For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 4.5 | 14.53 | 1.80 | 1.51 | 68 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 4.0 | 12.69 | 2.00 | 2.58 | 20 | 39 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Monolith 1 | 3.5 | 11.14 | 1.98 | 3.64 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 22 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | chess22k 1.12 | 3.5 | 10.67 | 2.16 | 4.05 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 5 | Wasp 3.59 | 2.5 | 8.72 | 2.09 | 5.72 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 6 |
| 6 | Marvin 20190228 | 2.5 | 8.50 | 2.07 | 5.92 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 7 |
| 7 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 2.5 | 8.21 | 2.04 | 6.17 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 9 |
| 8 | Gaviota 1.01 | 2.0 | 7.11 | 1.47 | 7.24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 30 | 14 |
| 9 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 1.0 | 5.25 | 1.82 | 8.59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 46 |
| 10 | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.0 | 3.17 | 1.91 | 9.58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 65.938% | 21.212% | 87.150% | 7.996% | 3.064% | 1.790% | 1.172% | 0.423% | 0.131% | 0.044% | 0.019% | 0.001% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 21.042% | 37.738% | 58.780% | 20.056% | 10.739% | 10.425% | 5.624% | 2.781% | 1.337% | 0.549% | 0.126% | 0.008% | |||||
| 3. | Monolith 1 | 6.907% | 17.511% | 24.418% | 27.298% | 20.923% | 27.361% | 13.504% | 7.695% | 3.912% | 1.676% | 0.510% | 0.064% | |||||
| 4. | chess22k 1.12 | 4.401% | 14.046% | 18.447% | 20.333% | 21.146% | 40.074% | 15.841% | 11.000% | 7.135% | 4.312% | 1.612% | 0.174% | |||||
| 5. | Wasp 3.59 | 0.709% | 4.007% | 4.716% | 9.129% | 14.573% | 71.582% | 18.358% | 17.856% | 15.107% | 11.759% | 7.258% | 1.244% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.516% | 3.248% | 3.764% | 7.914% | 13.279% | 75.043% | 17.249% | 18.261% | 16.037% | 14.211% | 7.948% | 1.337% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.475% | 2.075% | 2.550% | 6.268% | 12.096% | 79.086% | 16.298% | 17.993% | 17.846% | 15.978% | 9.369% | 1.602% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.006% | 0.045% | 0.051% | 0.243% | 0.936% | 98.770% | 2.543% | 5.331% | 9.541% | 17.416% | 41.461% | 22.478% | |||||
| 9. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.005% | 0.106% | 0.111% | 0.707% | 3.033% | 96.149% | 8.813% | 17.333% | 26.063% | 27.932% | 13.415% | 2.593% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.001% | 0.012% | 0.013% | 0.056% | 0.211% | 99.720% | 0.598% | 1.327% | 2.891% | 6.123% | 18.282% | 70.499% |
Speculate Bagatur 1.5f – Monolith 1 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 70.049% | 20.495% | 90.544% | 5.887% | 2.156% | 1.413% | 0.887% | 0.331% | 0.135% | 0.048% | 0.010% | 0.002% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 20.401% | 40.611% | 61.012% | 19.659% | 9.697% | 9.632% | 5.023% | 2.596% | 1.269% | 0.542% | 0.173% | 0.029% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 6.088% | 19.835% | 25.923% | 26.630% | 17.565% | 29.882% | 11.975% | 8.178% | 5.187% | 2.995% | 1.248% | 0.299% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 1.433% | 6.308% | 7.741% | 16.026% | 21.038% | 55.195% | 19.824% | 15.581% | 10.463% | 6.026% | 2.705% | 0.596% | |||||
| 5. | Wasp 3.59 | 0.990% | 6.173% | 7.163% | 13.571% | 18.291% | 60.975% | 17.584% | 15.381% | 11.885% | 8.853% | 5.376% | 1.896% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.567% | 3.965% | 4.532% | 9.526% | 14.191% | 71.751% | 17.018% | 16.763% | 14.761% | 12.556% | 7.894% | 2.759% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.465% | 2.400% | 2.865% | 7.248% | 11.825% | 78.062% | 14.922% | 16.809% | 16.989% | 15.322% | 10.189% | 3.831% | |||||
| 8. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.003% | 0.127% | 0.130% | 0.854% | 3.243% | 95.773% | 8.163% | 15.319% | 23.143% | 25.771% | 17.465% | 5.912% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.003% | 0.053% | 0.056% | 0.277% | 0.982% | 98.685% | 2.416% | 4.756% | 8.320% | 14.157% | 26.915% | 42.121% | |||||
| 10. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.001% | 0.033% | 0.034% | 0.322% | 1.012% | 98.632% | 2.188% | 4.286% | 7.848% | 13.730% | 28.025% | 42.555% |
Speculate Bagatur 1.5f – Monolith 1 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 69.065% | 20.423% | 89.488% | 6.468% | 2.489% | 1.555% | 1.009% | 0.361% | 0.128% | 0.040% | 0.016% | 0.001% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 20.691% | 39.522% | 60.213% | 19.385% | 10.094% | 10.308% | 5.418% | 2.850% | 1.297% | 0.572% | 0.158% | 0.013% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 5.465% | 18.111% | 23.576% | 24.228% | 18.456% | 33.740% | 13.468% | 9.353% | 5.996% | 3.419% | 1.294% | 0.210% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 2.864% | 10.599% | 13.463% | 21.639% | 23.187% | 41.711% | 18.502% | 12.328% | 6.752% | 3.123% | 0.895% | 0.111% | |||||
| 5. | Wasp 3.59 | 0.823% | 5.422% | 6.245% | 11.811% | 16.774% | 65.170% | 18.055% | 16.824% | 13.364% | 9.793% | 5.644% | 1.490% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.589% | 3.565% | 4.154% | 8.766% | 13.429% | 73.651% | 16.917% | 17.734% | 15.657% | 13.655% | 7.685% | 2.003% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.492% | 2.210% | 2.702% | 6.622% | 11.400% | 79.276% | 15.274% | 17.589% | 18.211% | 16.048% | 9.464% | 2.690% | |||||
| 8. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.005% | 0.108% | 0.113% | 0.763% | 2.988% | 96.136% | 8.161% | 16.012% | 25.073% | 27.469% | 15.243% | 4.178% | |||||
| 9. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.005% | 0.034% | 0.039% | 0.256% | 0.881% | 98.824% | 2.321% | 4.755% | 8.509% | 15.538% | 34.421% | 33.280% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.001% | 0.006% | 0.007% | 0.062% | 0.302% | 99.629% | 0.875% | 2.194% | 5.013% | 10.343% | 25.180% | 56.024% |
Speculate Bagatur 1.5f – Monolith 1 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 65.753% | 20.976% | 86.729% | 8.263% | 3.250% | 1.758% | 1.177% | 0.396% | 0.134% | 0.042% | 0.009% | ||||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 20.938% | 37.266% | 58.204% | 20.153% | 11.044% | 10.599% | 5.726% | 2.906% | 1.271% | 0.550% | 0.140% | 0.006% | |||||
| 3. | Monolith 1 | 7.493% | 18.935% | 26.428% | 28.937% | 21.370% | 23.265% | 12.409% | 6.649% | 2.931% | 1.052% | 0.217% | 0.007% | |||||
| 4. | chess22k 1.12 | 4.210% | 13.632% | 17.842% | 19.771% | 21.230% | 41.157% | 16.428% | 11.473% | 7.353% | 4.253% | 1.522% | 0.128% | |||||
| 5. | Wasp 3.59 | 0.622% | 3.855% | 4.477% | 8.782% | 14.325% | 72.416% | 18.718% | 18.406% | 15.053% | 12.012% | 7.260% | 0.967% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.513% | 3.123% | 3.636% | 7.307% | 13.160% | 75.897% | 17.868% | 18.348% | 16.396% | 14.414% | 7.782% | 1.089% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.463% | 2.092% | 2.555% | 5.958% | 11.697% | 79.790% | 16.234% | 18.038% | 18.310% | 16.462% | 9.460% | 1.286% | |||||
| 8. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.004% | 0.084% | 0.088% | 0.633% | 2.978% | 96.301% | 8.679% | 17.763% | 26.747% | 28.093% | 13.093% | 1.926% | |||||
| 9. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.004% | 0.036% | 0.040% | 0.189% | 0.884% | 98.887% | 2.516% | 5.290% | 9.801% | 18.333% | 43.876% | 19.071% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.007% | 0.062% | 99.930% | 0.245% | 0.731% | 2.004% | 4.789% | 16.641% | 75.520% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.16h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-12 01:17 | 28 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 02:27 | 29 | Wasp 3.59 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 03:37 | 30 | chess22k 1.12 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 04:46 | 31 | Marvin 20190228 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 05:56 | 32 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 07:05 | 33 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 08:15 | 34 | Monolith 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 09:24 | 35 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 10:34 | 36 | Gaviota 1.01 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 11:43 | 37 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 12:53 | 38 | Wasp 3.59 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 14:03 | 39 | chess22k 1.12 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 15:12 | 40 | Marvin 20190228 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 16:22 | 41 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 17:31 | 42 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 18:41 | 43 | Monolith 1 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 19:50 | 44 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 21:00 | 45 | Bagatur 1.5f | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 22:09 | 46 | Gaviota 1.01 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 23:19 | 47 | Bagatur 1.5f | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 00:28 | 48 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 01:38 | 49 | Monolith 1 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 02:48 | 50 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 03:57 | 51 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 05:07 | 52 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 06:16 | 53 | Marvin 20190228 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 07:26 | 54 | chess22k 1.12 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 08:35 | 55 | Wasp 3.59 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 09:45 | 56 | Gaviota 1.01 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 10:54 | 57 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 12:04 | 58 | Bagatur 1.5f | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 13:14 | 59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 14:23 | 60 | Monolith 1 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 15:33 | 61 | Monolith 1 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 16:42 | 62 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 17:52 | 63 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 19:01 | 64 | Marvin 20190228 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 20:11 | 65 | chess22k 1.12 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 21:20 | 66 | Gaviota 1.01 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 22:30 | 67 | Wasp 3.59 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 23:40 | 68 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 00:49 | 69 | Bagatur 1.5f | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 01:59 | 70 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 03:08 | 71 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 04:18 | 72 | Monolith 1 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-14 05:27 | 73 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 06:37 | 74 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 07:46 | 75 | Marvin 20190228 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 08:56 | 76 | Gaviota 1.01 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 10:05 | 77 | chess22k 1.12 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 11:15 | 78 | Wasp 3.59 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 12:25 | 79 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 13:34 | 80 | Bagatur 1.5f | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 14:44 | 81 | Bagatur 1.5f | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 15:53 | 82 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 17:03 | 83 | Monolith 1 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 18:12 | 84 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 19:22 | 85 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 20:31 | 86 | Gaviota 1.01 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 21:41 | 87 | Marvin 20190228 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 22:51 | 88 | chess22k 1.12 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-15 00:00 | 89 | Wasp 3.59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-15 01:10 | 90 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Bagatur 1.5f |