For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 Stockfish 19040612 23.5 27.86 1.13 1.04 96 4 0 0 0 0 0
2 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 21.0 25.02 1.16 1.97 4 95 1 0 0 0 0
3 Komodo 2306.00 17.5 20.94 1.16 3.98 0 1 43 27 19 11 1
4 AllieStein v0.1-n4/v0.2-n4/v0.3dev-n4/v0.3dev-n6.1 17.5 20.45 1.12 4.46 0 0 24 28 27 20 2
5 Houdini 6.03 16.5 20.34 1.12 4.56 0 0 21 27 27 21 2
6 KomodoMCTS 2301.00/2306.00 16.5 19.79 1.15 5.12 0 0 10 18 26 40 5
7 Fire 011819 14.0 17.08 1.14 7.27 0 0 0 0 1 6 57
8 Ethereal 11.38 13.5 16.52 1.16 7.60 0 0 0 0 0 3 33

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 19040612 93.497% 6.501% 99.998% 0.002%
2. LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 6.503% 91.945% 98.448% 1.403% 0.136% 0.013%
3. Komodo 2306.00 0.673% 0.673% 41.925% 27.026% 18.708% 10.319% 1.349% 1.273% 0.076%
4. AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 0.489% 0.489% 24.320% 28.616% 26.954% 17.919% 1.702% 1.633% 0.069%
5. Houdini 6.03 0.330% 0.330% 23.464% 27.532% 26.512% 18.566% 3.596% 3.195% 0.401%
6. KomodoMCTS 2306.00 0.062% 0.062% 8.764% 15.994% 24.897% 40.531% 9.752% 8.505% 1.247%
7. Fire 011819 0.108% 0.559% 2.136% 8.360% 88.837% 51.465% 37.372%
8. Ethereal 11.38 0.014% 0.137% 0.780% 4.305% 94.764% 33.929% 60.835%

Speculate Stockfish 19040612 – Komodo 2306.00 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 19040612 96.475% 3.525% 100.000%
2. LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 3.525% 95.330% 98.855% 1.038% 0.094% 0.012% 0.001%
3. Komodo 2306.00 0.236% 0.236% 33.241% 27.977% 22.377% 13.999% 2.170% 1.994% 0.176%
4. AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 0.490% 0.490% 28.329% 27.238% 25.240% 16.960% 1.743% 1.664% 0.079%
5. Houdini 6.03 0.354% 0.354% 26.749% 27.206% 24.633% 17.490% 3.568% 3.203% 0.365%
6. KomodoMCTS 2306.00 0.065% 0.065% 10.496% 16.656% 24.521% 38.616% 9.646% 8.338% 1.308%
7. Fire 011819 0.122% 0.660% 2.321% 8.549% 88.348% 50.883% 37.465%
8. Ethereal 11.38 0.025% 0.169% 0.896% 4.385% 94.525% 33.918% 60.607%

Speculate Stockfish 19040612 – Komodo 2306.00 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 19040612 93.060% 6.940% 100.000%
2. LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 6.940% 91.629% 98.569% 1.267% 0.146% 0.018%
3. Komodo 2306.00 0.613% 0.613% 45.661% 27.882% 17.214% 7.849% 0.781% 0.746% 0.035%
4. AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 0.464% 0.464% 22.762% 28.531% 27.815% 18.684% 1.744% 1.676% 0.068%
5. Houdini 6.03 0.316% 0.316% 22.253% 27.311% 27.310% 19.180% 3.630% 3.253% 0.377%
6. KomodoMCTS 2306.00 0.038% 0.038% 7.937% 15.514% 24.877% 41.787% 9.847% 8.572% 1.275%
7. Fire 011819 0.099% 0.484% 2.022% 8.313% 89.082% 51.662% 37.420%
8. Ethereal 11.38 0.021% 0.132% 0.744% 4.187% 94.916% 34.091% 60.825%

Speculate Stockfish 19040612 – Komodo 2306.00 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 19040612 87.860% 12.138% 99.998% 0.002%
2. LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 12.139% 84.988% 97.127% 2.586% 0.259% 0.026% 0.002%
3. Komodo 2306.00 2.023% 2.023% 57.693% 24.512% 11.392% 4.152% 0.228% 0.225% 0.003%
4. AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 0.001% 0.467% 0.468% 17.341% 31.171% 29.951% 19.328% 1.741% 1.672% 0.069%
5. Houdini 6.03 0.340% 0.340% 16.691% 28.719% 30.061% 20.385% 3.804% 3.367% 0.437%
6. KomodoMCTS 2306.00 0.044% 0.044% 5.636% 14.820% 26.007% 43.640% 9.853% 8.561% 1.292%
7. Fire 011819 0.043% 0.418% 1.908% 8.379% 89.252% 52.012% 37.240%
8. Ethereal 11.38 0.008% 0.101% 0.655% 4.114% 95.122% 34.163% 60.959%

Expected start time based on estimate of 2.92h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-04-24 23:18 142 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-25 02:13 143 Houdini 6.03 Fire 011819
2019-04-25 05:09 144 Ethereal 11.38 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-25 08:04 145 Ethereal 11.38 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-25 11:00 146 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-25 13:55 147 Fire 011819 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-25 16:51 148 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-25 19:46 149 Stockfish 19040612 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-25 22:41 150 Komodo 2306.00 Fire 011819
2019-04-26 01:37 151 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-26 04:32 152 Houdini 6.03 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-26 07:28 153 Houdini 6.03 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-26 10:23 154 Ethereal 11.38 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
2019-04-26 13:19 155 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-26 16:14 156 Fire 011819 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-26 19:10 157 Stockfish 19040612 Fire 011819
2019-04-26 22:05 158 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-27 01:01 159 Komodo 2306.00 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-27 03:56 160 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-27 06:51 161 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 Stockfish 19040612
2019-04-27 09:47 162 Houdini 6.03 Komodo 2306.00
2019-04-27 12:42 163 Ethereal 11.38 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-27 15:38 164 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 Fire 011819
2019-04-27 18:33 165 Stockfish 19040612 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-27 21:29 166 Fire 011819 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-28 00:24 167 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-28 03:20 168 Komodo 2306.00 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800