Mar 21 2019
Off

For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 rofChade 2.016T 16.0 17.13 0.60 1.20 80 20 0 0 0 0 0
2 AllieStein v0.1-n4/v0.2-n4 16.0 16.65 0.41 1.80 20 80 0 0 0 0 0
3 Arasan TCEC15 13.5 14.55 0.61 3.25 0 0 80 14 6 0 0
4 Texel 1.08a13 13.5 13.86 0.41 4.14 0 0 10 66 24 0 0
5 Gull 3 12.5 13.49 0.60 4.80 0 0 10 20 50 20 0
6 Vajolet2 2.6.1 12.5 12.99 0.43 5.80 0 0 0 0 20 80 0
7 Pedone 1.9 11.5 12.01 0.43 7.12 0 0 0 0 0 0 88
8 Nemorino 5.08 10.5 11.32 0.59 7.88 0 0 0 0 0 0 12

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. rofChade 2.016T 81.242% 18.758% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 18.758% 81.242% 100.000%
3. Arasan TCEC15 64.795% 18.490% 14.524% 2.191%
4. Texel 1.08a13 21.687% 52.658% 15.713% 9.942%
5. Gull 3 13.518% 17.125% 43.035% 25.654% 0.668% 0.668%
6. Vajolet2 2.6.1 11.727% 26.312% 23.832% 38.129% 35.089% 3.040%
7. Pedone 1.9 0.416% 37.713% 61.871% 51.883% 9.988%
8. Nemorino 5.08 0.668% 99.332% 12.360% 86.972%

Speculate Gull 3 – rofChade 2.016T 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. rofChade 2.016T 67.836% 32.164% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 32.164% 67.836% 100.000%
3. Arasan TCEC15 55.308% 22.180% 20.318% 2.194%
4. Gull 3 26.683% 24.416% 42.161% 6.740%
5. Texel 1.08a13 18.009% 46.551% 19.808% 15.632%
6. Vajolet2 2.6.1 6.853% 17.713% 37.801% 37.633% 34.695% 2.938%
7. Pedone 1.9 37.633% 62.367% 52.241% 10.126%
8. Nemorino 5.08 100.000% 13.064% 86.936%

Speculate Gull 3 – rofChade 2.016T 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. rofChade 2.016T 74.862% 25.138% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 25.138% 74.862% 100.000%
3. Arasan TCEC15 66.598% 16.919% 14.330% 2.153%
4. Texel 1.08a13 22.310% 53.807% 14.817% 9.066%
5. Gull 3 11.092% 17.239% 42.924% 28.745%
6. Vajolet2 2.6.1 12.035% 27.929% 22.379% 37.657% 34.700% 2.957%
7. Pedone 1.9 37.657% 62.343% 52.319% 10.024%
8. Nemorino 5.08 100.000% 12.981% 87.019%

Speculate Gull 3 – rofChade 2.016T 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. rofChade 2.016T 100.000% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 100.000% 100.000%
3. Arasan TCEC15 72.773% 15.669% 9.458% 2.100%
4. Texel 1.08a13 25.127% 58.231% 12.431% 4.211%
5. Gull 3 2.100% 9.458% 42.934% 43.701% 1.807% 1.807%
6. Vajolet2 2.6.1 16.642% 34.055% 10.837% 38.466% 35.524% 2.942%
7. Pedone 1.9 1.122% 37.344% 61.534% 51.670% 9.864%
8. Nemorino 5.08 1.807% 98.193% 10.999% 87.194%

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.09h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-03-21 14:41 108 Nemorino 5.08 Arasan TCEC15
2019-03-21 15:47 109 AllieStein v0.2-n4 Nemorino 5.08
2019-03-21 16:52 110 Arasan TCEC15 Gull 3
2019-03-21 17:57 111 rofChade 2.016T Texel 1.08a13
2019-03-21 19:03 112 Pedone 1.9 Vajolet2 2.6.1
Posted inBayesElo