For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KomodoMCTS 2301.00 | 12.0 | 17.18 | 1.39 | 1.71 | 58 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4/v0.2-n4/v0.3dev-n4 | 11.5 | 16.26 | 1.30 | 2.43 | 24 | 36 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | Laser 230319 | 10.5 | 15.25 | 1.40 | 3.41 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 14 | 6 | 2 |
| 4 | Xiphos 0.5.2 | 9.5 | 15.15 | 1.42 | 3.52 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 2 |
| 5 | Andscacs 0.95123 | 9.5 | 13.94 | 1.41 | 4.76 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 33 | 19 | 9 |
| 6 | Fizbo 2 | 8.5 | 12.76 | 1.29 | 5.89 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 40 | 27 |
| 7 | Jonny 8.1 | 7.5 | 12.03 | 1.36 | 6.44 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 51 |
| 8 | Chiron 230119 | 6.0 | 9.43 | 1.37 | 7.85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | KomodoMCTS 2301.00 | 54.871% | 23.820% | 78.691% | 12.429% | 6.268% | 2.067% | 0.462% | 0.083% | 0.082% | 0.001% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 | 23.483% | 32.959% | 56.442% | 22.316% | 13.802% | 5.655% | 1.540% | 0.245% | 0.238% | 0.007% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 230319 | 10.522% | 17.405% | 27.927% | 23.612% | 23.541% | 15.278% | 7.425% | 2.217% | 2.177% | 0.040% | |||||
| 4. | Xiphos 0.5.2 | 9.348% | 18.090% | 27.438% | 24.097% | 23.298% | 15.803% | 6.849% | 2.515% | 2.427% | 0.088% | |||||
| 5. | Andscacs 0.95123 | 1.577% | 6.403% | 7.980% | 12.580% | 19.603% | 28.806% | 19.537% | 11.494% | 10.826% | 0.668% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 0.115% | 0.910% | 1.025% | 3.383% | 9.143% | 21.011% | 38.838% | 26.600% | 23.348% | 3.252% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.084% | 0.413% | 0.497% | 1.574% | 4.306% | 10.987% | 23.200% | 59.436% | 51.879% | 7.557% | |||||
| 8. | Chiron 230119 | 0.009% | 0.039% | 0.393% | 2.149% | 97.410% | 9.023% | 88.387% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Xiphos 0.5.2 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | KomodoMCTS 2301.00 | 57.274% | 23.528% | 80.802% | 11.423% | 5.219% | 1.886% | 0.544% | 0.126% | 0.125% | 0.001% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 | 24.841% | 35.719% | 60.560% | 20.758% | 11.635% | 5.029% | 1.652% | 0.366% | 0.360% | 0.006% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 230319 | 11.207% | 19.234% | 30.441% | 25.343% | 20.587% | 13.255% | 7.202% | 3.172% | 3.089% | 0.083% | |||||
| 4. | Xiphos 0.5.2 | 4.463% | 12.288% | 16.751% | 20.835% | 24.586% | 20.321% | 11.593% | 5.914% | 5.689% | 0.225% | |||||
| 5. | Andscacs 0.95123 | 1.860% | 7.029% | 8.889% | 14.107% | 20.226% | 23.892% | 18.726% | 14.160% | 13.396% | 0.764% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 0.155% | 1.151% | 1.306% | 4.165% | 9.596% | 19.403% | 32.277% | 33.253% | 29.707% | 3.546% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.200% | 1.051% | 1.251% | 3.359% | 8.088% | 15.863% | 26.494% | 44.945% | 41.241% | 3.704% | |||||
| 8. | Chiron 230119 | 0.010% | 0.063% | 0.351% | 1.512% | 98.064% | 6.393% | 91.671% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Xiphos 0.5.2 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | KomodoMCTS 2301.00 | 55.339% | 23.750% | 79.089% | 12.184% | 6.168% | 2.016% | 0.462% | 0.081% | 0.081% | ||||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 | 23.905% | 33.212% | 57.117% | 22.053% | 13.344% | 5.664% | 1.542% | 0.280% | 0.275% | 0.005% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 230319 | 10.772% | 17.969% | 28.741% | 23.747% | 23.095% | 14.817% | 7.313% | 2.287% | 2.214% | 0.073% | |||||
| 4. | Xiphos 0.5.2 | 8.153% | 17.523% | 25.676% | 24.565% | 24.433% | 16.581% | 6.733% | 2.012% | 1.953% | 0.059% | |||||
| 5. | Andscacs 0.95123 | 1.651% | 6.268% | 7.919% | 12.701% | 19.641% | 28.161% | 19.548% | 12.030% | 11.352% | 0.678% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 0.135% | 0.960% | 1.095% | 3.512% | 9.162% | 21.146% | 37.826% | 27.259% | 23.982% | 3.277% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.045% | 0.317% | 0.362% | 1.232% | 4.106% | 11.225% | 24.546% | 58.529% | 51.840% | 6.689% | |||||
| 8. | Chiron 230119 | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.006% | 0.051% | 0.390% | 2.030% | 97.522% | 8.303% | 89.219% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Xiphos 0.5.2 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | KomodoMCTS 2301.00 | 52.156% | 24.192% | 76.348% | 13.590% | 7.285% | 2.296% | 0.411% | 0.070% | 0.070% | ||||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 | 22.456% | 30.199% | 52.655% | 23.704% | 15.468% | 6.550% | 1.443% | 0.180% | 0.175% | 0.005% | |||||
| 3. | Xiphos 0.5.2 | 13.916% | 22.726% | 36.642% | 25.689% | 21.969% | 12.113% | 3.151% | 0.436% | 0.425% | 0.011% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 230319 | 9.780% | 16.510% | 26.290% | 22.445% | 25.441% | 16.750% | 7.478% | 1.596% | 1.547% | 0.049% | |||||
| 5. | Andscacs 0.95123 | 1.554% | 5.579% | 7.133% | 11.415% | 19.703% | 32.335% | 19.979% | 9.435% | 8.771% | 0.664% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 0.122% | 0.720% | 0.842% | 2.749% | 8.310% | 22.101% | 44.221% | 21.777% | 18.875% | 2.902% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.016% | 0.073% | 0.089% | 0.404% | 1.786% | 7.453% | 20.643% | 69.625% | 58.664% | 10.961% | |||||
| 8. | Chiron 230119 | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.004% | 0.038% | 0.402% | 2.674% | 96.881% | 11.473% | 85.408% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.85h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-04-03 15:51 | 77 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 | Xiphos 0.5.2 |
| 2019-04-03 17:42 | 78 | Andscacs 0.95123 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2019-04-03 19:33 | 79 | KomodoMCTS 2301.00 | Laser 230319 |
| 2019-04-03 21:24 | 80 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron 230119 |
| 2019-04-03 23:15 | 81 | Chiron 230119 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 |
| 2019-04-04 01:06 | 82 | Laser 230319 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2019-04-04 02:58 | 83 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2301.00 |
| 2019-04-04 04:49 | 84 | Xiphos 0.5.2 | Andscacs 0.95123 |
| 2019-04-04 06:40 | 85 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 | Andscacs 0.95123 |
| 2019-04-04 08:31 | 86 | Xiphos 0.5.2 | KomodoMCTS 2301.00 |
| 2019-04-04 10:22 | 87 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2019-04-04 12:13 | 88 | Laser 230319 | Chiron 230119 |
| 2019-04-04 14:05 | 89 | Laser 230319 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 |
| 2019-04-04 15:56 | 90 | Chiron 230119 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2019-04-04 17:47 | 91 | Fizbo 2 | Xiphos 0.5.2 |
| 2019-04-04 19:38 | 92 | KomodoMCTS 2301.00 | Andscacs 0.95123 |
| 2019-04-04 21:29 | 93 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 | KomodoMCTS 2301.00 |
| 2019-04-04 23:20 | 94 | Andscacs 0.95123 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2019-04-05 01:11 | 95 | Xiphos 0.5.2 | Chiron 230119 |
| 2019-04-05 03:03 | 96 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 230319 |
| 2019-04-05 04:54 | 97 | Jonny 8.1 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 |
| 2019-04-05 06:45 | 98 | Laser 230319 | Xiphos 0.5.2 |
| 2019-04-05 08:36 | 99 | Chiron 230119 | Andscacs 0.95123 |
| 2019-04-05 10:27 | 100 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2301.00 |
| 2019-04-05 12:18 | 101 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2019-04-05 14:10 | 102 | KomodoMCTS 2301.00 | Chiron 230119 |
| 2019-04-05 16:01 | 103 | Andscacs 0.95123 | Laser 230319 |
| 2019-04-05 17:52 | 104 | Xiphos 0.5.2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2019-04-05 19:43 | 105 | Xiphos 0.5.2 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 |
| 2019-04-05 21:34 | 106 | Jonny 8.1 | Andscacs 0.95123 |
| 2019-04-05 23:25 | 107 | Laser 230319 | KomodoMCTS 2301.00 |
| 2019-04-06 01:17 | 108 | Chiron 230119 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2019-04-06 03:08 | 109 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 | Chiron 230119 |
| 2019-04-06 04:59 | 110 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 230319 |
| 2019-04-06 06:50 | 111 | KomodoMCTS 2301.00 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2019-04-06 08:41 | 112 | Andscacs 0.95123 | Xiphos 0.5.2 |