Mar 25 2019
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For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 Xiphos 0.5.2 12.0 20.19 1.64 1.13 89 9 1 0 0 0 0
2 AllieStein v0.1-n4/v0.2-n4 11.0 17.09 1.56 2.29 9 64 17 7 2 0 0
3 Booot 6.3.1 9.0 14.91 1.52 3.72 1 12 35 28 17 6 1
4 ChessBrainVB 3.72 8.5 14.43 1.57 4.11 0 8 25 30 23 10 3
5 Ginkgo 2.18 8.0 13.96 1.71 4.45 0 6 19 24 30 15 6
6 Fritz 16.10 6.5 11.96 1.49 6.02 0 0 2 6 17 39 33
7 rofChade 2.016T/2.018T 5.5 11.38 1.58 6.39 0 0 1 4 11 29 49
8 Nirvana 2.4 3.5 8.09 1.45 7.89 0 0 0 0 0 1 8

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Xiphos 0.5.2 86.472% 11.539% 98.011% 1.607% 0.308% 0.065% 0.008% 0.001% 0.001%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 11.891% 61.264% 73.155% 17.471% 6.740% 2.125% 0.450% 0.059% 0.059%
3. Booot 6.3.1 0.966% 12.413% 13.379% 33.736% 28.158% 16.047% 6.679% 2.001% 1.979% 0.022%
4. Ginkgo 2.18 0.358% 5.789% 6.147% 16.842% 22.218% 28.835% 17.317% 8.641% 7.997% 0.644%
5. ChessBrainVB 3.72 0.309% 8.560% 8.869% 26.203% 30.341% 21.379% 9.695% 3.513% 3.379% 0.134%
6. Fritz 16.10 0.004% 0.198% 0.202% 2.434% 7.154% 18.071% 35.079% 37.060% 32.884% 4.176%
7. rofChade 2.018T 0.237% 0.237% 1.701% 5.041% 13.152% 28.758% 51.111% 43.498% 7.613%
8. Nirvana 2.4 0.006% 0.040% 0.326% 2.014% 97.614% 10.203% 87.411%

Speculate Ginkgo 2.18 – AllieStein v0.2-n4 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Xiphos 0.5.2 90.110% 7.954% 98.064% 1.482% 0.374% 0.074% 0.006%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 7.617% 54.588% 62.205% 22.342% 10.492% 3.990% 0.843% 0.128% 0.128%
3. Booot 6.3.1 1.169% 15.075% 16.244% 28.286% 26.998% 18.883% 7.393% 2.196% 2.182% 0.014%
4. Ginkgo 2.18 0.744% 11.233% 11.977% 22.289% 24.590% 25.585% 11.696% 3.863% 3.687% 0.176%
5. ChessBrainVB 3.72 0.359% 10.494% 10.853% 22.092% 27.349% 24.926% 11.112% 3.668% 3.528% 0.140%
6. Fritz 16.10 0.001% 0.339% 0.340% 2.024% 5.942% 15.473% 37.380% 38.841% 34.653% 4.188%
7. rofChade 2.018T 0.317% 0.317% 1.484% 4.233% 10.870% 29.714% 53.382% 45.686% 7.696%
8. Nirvana 2.4 0.001% 0.022% 0.199% 1.856% 97.922% 10.136% 87.786%

Speculate Ginkgo 2.18 – AllieStein v0.2-n4 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Xiphos 0.5.2 86.606% 11.409% 98.015% 1.626% 0.296% 0.054% 0.008% 0.001% 0.001%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 11.838% 63.562% 75.400% 16.862% 5.843% 1.596% 0.268% 0.031% 0.031%
3. Booot 6.3.1 0.997% 12.110% 13.107% 34.328% 28.147% 15.854% 6.491% 2.073% 2.053% 0.020%
4. ChessBrainVB 3.72 0.298% 8.147% 8.445% 26.310% 30.404% 21.533% 9.895% 3.413% 3.281% 0.132%
5. Ginkgo 2.18 0.255% 4.319% 4.574% 16.579% 22.914% 29.875% 17.998% 8.060% 7.566% 0.494%
6. Fritz 16.10 0.005% 0.212% 0.217% 2.564% 7.260% 17.942% 34.826% 37.191% 33.198% 3.993%
7. rofChade 2.018T 0.001% 0.241% 0.242% 1.727% 5.096% 12.824% 28.556% 51.555% 43.890% 7.665%
8. Nirvana 2.4 0.004% 0.040% 0.322% 1.958% 97.676% 9.980% 87.696%

Speculate Ginkgo 2.18 – AllieStein v0.2-n4 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Xiphos 0.5.2 81.593% 16.308% 97.901% 1.782% 0.269% 0.034% 0.014%
2. AllieStein v0.2-n4 17.281% 66.978% 84.259% 11.959% 3.213% 0.491% 0.073% 0.005% 0.005%
3. Booot 6.3.1 0.826% 9.118% 9.944% 39.948% 29.366% 13.266% 5.687% 1.789% 1.775% 0.014%
4. ChessBrainVB 3.72 0.232% 6.077% 6.309% 30.361% 33.507% 18.005% 8.611% 3.207% 3.060% 0.147%
5. Ginkgo 2.18 0.064% 1.233% 1.297% 10.828% 18.933% 30.484% 23.696% 14.762% 13.419% 1.343%
6. rofChade 2.018T 0.002% 0.154% 0.156% 2.066% 5.987% 15.828% 27.868% 48.095% 40.499% 7.596%
7. Fritz 16.10 0.002% 0.132% 0.134% 3.051% 8.671% 21.363% 31.804% 34.977% 30.815% 4.162%
8. Nirvana 2.4 0.005% 0.054% 0.529% 2.247% 97.165% 10.427% 86.738%

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.08h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-03-25 17:27 66 Xiphos 0.5.2 Fritz 16.10
2019-03-25 18:32 67 Booot 6.3.1 rofChade 2.018T
2019-03-25 19:37 68 Nirvana 2.4 ChessBrainVB 3.72
2019-03-25 20:42 69 AllieStein v0.2-n4 ChessBrainVB 3.72
2019-03-25 21:47 70 rofChade 2.018T Nirvana 2.4
2019-03-25 22:52 71 Fritz 16.10 Booot 6.3.1
2019-03-25 23:57 72 Ginkgo 2.18 Xiphos 0.5.2
2019-03-26 01:02 73 Xiphos 0.5.2 AllieStein v0.2-n4
2019-03-26 02:07 74 Booot 6.3.1 Ginkgo 2.18
2019-03-26 03:12 75 Nirvana 2.4 Fritz 16.10
2019-03-26 04:17 76 ChessBrainVB 3.72 rofChade 2.018T
2019-03-26 05:22 77 AllieStein v0.2-n4 rofChade 2.018T
2019-03-26 06:27 78 Fritz 16.10 ChessBrainVB 3.72
2019-03-26 07:32 79 Ginkgo 2.18 Nirvana 2.4
2019-03-26 08:37 80 Xiphos 0.5.2 Booot 6.3.1
2019-03-26 09:42 81 Booot 6.3.1 AllieStein v0.2-n4
2019-03-26 10:47 82 Nirvana 2.4 Xiphos 0.5.2
2019-03-26 11:52 83 ChessBrainVB 3.72 Ginkgo 2.18
2019-03-26 12:57 84 rofChade 2.018T Fritz 16.10
2019-03-26 14:02 85 AllieStein v0.2-n4 Fritz 16.10
2019-03-26 15:07 86 rofChade 2.018T Ginkgo 2.18
2019-03-26 16:12 87 ChessBrainVB 3.72 Xiphos 0.5.2
2019-03-26 17:17 88 Nirvana 2.4 Booot 6.3.1
2019-03-26 18:22 89 Nirvana 2.4 AllieStein v0.2-n4
2019-03-26 19:27 90 Booot 6.3.1 ChessBrainVB 3.72
2019-03-26 20:32 91 Xiphos 0.5.2 rofChade 2.018T
2019-03-26 21:37 92 Ginkgo 2.18 Fritz 16.10
2019-03-26 22:42 93 AllieStein v0.2-n4 Ginkgo 2.18
2019-03-26 23:47 94 Fritz 16.10 Xiphos 0.5.2
2019-03-27 00:52 95 rofChade 2.018T Booot 6.3.1
2019-03-27 01:57 96 ChessBrainVB 3.72 Nirvana 2.4
2019-03-27 03:02 97 ChessBrainVB 3.72 AllieStein v0.2-n4
2019-03-27 04:08 98 Nirvana 2.4 rofChade 2.018T
2019-03-27 05:13 99 Booot 6.3.1 Fritz 16.10
2019-03-27 06:18 100 Xiphos 0.5.2 Ginkgo 2.18
2019-03-27 07:23 101 AllieStein v0.2-n4 Xiphos 0.5.2
2019-03-27 08:28 102 Ginkgo 2.18 Booot 6.3.1
2019-03-27 09:33 103 Fritz 16.10 Nirvana 2.4
2019-03-27 10:38 104 rofChade 2.018T ChessBrainVB 3.72
2019-03-27 11:43 105 rofChade 2.018T AllieStein v0.2-n4
2019-03-27 12:48 106 ChessBrainVB 3.72 Fritz 16.10
2019-03-27 13:53 107 Nirvana 2.4 Ginkgo 2.18
2019-03-27 14:58 108 Booot 6.3.1 Xiphos 0.5.2
2019-03-27 16:03 109 AllieStein v0.2-n4 Booot 6.3.1
2019-03-27 17:08 110 Xiphos 0.5.2 Nirvana 2.4
2019-03-27 18:13 111 Ginkgo 2.18 ChessBrainVB 3.72
2019-03-27 19:18 112 Fritz 16.10 rofChade 2.018T
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