For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AllieStein v0.1-n4/v0.2-n4 | 7.5 | 15.74 | 1.85 | 2.69 | 35 | 22 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Arasan TCEC15 | 6.5 | 14.82 | 2.18 | 3.69 | 22 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
| 3 | Gull 3 | 6.0 | 14.32 | 1.69 | 4.12 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 9 |
| 4 | rofChade 2.016T | 6.5 | 14.15 | 2.07 | 4.35 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 5 | Texel 1.08a13 | 7.0 | 14.11 | 1.81 | 4.39 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| 6 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 | 6.5 | 13.92 | 1.81 | 4.61 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 |
| 7 | Nemorino 5.08 | 5.5 | 12.59 | 1.93 | 5.98 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 22 |
| 8 | Pedone 1.9 | 5.5 | 12.35 | 1.95 | 6.18 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 22 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | AllieStein v0.2-n4 | 33.190% | 22.124% | 55.314% | 15.120% | 11.161% | 7.741% | 5.542% | 5.122% | 3.458% | 1.664% | |||||
| 2. | Arasan TCEC15 | 21.548% | 16.224% | 37.772% | 13.543% | 11.865% | 10.747% | 9.909% | 16.164% | 8.868% | 7.296% | |||||
| 3. | rofChade 2.016T | 12.888% | 13.536% | 26.424% | 13.111% | 12.885% | 12.811% | 12.607% | 22.162% | 11.964% | 10.198% | |||||
| 4. | Texel 1.08a13 | 9.832% | 12.826% | 22.658% | 14.458% | 14.690% | 14.887% | 14.015% | 19.292% | 11.801% | 7.491% | |||||
| 5. | Gull 3 | 9.392% | 14.219% | 23.611% | 16.550% | 16.580% | 15.557% | 12.935% | 14.767% | 9.453% | 5.314% | |||||
| 6. | Vajolet2 2.6.1 | 7.816% | 11.802% | 19.618% | 14.030% | 14.994% | 15.126% | 14.485% | 21.747% | 12.485% | 9.262% | |||||
| 7. | Nemorino 5.08 | 3.065% | 5.142% | 8.207% | 7.044% | 9.586% | 11.968% | 15.833% | 47.362% | 21.081% | 26.281% | |||||
| 8. | Pedone 1.9 | 2.269% | 4.127% | 6.396% | 6.144% | 8.239% | 11.163% | 14.674% | 53.384% | 20.890% | 32.494% |
Speculate Nemorino 5.08 – Arasan TCEC15 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | AllieStein v0.2-n4 | 36.726% | 20.939% | 57.665% | 13.942% | 10.381% | 7.412% | 5.277% | 5.323% | 3.613% | 1.710% | |||||
| 2. | rofChade 2.016T | 13.359% | 13.682% | 27.041% | 12.828% | 12.303% | 12.287% | 12.120% | 23.421% | 12.026% | 11.395% | |||||
| 3. | Arasan TCEC15 | 11.912% | 12.068% | 23.980% | 11.895% | 12.026% | 12.246% | 12.946% | 26.907% | 13.602% | 13.305% | |||||
| 4. | Texel 1.08a13 | 10.541% | 13.208% | 23.749% | 13.978% | 14.432% | 13.844% | 13.665% | 20.332% | 12.185% | 8.147% | |||||
| 5. | Gull 3 | 10.419% | 15.057% | 25.476% | 16.420% | 15.843% | 14.629% | 12.430% | 15.202% | 9.565% | 5.637% | |||||
| 6. | Vajolet2 2.6.1 | 8.491% | 11.886% | 20.377% | 13.709% | 14.292% | 14.412% | 14.003% | 23.207% | 13.075% | 10.132% | |||||
| 7. | Nemorino 5.08 | 6.106% | 8.798% | 14.904% | 10.970% | 12.583% | 14.321% | 15.704% | 31.518% | 16.473% | 15.045% | |||||
| 8. | Pedone 1.9 | 2.446% | 4.362% | 6.808% | 6.258% | 8.140% | 10.849% | 13.855% | 54.090% | 19.461% | 34.629% |
Speculate Nemorino 5.08 – Arasan TCEC15 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | AllieStein v0.2-n4 | 33.730% | 21.365% | 55.095% | 14.956% | 10.945% | 8.024% | 5.702% | 5.278% | 3.527% | 1.751% | |||||
| 2. | Arasan TCEC15 | 19.700% | 16.549% | 36.249% | 14.066% | 12.697% | 11.235% | 10.213% | 15.540% | 8.920% | 6.620% | |||||
| 3. | rofChade 2.016T | 13.106% | 13.606% | 26.712% | 13.259% | 12.820% | 12.612% | 12.247% | 22.350% | 11.865% | 10.485% | |||||
| 4. | Texel 1.08a13 | 10.525% | 12.764% | 23.289% | 14.249% | 14.505% | 14.587% | 13.897% | 19.473% | 11.760% | 7.713% | |||||
| 5. | Gull 3 | 9.676% | 14.642% | 24.318% | 16.239% | 16.399% | 15.154% | 12.862% | 15.028% | 9.651% | 5.377% | |||||
| 6. | Vajolet2 2.6.1 | 8.136% | 11.889% | 20.025% | 13.799% | 14.756% | 15.004% | 14.293% | 22.123% | 12.696% | 9.427% | |||||
| 7. | Nemorino 5.08 | 2.786% | 4.947% | 7.733% | 7.189% | 9.585% | 12.683% | 16.253% | 46.557% | 21.570% | 24.987% | |||||
| 8. | Pedone 1.9 | 2.341% | 4.238% | 6.579% | 6.243% | 8.293% | 10.701% | 14.533% | 53.651% | 20.011% | 33.640% |
Speculate Nemorino 5.08 – Arasan TCEC15 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Arasan TCEC15 | 31.236% | 19.553% | 50.789% | 14.247% | 11.363% | 9.067% | 7.023% | 7.511% | 4.881% | 2.630% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.2-n4 | 29.227% | 22.998% | 52.225% | 16.513% | 11.854% | 8.704% | 5.856% | 4.848% | 3.363% | 1.485% | |||||
| 3. | rofChade 2.016T | 11.737% | 13.372% | 25.109% | 13.804% | 13.409% | 13.281% | 13.191% | 21.206% | 12.000% | 9.206% | |||||
| 4. | Texel 1.08a13 | 9.359% | 12.920% | 22.279% | 14.332% | 15.226% | 15.370% | 14.557% | 18.236% | 11.558% | 6.678% | |||||
| 5. | Gull 3 | 8.456% | 13.569% | 22.025% | 16.390% | 17.415% | 16.401% | 13.518% | 14.251% | 9.498% | 4.753% | |||||
| 6. | Vajolet2 2.6.1 | 6.904% | 11.192% | 18.096% | 14.289% | 15.563% | 15.995% | 15.259% | 20.798% | 12.435% | 8.363% | |||||
| 7. | Pedone 1.9 | 2.045% | 3.999% | 6.044% | 6.174% | 8.670% | 11.395% | 15.784% | 51.933% | 22.170% | 29.763% | |||||
| 8. | Nemorino 5.08 | 1.036% | 2.397% | 3.433% | 4.251% | 6.500% | 9.787% | 14.812% | 61.217% | 24.095% | 37.122% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.07h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-19 01:37 | 53 | AllieStein v0.2-n4 | Nemorino 5.08 |
| 2019-03-19 02:41 | 54 | Arasan TCEC15 | Gull 3 |
| 2019-03-19 03:45 | 55 | rofChade 2.016T | Texel 1.08a13 |
| 2019-03-19 04:50 | 56 | Pedone 1.9 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 |
| 2019-03-19 05:54 | 57 | Pedone 1.9 | AllieStein v0.2-n4 |
| 2019-03-19 06:58 | 58 | rofChade 2.016T | Vajolet2 2.6.1 |
| 2019-03-19 08:02 | 59 | Arasan TCEC15 | Texel 1.08a13 |
| 2019-03-19 09:06 | 60 | Nemorino 5.08 | Gull 3 |
| 2019-03-19 10:10 | 61 | AllieStein v0.2-n4 | Gull 3 |
| 2019-03-19 11:15 | 62 | Texel 1.08a13 | Nemorino 5.08 |
| 2019-03-19 12:19 | 63 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 | Arasan TCEC15 |
| 2019-03-19 13:23 | 64 | Pedone 1.9 | rofChade 2.016T |
| 2019-03-19 14:27 | 65 | rofChade 2.016T | AllieStein v0.2-n4 |
| 2019-03-19 15:31 | 66 | Arasan TCEC15 | Pedone 1.9 |
| 2019-03-19 16:36 | 67 | Nemorino 5.08 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 |
| 2019-03-19 17:40 | 68 | Gull 3 | Texel 1.08a13 |
| 2019-03-19 18:44 | 69 | AllieStein v0.2-n4 | Texel 1.08a13 |
| 2019-03-19 19:48 | 70 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 | Gull 3 |
| 2019-03-19 20:52 | 71 | Pedone 1.9 | Nemorino 5.08 |
| 2019-03-19 21:57 | 72 | rofChade 2.016T | Arasan TCEC15 |
| 2019-03-19 23:01 | 73 | Arasan TCEC15 | AllieStein v0.2-n4 |
| 2019-03-20 00:05 | 74 | Nemorino 5.08 | rofChade 2.016T |
| 2019-03-20 01:09 | 75 | Gull 3 | Pedone 1.9 |
| 2019-03-20 02:13 | 76 | Texel 1.08a13 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 |
| 2019-03-20 03:17 | 77 | AllieStein v0.2-n4 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 |
| 2019-03-20 04:22 | 78 | Pedone 1.9 | Texel 1.08a13 |
| 2019-03-20 05:26 | 79 | rofChade 2.016T | Gull 3 |
| 2019-03-20 06:30 | 80 | Arasan TCEC15 | Nemorino 5.08 |
| 2019-03-20 07:34 | 81 | Nemorino 5.08 | AllieStein v0.2-n4 |
| 2019-03-20 08:38 | 82 | Gull 3 | Arasan TCEC15 |
| 2019-03-20 09:43 | 83 | Texel 1.08a13 | rofChade 2.016T |
| 2019-03-20 10:47 | 84 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 | Pedone 1.9 |
| 2019-03-20 11:51 | 85 | AllieStein v0.2-n4 | Pedone 1.9 |
| 2019-03-20 12:55 | 86 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 | rofChade 2.016T |
| 2019-03-20 13:59 | 87 | Texel 1.08a13 | Arasan TCEC15 |
| 2019-03-20 15:03 | 88 | Gull 3 | Nemorino 5.08 |
| 2019-03-20 16:08 | 89 | Gull 3 | AllieStein v0.2-n4 |
| 2019-03-20 17:12 | 90 | Nemorino 5.08 | Texel 1.08a13 |
| 2019-03-20 18:16 | 91 | Arasan TCEC15 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 |
| 2019-03-20 19:20 | 92 | rofChade 2.016T | Pedone 1.9 |
| 2019-03-20 20:24 | 93 | AllieStein v0.2-n4 | rofChade 2.016T |
| 2019-03-20 21:29 | 94 | Pedone 1.9 | Arasan TCEC15 |
| 2019-03-20 22:33 | 95 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 | Nemorino 5.08 |
| 2019-03-20 23:37 | 96 | Texel 1.08a13 | Gull 3 |
| 2019-03-21 00:41 | 97 | Texel 1.08a13 | AllieStein v0.2-n4 |
| 2019-03-21 01:45 | 98 | Gull 3 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 |
| 2019-03-21 02:49 | 99 | Nemorino 5.08 | Pedone 1.9 |
| 2019-03-21 03:54 | 100 | Arasan TCEC15 | rofChade 2.016T |
| 2019-03-21 04:58 | 101 | AllieStein v0.2-n4 | Arasan TCEC15 |
| 2019-03-21 06:02 | 102 | rofChade 2.016T | Nemorino 5.08 |
| 2019-03-21 07:06 | 103 | Pedone 1.9 | Gull 3 |
| 2019-03-21 08:10 | 104 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 | Texel 1.08a13 |
| 2019-03-21 09:15 | 105 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 | AllieStein v0.2-n4 |
| 2019-03-21 10:19 | 106 | Texel 1.08a13 | Pedone 1.9 |
| 2019-03-21 11:23 | 107 | Gull 3 | rofChade 2.016T |
| 2019-03-21 12:27 | 108 | Nemorino 5.08 | Arasan TCEC15 |
| 2019-03-21 13:31 | 109 | AllieStein v0.2-n4 | Nemorino 5.08 |
| 2019-03-21 14:35 | 110 | Arasan TCEC15 | Gull 3 |
| 2019-03-21 15:40 | 111 | rofChade 2.016T | Texel 1.08a13 |
| 2019-03-21 16:44 | 112 | Pedone 1.9 | Vajolet2 2.6.1 |