For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | chess22k 1.12 | 1.0 | 12.50 | 2.87 | 2.87 | 32 | 22 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | Wasp 3.59 | 1.0 | 12.50 | 2.86 | 2.88 | 32 | 22 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.0 | 10.12 | 3.06 | 4.57 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 4 |
| 4 | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.0 | 10.12 | 3.06 | 4.57 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 4 |
| 5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 1.5 | 9.06 | 2.72 | 5.39 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 6 |
| 6 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 1.0 | 8.64 | 3.69 | 5.76 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 7 | Monolith 1 | 1.0 | 8.38 | 2.52 | 5.95 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 8 |
| 8 | Marvin 20190228 | 0.5 | 8.12 | 3.08 | 6.15 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 10 |
| 9 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.5 | 5.60 | 2.59 | 8.09 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 21 |
| 10 | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.5 | 4.95 | 1.65 | 8.77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 34 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | chess22k 1.12 | 31.360% | 22.167% | 53.527% | 15.527% | 10.819% | 20.127% | 7.551% | 5.191% | 3.563% | 2.094% | 1.143% | 0.585% | |||||
| 2. | Wasp 3.59 | 31.314% | 21.794% | 53.108% | 15.420% | 10.837% | 20.635% | 7.591% | 5.429% | 3.636% | 2.197% | 1.165% | 0.617% | |||||
| 3. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 9.726% | 13.998% | 23.724% | 15.182% | 14.391% | 46.703% | 12.515% | 10.737% | 8.826% | 6.671% | 4.469% | 3.485% | |||||
| 4. | Bagatur 1.5f | 9.536% | 14.101% | 23.637% | 15.127% | 14.355% | 46.881% | 12.568% | 10.734% | 8.811% | 6.627% | 4.583% | 3.558% | |||||
| 5. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 8.273% | 8.901% | 17.174% | 9.374% | 9.753% | 63.699% | 10.131% | 10.465% | 10.667% | 10.898% | 9.982% | 11.556% | |||||
| 6. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 4.179% | 7.503% | 11.682% | 10.963% | 13.520% | 63.835% | 15.351% | 15.147% | 13.558% | 9.923% | 6.357% | 3.499% | |||||
| 7. | Marvin 20190228 | 3.472% | 5.949% | 9.421% | 8.264% | 10.467% | 71.848% | 11.988% | 13.042% | 13.309% | 12.661% | 10.608% | 10.240% | |||||
| 8. | Monolith 1 | 1.794% | 4.513% | 6.307% | 8.029% | 11.897% | 73.767% | 15.011% | 16.708% | 16.005% | 12.656% | 8.330% | 5.057% | |||||
| 9. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.345% | 1.058% | 1.403% | 2.008% | 3.524% | 93.065% | 5.788% | 8.398% | 11.773% | 16.190% | 20.578% | 30.338% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.001% | 0.016% | 0.017% | 0.106% | 0.437% | 99.440% | 1.506% | 4.149% | 9.852% | 20.083% | 32.785% | 31.065% |
Speculate Jumbo 0.6.99.2 – Marvin 20190228 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | chess22k 1.12 | 39.650% | 21.235% | 60.885% | 13.474% | 8.936% | 16.705% | 6.061% | 4.332% | 2.812% | 1.862% | 1.040% | 0.598% | |||||
| 2. | Wasp 3.59 | 28.018% | 23.332% | 51.350% | 16.156% | 11.393% | 21.101% | 7.969% | 5.462% | 3.647% | 2.125% | 1.245% | 0.653% | |||||
| 3. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 9.757% | 17.573% | 27.330% | 19.039% | 16.888% | 36.743% | 13.184% | 9.665% | 6.627% | 4.043% | 2.181% | 1.043% | |||||
| 4. | Bagatur 1.5f | 8.211% | 13.436% | 21.647% | 15.372% | 14.662% | 48.319% | 13.053% | 11.205% | 8.986% | 6.814% | 4.717% | 3.544% | |||||
| 5. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 7.647% | 8.585% | 16.232% | 9.224% | 9.958% | 64.586% | 10.349% | 10.347% | 10.835% | 11.218% | 10.068% | 11.769% | |||||
| 6. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 3.496% | 7.173% | 10.669% | 10.719% | 13.787% | 64.825% | 15.253% | 15.274% | 13.552% | 10.384% | 6.707% | 3.655% | |||||
| 7. | Monolith 1 | 1.710% | 4.515% | 6.225% | 7.802% | 11.425% | 74.548% | 14.615% | 16.600% | 16.338% | 12.649% | 8.719% | 5.627% | |||||
| 8. | Marvin 20190228 | 1.244% | 3.230% | 4.474% | 6.159% | 9.144% | 80.223% | 12.552% | 14.943% | 16.187% | 14.996% | 11.732% | 9.813% | |||||
| 9. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.267% | 0.905% | 1.172% | 1.965% | 3.446% | 93.417% | 5.604% | 8.263% | 11.632% | 16.282% | 20.716% | 30.920% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.016% | 0.016% | 0.090% | 0.361% | 99.533% | 1.360% | 3.909% | 9.384% | 19.627% | 32.875% | 32.378% |
Speculate Jumbo 0.6.99.2 – Marvin 20190228 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Wasp 3.59 | 41.791% | 21.858% | 63.649% | 12.675% | 8.269% | 15.407% | 5.544% | 3.972% | 2.739% | 1.677% | 0.935% | 0.540% | |||||
| 2. | chess22k 1.12 | 18.299% | 16.960% | 35.259% | 14.439% | 11.735% | 38.567% | 9.747% | 8.396% | 6.884% | 5.421% | 4.471% | 3.648% | |||||
| 3. | Bagatur 1.5f | 13.479% | 18.796% | 32.275% | 16.260% | 13.009% | 38.456% | 10.564% | 8.539% | 6.912% | 5.308% | 3.976% | 3.157% | |||||
| 4. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 11.350% | 11.059% | 22.409% | 10.688% | 9.725% | 57.178% | 9.455% | 9.198% | 9.228% | 9.277% | 8.836% | 11.184% | |||||
| 5. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 6.488% | 11.213% | 17.701% | 13.929% | 14.737% | 53.633% | 13.810% | 12.193% | 10.577% | 8.128% | 5.616% | 3.309% | |||||
| 6. | Monolith 1 | 3.486% | 7.545% | 11.031% | 11.465% | 13.823% | 63.681% | 14.683% | 14.233% | 12.486% | 10.087% | 7.183% | 5.009% | |||||
| 7. | Marvin 20190228 | 2.840% | 6.505% | 9.345% | 9.763% | 12.429% | 68.463% | 14.176% | 14.739% | 13.564% | 11.332% | 8.381% | 6.271% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 1.672% | 4.318% | 5.990% | 7.349% | 10.450% | 76.211% | 12.755% | 14.022% | 14.357% | 13.575% | 11.553% | 9.949% | |||||
| 9. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.590% | 1.694% | 2.284% | 3.165% | 4.870% | 89.681% | 6.775% | 8.991% | 11.545% | 14.833% | 18.731% | 28.806% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.005% | 0.052% | 0.057% | 0.267% | 0.953% | 98.723% | 2.491% | 5.717% | 11.708% | 20.362% | 30.318% | 28.127% |
Speculate Jumbo 0.6.99.2 – Marvin 20190228 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Wasp 3.59 | 47.249% | 21.378% | 68.627% | 11.913% | 7.691% | 11.769% | 4.835% | 3.023% | 1.850% | 1.150% | 0.642% | 0.269% | |||||
| 2. | Bagatur 1.5f | 15.467% | 21.941% | 37.408% | 17.071% | 13.085% | 32.436% | 10.239% | 7.855% | 5.676% | 4.004% | 2.828% | 1.834% | |||||
| 3. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 12.872% | 12.595% | 25.467% | 11.878% | 10.804% | 51.851% | 10.174% | 9.533% | 8.961% | 7.859% | 7.491% | 7.833% | |||||
| 4. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 7.968% | 13.421% | 21.389% | 16.317% | 16.214% | 46.080% | 14.433% | 11.957% | 8.577% | 5.659% | 3.660% | 1.794% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 5.550% | 10.209% | 15.759% | 13.557% | 14.975% | 55.709% | 14.959% | 13.564% | 11.032% | 7.823% | 5.576% | 2.755% | |||||
| 6. | chess22k 1.12 | 5.451% | 7.933% | 13.384% | 9.294% | 10.303% | 67.019% | 10.912% | 11.679% | 11.410% | 10.902% | 11.833% | 10.283% | |||||
| 7. | Monolith 1 | 4.448% | 9.464% | 13.912% | 13.682% | 16.011% | 56.395% | 16.316% | 14.002% | 10.740% | 7.531% | 5.078% | 2.728% | |||||
| 8. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.794% | 2.310% | 3.104% | 4.195% | 6.354% | 86.347% | 8.971% | 11.529% | 13.855% | 15.651% | 17.147% | 19.194% | |||||
| 9. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.193% | 0.646% | 0.839% | 1.529% | 2.887% | 94.745% | 4.519% | 6.991% | 10.391% | 14.167% | 20.462% | 38.215% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.008% | 0.103% | 0.111% | 0.564% | 1.676% | 97.649% | 4.642% | 9.867% | 17.508% | 25.254% | 25.283% | 15.095% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.01h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-11 02:02 | 9 | Bagatur 1.5f | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-11 03:03 | 10 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-11 04:03 | 11 | Wasp 3.59 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-11 05:03 | 12 | chess22k 1.12 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-11 06:04 | 13 | Marvin 20190228 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-11 07:04 | 14 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 08:04 | 15 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 09:05 | 16 | Gaviota 1.01 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 10:05 | 17 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-11 11:05 | 18 | Bagatur 1.5f | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-11 12:06 | 19 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-11 13:06 | 20 | Wasp 3.59 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-11 14:06 | 21 | chess22k 1.12 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-11 15:07 | 22 | Marvin 20190228 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-11 16:07 | 23 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-11 17:07 | 24 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-11 18:08 | 25 | Monolith 1 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 19:08 | 26 | Gaviota 1.01 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 20:08 | 27 | Bagatur 1.5f | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 21:09 | 28 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-11 22:09 | 29 | Wasp 3.59 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-11 23:09 | 30 | chess22k 1.12 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 00:10 | 31 | Marvin 20190228 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 01:10 | 32 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 02:10 | 33 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 03:11 | 34 | Monolith 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 04:11 | 35 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 05:11 | 36 | Gaviota 1.01 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 06:12 | 37 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 07:12 | 38 | Wasp 3.59 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 08:13 | 39 | chess22k 1.12 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 09:13 | 40 | Marvin 20190228 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 10:13 | 41 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 11:14 | 42 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 12:14 | 43 | Monolith 1 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 13:14 | 44 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 14:15 | 45 | Bagatur 1.5f | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 15:15 | 46 | Gaviota 1.01 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 16:15 | 47 | Bagatur 1.5f | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 17:16 | 48 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 18:16 | 49 | Monolith 1 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 19:16 | 50 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 20:17 | 51 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 21:17 | 52 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 22:17 | 53 | Marvin 20190228 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 23:18 | 54 | chess22k 1.12 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 00:18 | 55 | Wasp 3.59 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 01:18 | 56 | Gaviota 1.01 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 02:19 | 57 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 03:19 | 58 | Bagatur 1.5f | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 04:19 | 59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 05:20 | 60 | Monolith 1 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 06:20 | 61 | Monolith 1 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 07:20 | 62 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 08:21 | 63 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 09:21 | 64 | Marvin 20190228 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 10:21 | 65 | chess22k 1.12 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 11:22 | 66 | Gaviota 1.01 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 12:22 | 67 | Wasp 3.59 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 13:22 | 68 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 14:23 | 69 | Bagatur 1.5f | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 15:23 | 70 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 16:23 | 71 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 17:24 | 72 | Monolith 1 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 18:24 | 73 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 19:24 | 74 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 20:25 | 75 | Marvin 20190228 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 21:25 | 76 | Gaviota 1.01 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 22:26 | 77 | chess22k 1.12 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 23:26 | 78 | Wasp 3.59 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 00:26 | 79 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 01:27 | 80 | Bagatur 1.5f | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 02:27 | 81 | Bagatur 1.5f | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 03:27 | 82 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 04:28 | 83 | Monolith 1 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 05:28 | 84 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 06:28 | 85 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 07:29 | 86 | Gaviota 1.01 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 08:29 | 87 | Marvin 20190228 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 09:29 | 88 | chess22k 1.12 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 10:30 | 89 | Wasp 3.59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 11:30 | 90 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Bagatur 1.5f |