For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 Stockfish 19040612 8.0 24.91 3.23 2.35 43 21 14 9 6 3 2
2 Houdini 6.03 7.0 23.12 2.39 3.11 15 25 24 18 11 5 2
3 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 8.0 23.10 3.31 3.28 22 21 17 14 11 8 5
4 Komodo 2306.00 6.5 21.67 3.26 4.09 11 15 16 16 15 12 9
5 KomodoMCTS 2301.00/2306.00 7.0 21.16 2.75 4.38 6 11 16 19 20 15 9
6 Ethereal 11.38 5.0 18.94 3.27 5.69 3 5 8 11 15 18 20
7 AllieStein v0.1-n4/v0.2-n4/v0.3dev-n4/v0.3dev-n6.1 6.5 18.24 2.48 6.23 0 1 4 8 14 23 29
8 Fire 011819 4.0 16.86 2.78 6.88 0 1 2 4 8 15 25

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 19040612 42.101% 21.572% 63.673% 13.687% 9.480% 6.333% 3.731% 3.096% 2.196% 0.900%
2. LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 21.907% 20.273% 42.180% 16.636% 14.159% 11.304% 8.066% 7.655% 5.103% 2.552%
3. Houdini 6.03 14.736% 23.816% 38.552% 23.977% 17.962% 11.156% 5.654% 2.699% 2.196% 0.503%
4. Komodo 2306.00 11.636% 14.867% 26.503% 15.550% 15.796% 14.933% 12.269% 14.949% 9.084% 5.865%
5. KomodoMCTS 2306.00 6.016% 11.332% 17.348% 15.950% 18.772% 18.944% 14.870% 14.116% 9.680% 4.436%
6. Ethereal 11.38 2.845% 5.473% 8.318% 7.921% 10.959% 14.274% 17.722% 40.806% 19.243% 21.563%
7. AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 0.487% 1.711% 2.198% 3.983% 8.145% 14.456% 22.790% 48.428% 28.000% 20.428%
8. Fire 011819 0.272% 0.956% 1.228% 2.296% 4.727% 8.600% 14.898% 68.251% 24.498% 43.753%

Speculate Stockfish 19040612 – AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 19040612 45.162% 24.113% 69.275% 14.078% 8.421% 4.579% 2.307% 1.340% 1.013% 0.327%
2. LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 30.206% 25.145% 55.351% 16.916% 11.896% 7.942% 4.499% 3.396% 2.408% 0.988%
3. Houdini 6.03 11.768% 23.973% 35.741% 26.885% 19.641% 11.076% 4.659% 1.998% 1.619% 0.379%
4. KomodoMCTS 2306.00 4.868% 11.135% 16.003% 16.838% 21.273% 20.248% 13.850% 11.788% 8.195% 3.593%
5. Komodo 2306.00 6.541% 11.002% 17.543% 14.775% 17.415% 17.776% 14.358% 18.133% 11.030% 7.103%
6. AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 0.220% 1.097% 1.317% 3.270% 7.861% 15.621% 25.377% 46.554% 27.639% 18.915%
7. Ethereal 11.38 1.011% 2.696% 3.707% 4.951% 8.269% 12.389% 17.334% 53.350% 21.685% 31.665%
8. Fire 011819 0.224% 0.839% 1.063% 2.287% 5.224% 10.369% 17.616% 63.441% 26.411% 37.030%

Speculate Stockfish 19040612 – AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 34.644% 22.081% 56.725% 15.758% 11.234% 7.720% 4.759% 3.804% 2.678% 1.126%
2. Stockfish 19040612 32.826% 23.488% 56.314% 16.791% 11.574% 7.458% 4.525% 3.338% 2.405% 0.933%
3. Houdini 6.03 16.032% 25.148% 41.180% 24.617% 17.324% 10.109% 4.673% 2.097% 1.704% 0.393%
4. KomodoMCTS 2306.00 6.542% 12.008% 18.550% 16.605% 20.326% 18.579% 13.736% 12.204% 8.471% 3.733%
5. Komodo 2306.00 7.756% 11.233% 18.989% 13.721% 15.964% 16.718% 14.651% 19.957% 12.164% 7.793%
6. AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 0.633% 2.188% 2.821% 5.276% 10.810% 18.283% 25.372% 37.438% 23.731% 13.707%
7. Ethereal 11.38 1.244% 2.807% 4.051% 4.750% 7.587% 11.391% 15.870% 56.351% 22.200% 34.151%
8. Fire 011819 0.323% 1.047% 1.370% 2.482% 5.181% 9.742% 16.414% 64.811% 26.647% 38.164%

Speculate Stockfish 19040612 – AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 37.482% 20.691% 58.173% 14.630% 10.668% 7.501% 4.916% 4.112% 2.884% 1.228%
2. Stockfish 19040612 24.934% 21.196% 46.130% 17.308% 13.367% 9.912% 6.876% 6.407% 4.423% 1.984%
3. Houdini 6.03 18.758% 26.308% 45.066% 23.066% 15.711% 9.293% 4.636% 2.228% 1.810% 0.418%
4. KomodoMCTS 2306.00 7.456% 12.638% 20.094% 16.456% 19.018% 17.867% 13.899% 12.666% 8.848% 3.818%
5. Komodo 2306.00 8.442% 11.369% 19.811% 13.340% 15.159% 15.633% 14.870% 21.187% 12.754% 8.433%
6. AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 1.209% 3.776% 4.985% 7.754% 13.650% 19.833% 23.982% 29.796% 19.852% 9.944%
7. Ethereal 11.38 1.398% 2.846% 4.244% 4.815% 7.351% 10.756% 15.069% 57.765% 22.517% 35.248%
8. Fire 011819 0.321% 1.176% 1.497% 2.631% 5.076% 9.205% 15.752% 65.839% 26.912% 38.927%

Expected start time based on estimate of 2.97h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-04-14 08:18 54 Fire 011819 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-14 11:16 55 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-14 14:15 56 Komodo 2306.00 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-14 17:13 57 Komodo 2306.00 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-14 20:11 58 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-14 23:09 59 Fire 011819 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-15 02:07 60 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-15 05:05 61 Stockfish 19040612 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-15 08:03 62 Houdini 6.03 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-15 11:01 63 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 Fire 011819
2019-04-15 13:59 64 Komodo 2306.00 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-15 16:57 65 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-15 19:55 66 Fire 011819 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-15 22:54 67 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-16 01:52 68 Ethereal 11.38 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-16 04:50 69 Stockfish 19040612 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-16 07:48 70 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-16 10:46 71 Komodo 2306.00 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-16 13:44 72 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 Fire 011819
2019-04-16 16:42 73 Fire 011819 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-16 19:40 74 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-16 22:38 75 Ethereal 11.38 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-17 01:36 76 Houdini 6.03 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-17 04:34 77 Stockfish 19040612 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-17 07:33 78 Komodo 2306.00 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-17 10:31 79 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-17 13:29 80 Fire 011819 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-17 16:27 81 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-17 19:25 82 Ethereal 11.38 Fire 011819
2019-04-17 22:23 83 Houdini 6.03 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-18 01:21 84 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-18 04:19 85 Stockfish 19040612 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-18 07:17 86 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-18 10:15 87 Houdini 6.03 Fire 011819
2019-04-18 13:13 88 Ethereal 11.38 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-18 16:12 89 Ethereal 11.38 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-18 19:10 90 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-18 22:08 91 Fire 011819 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-19 01:06 92 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-19 04:04 93 Stockfish 19040612 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-19 07:02 94 Komodo 2306.00 Fire 011819
2019-04-19 10:00 95 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-19 12:58 96 Houdini 6.03 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-19 15:56 97 Houdini 6.03 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-19 18:54 98 Ethereal 11.38 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-19 21:52 99 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-20 00:51 100 Fire 011819 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-20 03:49 101 Stockfish 19040612 Fire 011819
2019-04-20 06:47 102 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-20 09:45 103 Komodo 2306.00 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-20 12:43 104 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-20 15:41 105 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-20 18:39 106 Houdini 6.03 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-20 21:37 107 Ethereal 11.38 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-21 00:35 108 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 Fire 011819
2019-04-21 03:33 109 Stockfish 19040612 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-21 06:31 110 Fire 011819 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-21 09:30 111 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-21 12:28 112 Komodo 2306.00 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-21 15:26 113 Komodo 2306.00 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-21 18:24 114 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-21 21:22 115 Fire 011819 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-22 00:20 116 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-22 03:18 117 Stockfish 19040612 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-22 06:16 118 Houdini 6.03 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-22 09:14 119 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 Fire 011819
2019-04-22 12:12 120 Komodo 2306.00 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-22 15:10 121 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-22 18:09 122 Fire 011819 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-22 21:07 123 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-23 00:05 124 Ethereal 11.38 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-23 03:03 125 Stockfish 19040612 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-23 06:01 126 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-23 08:59 127 Komodo 2306.00 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-23 11:57 128 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 Fire 011819
2019-04-23 14:55 129 Fire 011819 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-23 17:53 130 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-23 20:51 131 Ethereal 11.38 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-23 23:49 132 Houdini 6.03 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-24 02:48 133 Stockfish 19040612 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-24 05:46 134 Komodo 2306.00 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-24 08:44 135 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-24 11:42 136 Fire 011819 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-24 14:40 137 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-24 17:38 138 Ethereal 11.38 Fire 011819
2019-04-24 20:36 139 Houdini 6.03 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-24 23:34 140 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-25 02:32 141 Stockfish 19040612 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-25 05:30 142 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-25 08:28 143 Houdini 6.03 Fire 011819
2019-04-25 11:27 144 Ethereal 11.38 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-25 14:25 145 Ethereal 11.38 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-25 17:23 146 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-25 20:21 147 Fire 011819 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-25 23:19 148 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-26 02:17 149 Stockfish 19040612 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-26 05:15 150 Komodo 2306.00 Fire 011819
2019-04-26 08:13 151 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-26 11:11 152 Houdini 6.03 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-26 14:09 153 Houdini 6.03 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-26 17:07 154 Ethereal 11.38 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-26 20:06 155 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-26 23:04 156 Fire 011819 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-27 02:02 157 Stockfish 19040612 Fire 011819
2019-04-27 05:00 158 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-27 07:58 159 Komodo 2306.00 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-27 10:56 160 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-27 13:54 161 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-27 16:52 162 Houdini 6.03 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-27 19:50 163 Ethereal 11.38 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-27 22:48 164 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 Fire 011819
2019-04-28 01:46 165 Stockfish 19040612 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-28 04:45 166 Fire 011819 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-28 07:43 167 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-28 10:41 168 Komodo 2306.00 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800