For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5
1 rofChade 2.016T 17.0 17.65 0.41 1.00 100 0 0 0 0
2 AllieStein v0.1-n4/v0.2-n4 16.5 16.50 0.00 2.00 0100 0 0 0
3 Arasan TCEC15 14.5 15.03 0.43 3.00 0 0100 0 0
4 Texel 1.08a13 13.5 13.85 0.41 4.00 0 0 0100 0
5 Vajolet2 2.6.1 12.5 12.98 0.43 5.48 0 0 0 0 52
6 Gull 3 12.5 12.97 0.43 5.52 0 0 0 0 48
7 Pedone 1.9 11.5 12.02 0.43 7.00 0 0 0 0 0
8 Nemorino 5.08 11.0 11.00 0.00 8.00 0 0 0 0 0

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. rofChade 2.016T 100.000% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 100.000% 100.000%
3. Arasan TCEC15 92.529% 7.471%
4. Texel 1.08a13 7.471% 73.644% 12.653% 6.232%
5. Vajolet2 2.6.1 18.885% 34.175% 8.833% 38.107% 38.107%
6. Gull 3 53.172% 46.828%
7. Pedone 1.9 38.107% 61.893% 61.893%
8. Nemorino 5.08 100.000% 100.000%

Speculate Arasan TCEC15 – Gull 3 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. rofChade 2.016T 100.000% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 100.000% 100.000%
3. Arasan TCEC15 100.000%
4. Texel 1.08a13 81.116% 18.884%
5. Vajolet2 2.6.1 18.884% 42.470% 38.646% 38.646%
6. Gull 3 38.646% 61.354%
7. Pedone 1.9 38.646% 61.354% 61.354%
8. Nemorino 5.08 100.000% 100.000%

Speculate Arasan TCEC15 – Gull 3 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. rofChade 2.016T 100.000% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 100.000% 100.000%
3. Arasan TCEC15 100.000%
4. Texel 1.08a13 81.292% 18.708%
5. Vajolet2 2.6.1 18.708% 42.841% 38.451% 38.451%
6. Gull 3 38.451% 61.549%
7. Pedone 1.9 38.451% 61.549% 61.549%
8. Nemorino 5.08 100.000% 100.000%

Speculate Arasan TCEC15 – Gull 3 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. rofChade 2.016T 100.000% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 100.000% 100.000%
3. Arasan TCEC15 77.357% 22.643%
4. Texel 1.08a13 22.643% 58.450% 18.907%
5. Vajolet2 2.6.1 18.907% 16.564% 26.660% 37.869% 37.869%
6. Gull 3 83.436% 16.564%
7. Pedone 1.9 37.869% 62.131% 62.131%
8. Nemorino 5.08 100.000% 100.000%

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.09h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-03-21 18:25 111 rofChade 2.016T Texel 1.08a13
2019-03-21 19:31 112 Pedone 1.9 Vajolet2 2.6.1