f | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 16:40 | 81 | Bagatur 1.5f | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 17:51 | 82 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 19:02 | 83 | Monolith 1 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 20:13 | 84 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 21:24 | 85 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 22:35 | 86 | Gaviota 1.01 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 23:46 | 87 | Marvin 20190228 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-15 00:57 | 88 | chess22k 1.12 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-15 02:08 | 89 | Wasp 3.59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-15 03:19 | 90 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Bagatur 1.5f |