Mar 21 2019
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For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 rofChade 2.016T 16.0 17.14 0.60 1.20 80 20 0 0 0 0 0
2 AllieStein v0.1-n4/v0.2-n4 16.0 16.65 0.41 1.80 20 80 0 0 0 0 0
3 Arasan TCEC15 13.5 14.55 0.61 3.18 0 0 84 13 3 0 0
4 Gull 3 12.5 13.48 0.61 4.60 0 0 12 38 31 18 2
5 Texel 1.08a13 12.5 13.39 0.59 4.91 0 0 4 37 30 22 7
6 Vajolet2 2.6.1 12.5 12.97 0.43 5.88 0 0 0 8 24 41 27
7 Pedone 1.9 11.5 12.48 0.61 6.48 0 0 0 5 12 20 59
8 Nemorino 5.08 10.5 11.32 0.60 7.95 0 0 0 0 0 0 5

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. rofChade 2.016T 79.317% 20.683% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 20.683% 79.317% 100.000%
3. Arasan TCEC15 71.529% 18.692% 7.925% 1.854%
4. Gull 3 17.991% 25.537% 32.728% 19.652% 4.092% 3.971% 0.121%
5. Texel 1.08a13 10.480% 32.627% 19.644% 19.681% 17.568% 17.568%
6. Vajolet2 2.6.1 17.842% 24.965% 25.334% 31.859% 28.881% 2.978%
7. Pedone 1.9 5.302% 14.738% 32.886% 47.074% 42.175% 4.899%
8. Nemorino 5.08 0.593% 99.407% 7.405% 92.002%

Speculate Texel 1.08a13 – Pedone 1.9 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. rofChade 2.016T 81.405% 18.595% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 18.595% 81.405% 100.000%
3. Arasan TCEC15 64.595% 18.475% 14.635% 2.295%
4. Texel 1.08a13 21.784% 52.657% 15.728% 9.831%
5. Gull 3 13.621% 17.103% 42.827% 25.777% 0.672% 0.672%
6. Vajolet2 2.6.1 11.765% 26.390% 23.841% 38.004% 35.010% 2.994%
7. Pedone 1.9 0.420% 37.584% 61.996% 51.991% 10.005%
8. Nemorino 5.08 0.672% 99.328% 12.327% 87.001%

Speculate Texel 1.08a13 – Pedone 1.9 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. rofChade 2.016T 81.620% 18.380% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 18.380% 81.620% 100.000%
3. Arasan TCEC15 74.307% 17.894% 6.847% 0.952%
4. Gull 3 19.916% 28.469% 26.123% 19.337% 6.155% 6.155%
5. Texel 1.08a13 5.777% 32.063% 33.795% 28.365%
6. Vajolet2 2.6.1 21.574% 27.747% 16.486% 34.193% 31.101% 3.092%
7. Pedone 1.9 5.488% 34.056% 60.456% 57.704% 2.752%
8. Nemorino 5.08 0.804% 99.196% 5.040% 94.156%

Speculate Texel 1.08a13 – Pedone 1.9 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. rofChade 2.016T 74.880% 25.120% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 25.120% 74.880% 100.000%
3. Arasan TCEC15 77.492% 19.894% 0.693% 1.921%
4. Gull 3 22.272% 34.841% 24.506% 11.699% 6.682% 6.337% 0.345%
5. Texel 1.08a13 0.236% 6.239% 13.108% 25.126% 55.291% 55.291%
6. Vajolet2 2.6.1 22.297% 20.523% 35.044% 22.136% 19.134% 3.002%
7. Pedone 1.9 16.729% 41.170% 25.796% 16.305% 16.305%
8. Nemorino 5.08 0.414% 99.586% 2.933% 96.653%

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.09h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-03-21 13:27 107 Gull 3 rofChade 2.016T
2019-03-21 14:32 108 Nemorino 5.08 Arasan TCEC15
2019-03-21 15:37 109 AllieStein v0.2-n4 Nemorino 5.08
2019-03-21 16:43 110 Arasan TCEC15 Gull 3
2019-03-21 17:48 111 rofChade 2.016T Texel 1.08a13
2019-03-21 18:53 112 Pedone 1.9 Vajolet2 2.6.1
Posted inBayesElo