For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank
1 KomodoMCTS 2301.00 16.5 17.14 0.41 1.00
2 AllieStein v0.1-n4/v0.2-n4/v0.3dev-n4 16.5 16.50 0.00 2.00
3 Xiphos 0.5.2 15.0 15.51 0.43 3.00
4 Laser 230319 15.0 15.00 0.00 4.00
5 Andscacs 0.95123 14.0 14.49 0.43 5.00
6 Jonny 8.1 12.0 12.36 0.41 6.00
7 Fizbo 2 12.0 12.00 0.00 7.00
8 Chiron 230119 9.0 9.00 0.00 8.00

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. KomodoMCTS 2301.00 76.631% 23.369% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 23.369% 76.631% 100.000%
3. Xiphos 0.5.2 64.126% 35.874%
4. Laser 230319 64.126% 35.874%
5. Andscacs 0.95123 35.874% 64.126%
6. Fizbo 2 52.356% 47.644% 47.644%
7. Jonny 8.1 47.644% 52.356% 52.356%
8. Chiron 230119 100.000% 100.000%

Speculate KomodoMCTS 2301.00 – Jonny 8.1 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. KomodoMCTS 2301.00 100.000% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 100.000% 100.000%
3. Xiphos 0.5.2 64.018% 35.982%
4. Laser 230319 64.018% 35.982%
5. Andscacs 0.95123 35.982% 64.018%
6. Fizbo 2 100.000%
7. Jonny 8.1 100.000% 100.000%
8. Chiron 230119 100.000% 100.000%

Speculate KomodoMCTS 2301.00 – Jonny 8.1 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. KomodoMCTS 2301.00 100.000% 100.000%
2. AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 100.000% 100.000%
3. Xiphos 0.5.2 64.281% 35.719%
4. Laser 230319 64.281% 35.719%
5. Andscacs 0.95123 35.719% 64.281%
6. Jonny 8.1 100.000%
7. Fizbo 2 100.000% 100.000%
8. Chiron 230119 100.000% 100.000%

Speculate KomodoMCTS 2301.00 – Jonny 8.1 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. AllieStein v0.3dev-n4 100.000% 100.000%
2. KomodoMCTS 2301.00 100.000% 100.000%
3. Xiphos 0.5.2 64.190% 35.810%
4. Laser 230319 64.190% 35.810%
5. Andscacs 0.95123 35.810% 64.190%
6. Jonny 8.1 100.000%
7. Fizbo 2 100.000% 100.000%
8. Chiron 230119 100.000% 100.000%

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.84h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-04-06 07:46 112 Andscacs 0.95123 Xiphos 0.5.2