For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
5.5 |
14.88 |
1.63 |
1.28 |
83 |
11 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.12 |
5.0 |
11.81 |
1.74 |
3.12 |
8 |
36 |
23 |
16 |
10 |
6 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Monolith 1 |
4.5 |
10.98 |
1.88 |
3.82 |
5 |
21 |
20 |
19 |
17 |
12 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
Wasp 3.59 |
3.5 |
10.34 |
1.91 |
4.43 |
2 |
13 |
18 |
19 |
19 |
17 |
8 |
3 |
1 |
5 |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
4.0 |
10.25 |
1.74 |
4.51 |
1 |
11 |
18 |
21 |
21 |
18 |
8 |
3 |
1 |
6 |
Marvin 20190228 |
4.0 |
9.92 |
1.75 |
4.81 |
1 |
8 |
15 |
19 |
21 |
22 |
11 |
4 |
1 |
7 |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
2.5 |
7.48 |
1.88 |
6.91 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
15 |
31 |
24 |
12 |
8 |
Gaviota 1.01 |
2.0 |
6.54 |
1.39 |
7.76 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
26 |
42 |
20 |
9 |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
1.0 |
5.06 |
1.79 |
8.67 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
18 |
50 |
10 |
Bagatur 1.5f |
0.0 |
2.76 |
1.73 |
9.69 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
16 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
|
81.864% |
11.703% |
|
93.567% |
|
3.821% |
1.628% |
|
0.984% |
|
0.706% |
0.223% |
0.051% |
0.004% |
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.12 |
|
7.191% |
32.079% |
|
39.270% |
|
23.021% |
16.174% |
|
21.535% |
|
11.287% |
6.723% |
2.667% |
0.749% |
0.107% |
0.002% |
3. |
Monolith 1 |
|
6.321% |
21.294% |
|
27.615% |
|
20.028% |
18.103% |
|
34.254% |
|
15.706% |
11.767% |
4.902% |
1.574% |
0.297% |
0.008% |
4. |
Wasp 3.59 |
|
2.314% |
14.686% |
|
17.000% |
|
18.325% |
18.637% |
|
46.038% |
|
17.964% |
14.853% |
8.196% |
3.653% |
1.277% |
0.095% |
5. |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
|
1.244% |
9.558% |
|
10.802% |
|
16.095% |
19.528% |
|
53.575% |
|
20.464% |
18.858% |
9.252% |
3.952% |
1.002% |
0.047% |
6. |
Marvin 20190228 |
|
0.972% |
9.269% |
|
10.241% |
|
15.213% |
18.963% |
|
55.583% |
|
20.389% |
19.167% |
10.599% |
4.243% |
1.133% |
0.052% |
7. |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
|
0.090% |
1.345% |
|
1.435% |
|
3.138% |
5.562% |
|
89.865% |
|
9.175% |
15.675% |
26.959% |
23.333% |
12.922% |
1.801% |
8. |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
|
0.003% |
0.044% |
|
0.047% |
|
0.168% |
0.562% |
|
99.223% |
|
1.437% |
3.508% |
9.139% |
18.421% |
46.248% |
20.470% |
9. |
Gaviota 1.01 |
|
0.001% |
0.020% |
|
0.021% |
|
0.183% |
0.803% |
|
98.993% |
|
2.725% |
8.728% |
26.102% |
38.624% |
19.688% |
3.126% |
10. |
Bagatur 1.5f |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.008% |
0.040% |
|
99.950% |
|
0.147% |
0.498% |
2.133% |
5.447% |
17.326% |
74.399% |
Speculate ScorpioNN 2.9.0 – Wasp 3.59 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
|
82.399% |
11.504% |
|
93.903% |
|
3.690% |
1.479% |
|
0.928% |
|
0.608% |
0.234% |
0.065% |
0.019% |
0.002% |
|
2. |
Monolith 1 |
|
7.825% |
26.065% |
|
33.890% |
|
21.392% |
16.956% |
|
27.762% |
|
12.263% |
8.718% |
4.874% |
1.575% |
0.320% |
0.012% |
3. |
chess22k 1.12 |
|
6.601% |
32.007% |
|
38.608% |
|
22.771% |
16.339% |
|
22.282% |
|
10.707% |
6.636% |
3.663% |
1.076% |
0.195% |
0.005% |
4. |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
|
1.351% |
11.376% |
|
12.727% |
|
17.980% |
19.617% |
|
49.676% |
|
18.609% |
15.016% |
10.134% |
4.614% |
1.240% |
0.063% |
5. |
Marvin 20190228 |
|
0.971% |
9.386% |
|
10.357% |
|
15.300% |
18.105% |
|
56.238% |
|
18.698% |
16.887% |
13.306% |
5.720% |
1.558% |
0.069% |
6. |
Wasp 3.59 |
|
0.551% |
5.639% |
|
6.190% |
|
10.436% |
14.180% |
|
69.194% |
|
18.045% |
20.196% |
17.096% |
9.579% |
4.007% |
0.271% |
7. |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
|
0.291% |
3.933% |
|
4.224% |
|
7.897% |
11.618% |
|
76.261% |
|
16.074% |
19.907% |
22.018% |
13.017% |
4.883% |
0.362% |
8. |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
|
0.007% |
0.054% |
|
0.061% |
|
0.264% |
0.696% |
|
98.979% |
|
1.787% |
3.994% |
8.000% |
17.322% |
49.081% |
18.795% |
9. |
Gaviota 1.01 |
|
0.003% |
0.033% |
|
0.036% |
|
0.254% |
0.955% |
|
98.755% |
|
3.074% |
7.955% |
19.441% |
42.341% |
22.531% |
3.413% |
10. |
Bagatur 1.5f |
|
0.001% |
0.003% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.016% |
0.055% |
|
99.925% |
|
0.135% |
0.457% |
1.403% |
4.737% |
16.183% |
77.010% |
Speculate ScorpioNN 2.9.0 – Wasp 3.59 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
|
82.588% |
11.350% |
|
93.938% |
|
3.698% |
1.476% |
|
0.888% |
|
0.608% |
0.215% |
0.057% |
0.005% |
0.002% |
0.001% |
2. |
Monolith 1 |
|
6.913% |
23.404% |
|
30.317% |
|
20.685% |
17.590% |
|
31.408% |
|
14.426% |
10.332% |
4.782% |
1.543% |
0.310% |
0.015% |
3. |
chess22k 1.12 |
|
6.861% |
32.663% |
|
39.524% |
|
22.942% |
16.120% |
|
21.414% |
|
10.898% |
6.563% |
2.951% |
0.850% |
0.146% |
0.006% |
4. |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
|
1.302% |
10.380% |
|
11.682% |
|
16.812% |
19.437% |
|
52.069% |
|
19.523% |
17.528% |
9.586% |
4.186% |
1.179% |
0.067% |
5. |
Wasp 3.59 |
|
1.293% |
11.484% |
|
12.777% |
|
16.729% |
19.053% |
|
51.441% |
|
20.027% |
17.086% |
9.115% |
3.871% |
1.281% |
0.061% |
6. |
Marvin 20190228 |
|
0.978% |
9.386% |
|
10.364% |
|
15.531% |
18.806% |
|
55.299% |
|
19.458% |
18.301% |
11.560% |
4.659% |
1.266% |
0.055% |
7. |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
|
0.062% |
1.263% |
|
1.325% |
|
3.234% |
6.003% |
|
89.438% |
|
10.583% |
17.460% |
28.696% |
21.585% |
10.129% |
0.985% |
8. |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
|
0.003% |
0.038% |
|
0.041% |
|
0.190% |
0.622% |
|
99.147% |
|
1.501% |
3.593% |
8.401% |
17.681% |
48.301% |
19.670% |
9. |
Gaviota 1.01 |
|
|
0.032% |
|
0.032% |
|
0.169% |
0.856% |
|
98.943% |
|
2.827% |
8.426% |
23.092% |
40.432% |
20.815% |
3.351% |
10. |
Bagatur 1.5f |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.010% |
0.037% |
|
99.953% |
|
0.149% |
0.496% |
1.760% |
5.188% |
16.571% |
75.789% |
Speculate ScorpioNN 2.9.0 – Wasp 3.59 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
|
81.820% |
11.467% |
|
93.287% |
|
3.949% |
1.705% |
|
1.059% |
|
0.758% |
0.248% |
0.041% |
0.010% |
0.002% |
|
2. |
chess22k 1.12 |
|
7.212% |
31.472% |
|
38.684% |
|
23.276% |
16.782% |
|
21.258% |
|
11.827% |
6.886% |
1.958% |
0.505% |
0.079% |
0.003% |
3. |
Monolith 1 |
|
5.454% |
18.461% |
|
23.915% |
|
18.840% |
18.754% |
|
38.491% |
|
18.263% |
13.956% |
4.550% |
1.438% |
0.276% |
0.008% |
4. |
Wasp 3.59 |
|
3.353% |
21.030% |
|
24.383% |
|
23.027% |
20.197% |
|
32.393% |
|
16.938% |
10.799% |
3.380% |
1.012% |
0.256% |
0.008% |
5. |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
|
1.106% |
8.506% |
|
9.612% |
|
14.940% |
19.634% |
|
55.814% |
|
21.709% |
21.515% |
8.314% |
3.374% |
0.863% |
0.039% |
6. |
Marvin 20190228 |
|
1.040% |
8.757% |
|
9.797% |
|
14.765% |
19.428% |
|
56.010% |
|
21.302% |
21.452% |
8.926% |
3.389% |
0.897% |
0.044% |
7. |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
|
0.013% |
0.262% |
|
0.275% |
|
0.927% |
2.297% |
|
96.501% |
|
5.303% |
12.210% |
28.628% |
29.071% |
18.434% |
2.855% |
8. |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
|
0.001% |
0.033% |
|
0.034% |
|
0.141% |
0.487% |
|
99.338% |
|
1.162% |
3.372% |
10.536% |
19.252% |
44.190% |
20.826% |
9. |
Gaviota 1.01 |
|
0.001% |
0.012% |
|
0.013% |
|
0.128% |
0.676% |
|
99.183% |
|
2.610% |
9.017% |
31.127% |
36.107% |
17.317% |
3.005% |
10. |
Bagatur 1.5f |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.040% |
|
99.953% |
|
0.128% |
0.545% |
2.540% |
5.842% |
17.686% |
73.212% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.13h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-12 07:14 |
34 |
Monolith 1 |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
2019-03-12 08:22 |
35 |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
Bagatur 1.5f |
2019-03-12 09:30 |
36 |
Gaviota 1.01 |
Bagatur 1.5f |
2019-03-12 10:37 |
37 |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
2019-03-12 11:45 |
38 |
Wasp 3.59 |
Monolith 1 |
2019-03-12 12:53 |
39 |
chess22k 1.12 |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
2019-03-12 14:01 |
40 |
Marvin 20190228 |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
2019-03-12 15:08 |
41 |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
Gaviota 1.01 |
2019-03-12 16:16 |
42 |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
Marvin 20190228 |
2019-03-12 17:24 |
43 |
Monolith 1 |
chess22k 1.12 |
2019-03-12 18:31 |
44 |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
Wasp 3.59 |
2019-03-12 19:39 |
45 |
Bagatur 1.5f |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
2019-03-12 20:47 |
46 |
Gaviota 1.01 |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
2019-03-12 21:55 |
47 |
Bagatur 1.5f |
Wasp 3.59 |
2019-03-12 23:02 |
48 |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
chess22k 1.12 |
2019-03-13 00:10 |
49 |
Monolith 1 |
Marvin 20190228 |
2019-03-13 01:18 |
50 |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
2019-03-13 02:25 |
51 |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
Gaviota 1.01 |
2019-03-13 03:33 |
52 |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
Monolith 1 |
2019-03-13 04:41 |
53 |
Marvin 20190228 |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
2019-03-13 05:49 |
54 |
chess22k 1.12 |
Bagatur 1.5f |
2019-03-13 06:56 |
55 |
Wasp 3.59 |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
2019-03-13 08:04 |
56 |
Gaviota 1.01 |
Wasp 3.59 |
2019-03-13 09:12 |
57 |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
chess22k 1.12 |
2019-03-13 10:19 |
58 |
Bagatur 1.5f |
Marvin 20190228 |
2019-03-13 11:27 |
59 |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
2019-03-13 12:35 |
60 |
Monolith 1 |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
2019-03-13 13:43 |
61 |
Monolith 1 |
Gaviota 1.01 |
2019-03-13 14:50 |
62 |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
2019-03-13 15:58 |
63 |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
Bagatur 1.5f |
2019-03-13 17:06 |
64 |
Marvin 20190228 |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
2019-03-13 18:13 |
65 |
chess22k 1.12 |
Wasp 3.59 |
2019-03-13 19:21 |
66 |
Gaviota 1.01 |
chess22k 1.12 |
2019-03-13 20:29 |
67 |
Wasp 3.59 |
Marvin 20190228 |
2019-03-13 21:37 |
68 |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
2019-03-13 22:44 |
69 |
Bagatur 1.5f |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
2019-03-13 23:52 |
70 |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
Monolith 1 |
2019-03-14 01:00 |
71 |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
Gaviota 1.01 |
2019-03-14 02:08 |
72 |
Monolith 1 |
Bagatur 1.5f |
2019-03-14 03:15 |
73 |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
2019-03-14 04:23 |
74 |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
Wasp 3.59 |
2019-03-14 05:31 |
75 |
Marvin 20190228 |
chess22k 1.12 |
2019-03-14 06:38 |
76 |
Gaviota 1.01 |
Marvin 20190228 |
2019-03-14 07:46 |
77 |
chess22k 1.12 |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
2019-03-14 08:54 |
78 |
Wasp 3.59 |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
2019-03-14 10:02 |
79 |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
Monolith 1 |
2019-03-14 11:09 |
80 |
Bagatur 1.5f |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
2019-03-14 12:17 |
81 |
Bagatur 1.5f |
Gaviota 1.01 |
2019-03-14 13:25 |
82 |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
2019-03-14 14:32 |
83 |
Monolith 1 |
Wasp 3.59 |
2019-03-14 15:40 |
84 |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
chess22k 1.12 |
2019-03-14 16:48 |
85 |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
Marvin 20190228 |
2019-03-14 17:56 |
86 |
Gaviota 1.01 |
AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
2019-03-14 19:03 |
87 |
Marvin 20190228 |
ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
2019-03-14 20:11 |
88 |
chess22k 1.12 |
Monolith 1 |
2019-03-14 21:19 |
89 |
Wasp 3.59 |
Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
2019-03-14 22:26 |
90 |
pirarucu 2.9.5 |
Bagatur 1.5f |