For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 8.5 | 15.64 | 1.26 | 1.04 | 97 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Wasp 3.59 | 6.0 | 11.32 | 1.44 | 3.30 | 1 | 37 | 24 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | Monolith 1 | 5.5 | 10.70 | 1.43 | 3.93 | 1 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | chess22k 1.12 | 5.5 | 10.60 | 1.44 | 4.04 | 0 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 5 | Marvin 20190228 | 5.5 | 10.51 | 1.44 | 4.14 | 0 | 17 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 6 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 4.5 | 9.08 | 1.47 | 5.72 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 27 | 21 | 12 | 1 |
| 7 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 4.0 | 8.30 | 1.43 | 6.53 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 2 |
| 8 | Gaviota 1.01 | 3.5 | 7.42 | 1.25 | 7.37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 53 | 4 |
| 9 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 1.5 | 4.04 | 1.35 | 9.12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 76 |
| 10 | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.5 | 2.38 | 1.25 | 9.80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 96.646% | 2.609% | 99.255% | 0.541% | 0.153% | 0.051% | 0.041% | 0.010% | |||||||||
| 2. | Wasp 3.59 | 1.615% | 37.597% | 39.212% | 23.946% | 16.654% | 20.188% | 11.060% | 5.789% | 2.566% | 0.757% | 0.015% | 0.001% | |||||
| 3. | Monolith 1 | 0.673% | 21.628% | 22.301% | 23.679% | 20.934% | 33.086% | 16.531% | 10.143% | 4.815% | 1.553% | 0.043% | 0.001% | |||||
| 4. | chess22k 1.12 | 0.550% | 15.883% | 16.433% | 20.200% | 21.132% | 42.235% | 19.617% | 12.908% | 6.916% | 2.683% | 0.110% | 0.001% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.472% | 18.005% | 18.477% | 21.070% | 21.569% | 38.884% | 18.515% | 11.929% | 6.179% | 2.172% | 0.089% | ||||||
| 6. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 0.036% | 2.813% | 2.849% | 6.291% | 10.620% | 80.240% | 16.827% | 24.347% | 22.460% | 15.449% | 1.128% | 0.029% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.008% | 1.323% | 1.331% | 3.715% | 7.118% | 87.836% | 12.320% | 21.196% | 27.878% | 23.855% | 2.511% | 0.076% | |||||
| 8. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.141% | 0.141% | 0.556% | 1.807% | 97.496% | 5.013% | 13.316% | 27.689% | 47.052% | 4.278% | 0.148% | ||||||
| 9. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.002% | 0.012% | 99.985% | 0.072% | 0.335% | 1.377% | 5.579% | 69.606% | 23.016% | ||||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.001% | 99.999% | 0.004% | 0.027% | 0.120% | 0.900% | 22.220% | 76.728% |
Speculate Gaviota 1.01 – pirarucu 2.9.5 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 90.027% | 7.344% | 97.371% | 1.868% | 0.558% | 0.203% | 0.163% | 0.032% | 0.008% | ||||||||
| 2. | Wasp 3.59 | 4.655% | 34.995% | 39.650% | 23.003% | 15.718% | 21.629% | 10.461% | 6.192% | 3.482% | 1.464% | 0.030% | ||||||
| 3. | Monolith 1 | 2.002% | 20.658% | 22.660% | 22.486% | 19.899% | 34.955% | 15.396% | 10.190% | 6.216% | 3.083% | 0.069% | 0.001% | |||||
| 4. | Marvin 20190228 | 1.577% | 16.988% | 18.565% | 20.561% | 19.936% | 40.938% | 16.857% | 11.972% | 7.868% | 4.112% | 0.129% | ||||||
| 5. | chess22k 1.12 | 1.560% | 14.913% | 16.473% | 19.071% | 19.562% | 44.894% | 17.862% | 13.081% | 8.899% | 4.923% | 0.127% | 0.002% | |||||
| 6. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 0.133% | 2.698% | 2.831% | 6.007% | 9.975% | 81.187% | 14.255% | 19.506% | 21.918% | 24.075% | 1.399% | 0.034% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.039% | 1.383% | 1.422% | 3.533% | 6.773% | 88.272% | 10.864% | 16.656% | 23.256% | 34.513% | 2.892% | 0.091% | |||||
| 8. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.007% | 1.020% | 1.027% | 3.470% | 7.567% | 87.936% | 14.078% | 22.177% | 27.506% | 23.405% | 0.765% | 0.005% | |||||
| 9. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.012% | 99.986% | 0.063% | 0.187% | 0.794% | 3.932% | 72.264% | 22.746% | ||||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 100.000% | 0.001% | 0.007% | 0.053% | 0.493% | 22.325% | 77.121% |
Speculate Gaviota 1.01 – pirarucu 2.9.5 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 94.960% | 3.998% | 98.958% | 0.792% | 0.195% | 0.055% | 0.052% | 0.003% | |||||||||
| 2. | Wasp 3.59 | 2.466% | 37.061% | 39.527% | 23.686% | 16.382% | 20.405% | 10.581% | 5.829% | 2.909% | 1.064% | 0.022% | ||||||
| 3. | Monolith 1 | 1.010% | 21.086% | 22.096% | 23.299% | 20.697% | 33.908% | 16.181% | 10.031% | 5.423% | 2.222% | 0.051% | ||||||
| 4. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.750% | 17.894% | 18.644% | 21.160% | 21.056% | 39.140% | 17.828% | 11.680% | 6.575% | 2.946% | 0.110% | 0.001% | |||||
| 5. | chess22k 1.12 | 0.731% | 15.561% | 16.292% | 19.975% | 20.471% | 43.262% | 18.813% | 12.745% | 7.662% | 3.933% | 0.109% | ||||||
| 6. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 0.061% | 2.715% | 2.776% | 6.056% | 10.333% | 80.835% | 15.749% | 21.948% | 21.836% | 19.978% | 1.286% | 0.038% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.022% | 1.400% | 1.422% | 3.646% | 7.066% | 87.866% | 11.951% | 19.051% | 24.786% | 29.355% | 2.638% | 0.085% | |||||
| 8. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.285% | 0.285% | 1.384% | 3.781% | 94.550% | 8.781% | 18.409% | 29.739% | 35.518% | 2.064% | 0.039% | ||||||
| 9. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.002% | 0.019% | 99.979% | 0.063% | 0.288% | 0.972% | 4.359% | 71.309% | 22.988% | ||||||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 100.000% | 0.001% | 0.016% | 0.098% | 0.625% | 22.411% | 76.849% |
Speculate Gaviota 1.01 – pirarucu 2.9.5 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 98.388% | 1.382% | 99.770% | 0.193% | 0.028% | 0.009% | 0.009% | ||||||||||
| 2. | Wasp 3.59 | 0.827% | 38.062% | 38.889% | 24.418% | 16.772% | 19.921% | 10.907% | 5.868% | 2.432% | 0.697% | 0.017% | ||||||
| 3. | Monolith 1 | 0.311% | 22.132% | 22.443% | 23.526% | 21.094% | 32.937% | 16.643% | 10.334% | 4.663% | 1.252% | 0.045% | ||||||
| 4. | chess22k 1.12 | 0.244% | 16.221% | 16.465% | 20.242% | 21.393% | 41.900% | 19.948% | 12.702% | 6.896% | 2.256% | 0.097% | 0.001% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.209% | 18.054% | 18.263% | 21.486% | 21.518% | 38.733% | 18.754% | 12.138% | 5.896% | 1.868% | 0.077% | ||||||
| 6. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 0.017% | 2.760% | 2.777% | 6.239% | 10.783% | 80.201% | 16.977% | 25.791% | 22.938% | 13.425% | 1.042% | 0.028% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.004% | 1.334% | 1.338% | 3.570% | 7.181% | 87.911% | 12.931% | 21.761% | 29.133% | 21.691% | 2.308% | 0.087% | |||||
| 8. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.055% | 0.055% | 0.321% | 1.215% | 98.409% | 3.756% | 11.032% | 26.453% | 51.714% | 5.260% | 0.194% | ||||||
| 9. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.005% | 0.016% | 99.979% | 0.074% | 0.353% | 1.457% | 6.069% | 69.158% | 22.868% | ||||||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 100.000% | 0.001% | 0.021% | 0.132% | 1.028% | 21.996% | 76.822% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.11h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-12 20:53 | 47 | Bagatur 1.5f | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 21:59 | 48 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 23:05 | 49 | Monolith 1 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 00:12 | 50 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 01:18 | 51 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 02:25 | 52 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 03:31 | 53 | Marvin 20190228 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 04:37 | 54 | chess22k 1.12 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 05:44 | 55 | Wasp 3.59 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 06:50 | 56 | Gaviota 1.01 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 07:56 | 57 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 09:03 | 58 | Bagatur 1.5f | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 10:09 | 59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 11:16 | 60 | Monolith 1 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 12:22 | 61 | Monolith 1 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 13:28 | 62 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 14:35 | 63 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 15:41 | 64 | Marvin 20190228 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 16:47 | 65 | chess22k 1.12 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 17:54 | 66 | Gaviota 1.01 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 19:00 | 67 | Wasp 3.59 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 20:07 | 68 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 21:13 | 69 | Bagatur 1.5f | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 22:19 | 70 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 23:26 | 71 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 00:32 | 72 | Monolith 1 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-14 01:38 | 73 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 02:45 | 74 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 03:51 | 75 | Marvin 20190228 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 04:58 | 76 | Gaviota 1.01 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 06:04 | 77 | chess22k 1.12 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 07:10 | 78 | Wasp 3.59 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 08:17 | 79 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 09:23 | 80 | Bagatur 1.5f | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 10:29 | 81 | Bagatur 1.5f | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 11:36 | 82 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 12:42 | 83 | Monolith 1 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 13:49 | 84 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 14:55 | 85 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 16:01 | 86 | Gaviota 1.01 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 17:08 | 87 | Marvin 20190228 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 18:14 | 88 | chess22k 1.12 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 19:20 | 89 | Wasp 3.59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 20:27 | 90 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Bagatur 1.5f |