For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wasp 3.59 | 1.0 | 11.85 | 2.92 | 3.40 | 24 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | chess22k 1.12 | 1.0 | 11.83 | 2.93 | 3.42 | 24 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | Monolith 1 | 0.5 | 11.21 | 2.79 | 3.83 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 4 | Marvin 20190228 | 0.5 | 10.96 | 2.82 | 4.03 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| 5 | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.0 | 9.48 | 3.07 | 5.14 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 5 |
| 6 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.0 | 9.46 | 3.07 | 5.15 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 5 |
| 7 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 1.0 | 8.04 | 3.60 | 6.21 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 11 |
| 8 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 1.0 | 7.76 | 3.24 | 6.44 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 12 |
| 9 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.5 | 5.00 | 2.35 | 8.43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 26 |
| 10 | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.5 | 4.41 | 1.58 | 8.95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 35 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | chess22k 1.12 | 23.747% | 18.092% | 41.839% | 15.241% | 13.036% | 29.884% | 10.703% | 8.287% | 5.549% | 3.166% | 1.481% | 0.698% | |||||
| 2. | Wasp 3.59 | 23.510% | 18.240% | 41.750% | 15.258% | 12.968% | 30.024% | 10.745% | 8.226% | 5.704% | 3.228% | 1.453% | 0.668% | |||||
| 3. | Monolith 1 | 15.640% | 16.911% | 32.551% | 16.410% | 14.848% | 36.191% | 12.770% | 9.993% | 7.018% | 3.853% | 1.756% | 0.801% | |||||
| 4. | Marvin 20190228 | 13.387% | 15.550% | 28.937% | 15.915% | 15.102% | 40.046% | 13.596% | 11.270% | 7.762% | 4.381% | 2.073% | 0.964% | |||||
| 5. | Bagatur 1.5f | 6.862% | 9.654% | 16.516% | 11.333% | 12.925% | 59.226% | 14.088% | 14.227% | 12.740% | 8.872% | 5.440% | 3.859% | |||||
| 6. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 6.848% | 9.701% | 16.549% | 11.688% | 13.044% | 58.719% | 14.106% | 14.255% | 12.377% | 8.847% | 5.370% | 3.764% | |||||
| 7. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 6.202% | 6.503% | 12.705% | 7.032% | 8.208% | 72.055% | 9.714% | 11.595% | 13.910% | 14.012% | 11.034% | 11.790% | |||||
| 8. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 3.677% | 5.006% | 8.683% | 6.215% | 7.905% | 77.197% | 10.271% | 13.130% | 15.618% | 15.449% | 11.785% | 10.944% | |||||
| 9. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.127% | 0.338% | 0.465% | 0.886% | 1.826% | 96.823% | 3.397% | 6.572% | 11.551% | 18.745% | 25.043% | 31.515% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.005% | 0.005% | 0.022% | 0.138% | 99.835% | 0.610% | 2.445% | 7.771% | 19.447% | 34.565% | 34.997% |
Speculate Monolith 1 – AllieStein v0.1-n4 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | chess22k 1.12 | 24.846% | 18.126% | 42.972% | 14.739% | 12.452% | 29.837% | 10.428% | 8.073% | 5.681% | 3.335% | 1.611% | 0.709% | |||||
| 2. | Wasp 3.59 | 24.719% | 18.495% | 43.214% | 14.867% | 12.309% | 29.610% | 10.398% | 7.951% | 5.654% | 3.313% | 1.592% | 0.702% | |||||
| 3. | Monolith 1 | 14.016% | 17.350% | 31.366% | 17.890% | 16.410% | 34.334% | 13.345% | 10.050% | 6.207% | 3.169% | 1.171% | 0.392% | |||||
| 4. | Marvin 20190228 | 12.972% | 14.208% | 27.180% | 14.234% | 13.787% | 44.799% | 13.016% | 11.495% | 9.184% | 6.030% | 3.233% | 1.841% | |||||
| 5. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 7.153% | 9.942% | 17.095% | 11.657% | 12.749% | 58.499% | 13.414% | 13.687% | 12.347% | 9.397% | 5.656% | 3.998% | |||||
| 6. | Bagatur 1.5f | 6.949% | 10.196% | 17.145% | 11.741% | 12.673% | 58.441% | 13.624% | 13.595% | 12.471% | 9.100% | 5.710% | 3.941% | |||||
| 7. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 6.605% | 6.572% | 13.177% | 7.074% | 8.022% | 71.727% | 9.370% | 11.167% | 13.138% | 14.206% | 11.671% | 12.175% | |||||
| 8. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 2.557% | 4.585% | 7.142% | 6.661% | 9.399% | 76.798% | 12.115% | 15.483% | 17.351% | 15.666% | 9.829% | 6.354% | |||||
| 9. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.181% | 0.526% | 0.707% | 1.110% | 2.070% | 96.113% | 3.731% | 6.372% | 11.089% | 17.885% | 24.145% | 32.891% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.002% | 0.002% | 0.027% | 0.129% | 99.842% | 0.559% | 2.127% | 6.878% | 17.899% | 35.382% | 36.997% |
Speculate Monolith 1 – AllieStein v0.1-n4 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Wasp 3.59 | 31.457% | 21.908% | 53.365% | 15.326% | 10.885% | 20.424% | 7.559% | 5.359% | 3.579% | 2.189% | 1.144% | 0.594% | |||||
| 2. | chess22k 1.12 | 31.388% | 21.682% | 53.070% | 15.452% | 11.031% | 20.447% | 7.565% | 5.397% | 3.506% | 2.095% | 1.235% | 0.649% | |||||
| 3. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 9.573% | 13.957% | 23.530% | 15.235% | 14.435% | 46.800% | 12.671% | 10.656% | 8.786% | 6.617% | 4.633% | 3.437% | |||||
| 4. | Bagatur 1.5f | 9.470% | 14.105% | 23.575% | 15.045% | 14.140% | 47.240% | 12.581% | 10.973% | 8.784% | 6.808% | 4.568% | 3.526% | |||||
| 5. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 8.421% | 9.065% | 17.486% | 9.382% | 9.986% | 63.146% | 10.071% | 10.248% | 10.692% | 10.916% | 9.791% | 11.428% | |||||
| 6. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 4.072% | 7.774% | 11.846% | 11.091% | 13.587% | 63.476% | 15.310% | 15.028% | 13.301% | 10.187% | 6.239% | 3.411% | |||||
| 7. | Marvin 20190228 | 3.403% | 5.930% | 9.333% | 8.209% | 10.345% | 72.113% | 11.960% | 13.122% | 13.408% | 12.708% | 10.645% | 10.270% | |||||
| 8. | Monolith 1 | 1.884% | 4.597% | 6.481% | 8.096% | 11.623% | 73.800% | 15.191% | 16.689% | 16.297% | 12.434% | 8.220% | 4.969% | |||||
| 9. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.332% | 0.968% | 1.300% | 2.068% | 3.549% | 93.083% | 5.636% | 8.348% | 11.743% | 16.322% | 20.881% | 30.153% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.014% | 0.014% | 0.096% | 0.419% | 99.471% | 1.456% | 4.180% | 9.904% | 19.724% | 32.644% | 31.563% |
Speculate Monolith 1 – AllieStein v0.1-n4 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Wasp 3.59 | 32.276% | 23.322% | 55.598% | 16.551% | 11.540% | 16.311% | 7.450% | 4.405% | 2.343% | 1.149% | 0.655% | 0.309% | |||||
| 2. | chess22k 1.12 | 32.052% | 23.460% | 55.512% | 16.831% | 11.636% | 16.021% | 7.391% | 4.354% | 2.192% | 1.179% | 0.631% | 0.274% | |||||
| 3. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 9.687% | 15.002% | 24.689% | 17.327% | 17.041% | 40.943% | 14.475% | 10.530% | 6.627% | 4.218% | 3.061% | 2.032% | |||||
| 4. | Bagatur 1.5f | 9.625% | 15.152% | 24.777% | 17.374% | 17.085% | 40.764% | 14.407% | 10.565% | 6.608% | 4.256% | 2.929% | 1.999% | |||||
| 5. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 8.695% | 9.532% | 18.227% | 10.940% | 11.868% | 58.965% | 12.845% | 12.257% | 10.136% | 8.276% | 7.309% | 8.142% | |||||
| 6. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 6.631% | 10.514% | 17.145% | 14.041% | 17.129% | 51.685% | 17.695% | 14.474% | 8.966% | 5.612% | 3.405% | 1.533% | |||||
| 7. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.539% | 1.355% | 1.894% | 2.663% | 4.565% | 90.878% | 7.429% | 10.597% | 13.474% | 14.679% | 18.144% | 26.555% | |||||
| 8. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.354% | 1.121% | 1.475% | 2.710% | 5.077% | 90.738% | 8.582% | 12.700% | 15.847% | 16.662% | 17.138% | 19.809% | |||||
| 9. | Monolith 1 | 0.139% | 0.522% | 0.661% | 1.377% | 3.053% | 94.909% | 6.151% | 10.805% | 15.376% | 18.029% | 21.268% | 23.280% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.002% | 0.020% | 0.022% | 0.186% | 1.006% | 98.786% | 3.575% | 9.313% | 18.431% | 25.940% | 25.460% | 16.067% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.05h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-11 01:19 | 8 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-11 02:22 | 9 | Bagatur 1.5f | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-11 03:25 | 10 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-11 04:28 | 11 | Wasp 3.59 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-11 05:31 | 12 | chess22k 1.12 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-11 06:34 | 13 | Marvin 20190228 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-11 07:37 | 14 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 08:39 | 15 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 09:42 | 16 | Gaviota 1.01 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 10:45 | 17 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-11 11:48 | 18 | Bagatur 1.5f | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-11 12:51 | 19 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-11 13:54 | 20 | Wasp 3.59 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-11 14:57 | 21 | chess22k 1.12 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-11 15:59 | 22 | Marvin 20190228 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-11 17:02 | 23 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-11 18:05 | 24 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-11 19:08 | 25 | Monolith 1 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 20:11 | 26 | Gaviota 1.01 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 21:14 | 27 | Bagatur 1.5f | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 22:17 | 28 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-11 23:19 | 29 | Wasp 3.59 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 00:22 | 30 | chess22k 1.12 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 01:25 | 31 | Marvin 20190228 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 02:28 | 32 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 03:31 | 33 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 04:34 | 34 | Monolith 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 05:37 | 35 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 06:39 | 36 | Gaviota 1.01 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 07:42 | 37 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 08:45 | 38 | Wasp 3.59 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 09:48 | 39 | chess22k 1.12 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 10:51 | 40 | Marvin 20190228 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 11:54 | 41 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 12:57 | 42 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 13:59 | 43 | Monolith 1 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 15:02 | 44 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 16:05 | 45 | Bagatur 1.5f | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 17:08 | 46 | Gaviota 1.01 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 18:11 | 47 | Bagatur 1.5f | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 19:14 | 48 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 20:16 | 49 | Monolith 1 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 21:19 | 50 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 22:22 | 51 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 23:25 | 52 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 00:28 | 53 | Marvin 20190228 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 01:31 | 54 | chess22k 1.12 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 02:34 | 55 | Wasp 3.59 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 03:36 | 56 | Gaviota 1.01 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 04:39 | 57 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 05:42 | 58 | Bagatur 1.5f | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 06:45 | 59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 07:48 | 60 | Monolith 1 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 08:51 | 61 | Monolith 1 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 09:54 | 62 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 10:56 | 63 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 11:59 | 64 | Marvin 20190228 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 13:02 | 65 | chess22k 1.12 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 14:05 | 66 | Gaviota 1.01 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 15:08 | 67 | Wasp 3.59 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 16:11 | 68 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 17:14 | 69 | Bagatur 1.5f | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 18:16 | 70 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 19:19 | 71 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 20:22 | 72 | Monolith 1 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 21:25 | 73 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 22:28 | 74 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 23:31 | 75 | Marvin 20190228 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 00:34 | 76 | Gaviota 1.01 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 01:36 | 77 | chess22k 1.12 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 02:39 | 78 | Wasp 3.59 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 03:42 | 79 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 04:45 | 80 | Bagatur 1.5f | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 05:48 | 81 | Bagatur 1.5f | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 06:51 | 82 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 07:54 | 83 | Monolith 1 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 08:56 | 84 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 09:59 | 85 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 11:02 | 86 | Gaviota 1.01 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 12:05 | 87 | Marvin 20190228 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 13:08 | 88 | chess22k 1.12 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 14:11 | 89 | Wasp 3.59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 15:13 | 90 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Bagatur 1.5f |