For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 19040612 | 24.0 | 27.69 | 1.05 | 1.03 | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | 21.5 | 24.89 | 1.07 | 1.98 | 3 | 96 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Komodo 2306.00 | 18.0 | 21.12 | 1.07 | 3.85 | 0 | 1 | 48 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 4 | AllieStein v0.1-n4/v0.2-n4/v0.3dev-n4/v0.3dev-n6.1 | 17.5 | 20.45 | 1.12 | 4.54 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 27 | 27 | 22 | 2 |
| 5 | Houdini 6.03 | 16.5 | 20.33 | 1.12 | 4.64 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 26 | 27 | 24 | 2 |
| 6 | KomodoMCTS 2301.00/2306.00 | 17.0 | 19.93 | 1.06 | 5.06 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 28 | 38 | 4 |
| 7 | Fire 011819 | 14.0 | 17.08 | 1.14 | 7.29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 58 |
| 8 | Ethereal 11.38 | 13.5 | 16.51 | 1.17 | 7.61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 34 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 19040612 | 94.727% | 5.273% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | 5.273% | 93.312% | 98.585% | 1.302% | 0.107% | 0.006% | |||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2306.00 | 0.616% | 0.616% | 45.479% | 27.519% | 16.901% | 8.649% | 0.836% | 0.811% | 0.025% | ||||||
| 4. | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 | 0.471% | 0.471% | 22.897% | 28.140% | 27.016% | 19.590% | 1.886% | 1.825% | 0.061% | ||||||
| 5. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.319% | 0.319% | 21.765% | 26.728% | 26.897% | 20.521% | 3.770% | 3.394% | 0.376% | ||||||
| 6. | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 | 0.009% | 0.009% | 8.455% | 16.917% | 26.702% | 40.467% | 7.450% | 6.701% | 0.749% | ||||||
| 7. | Fire 011819 | 0.082% | 0.458% | 1.860% | 7.213% | 90.387% | 52.688% | 37.699% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.38 | 0.020% | 0.131% | 0.618% | 3.560% | 95.671% | 34.581% | 61.090% |
Speculate Houdini 6.03 – Fire 011819 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 19040612 | 94.745% | 5.255% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | 5.255% | 93.011% | 98.266% | 1.557% | 0.164% | 0.012% | 0.001% | ||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2306.00 | 0.649% | 0.649% | 41.130% | 28.935% | 19.140% | 9.569% | 0.577% | 0.559% | 0.018% | ||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.570% | 0.570% | 29.095% | 29.602% | 24.954% | 15.079% | 0.700% | 0.686% | 0.014% | ||||||
| 5. | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 | 0.496% | 0.496% | 20.741% | 26.033% | 29.185% | 22.393% | 1.152% | 1.117% | 0.035% | ||||||
| 6. | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 | 0.019% | 0.019% | 7.468% | 15.147% | 25.804% | 46.178% | 5.384% | 4.911% | 0.473% | ||||||
| 7. | Fire 011819 | 0.001% | 0.037% | 0.390% | 3.418% | 96.154% | 50.860% | 45.294% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.38 | 0.008% | 0.082% | 0.515% | 3.362% | 96.033% | 41.867% | 54.166% |
Speculate Houdini 6.03 – Fire 011819 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 19040612 | 94.762% | 5.238% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | 5.238% | 93.371% | 98.609% | 1.296% | 0.090% | 0.005% | |||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2306.00 | 0.669% | 0.669% | 47.602% | 26.514% | 16.166% | 8.114% | 0.935% | 0.890% | 0.045% | ||||||
| 4. | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 | 0.543% | 0.543% | 23.389% | 28.721% | 26.313% | 19.249% | 1.785% | 1.719% | 0.066% | ||||||
| 5. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.165% | 0.165% | 18.773% | 26.560% | 28.538% | 22.636% | 3.328% | 3.099% | 0.229% | ||||||
| 6. | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 | 0.014% | 0.014% | 8.888% | 17.689% | 26.727% | 38.865% | 7.817% | 6.951% | 0.866% | ||||||
| 7. | Fire 011819 | 0.035% | 0.309% | 1.537% | 7.617% | 90.502% | 55.302% | 35.200% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.38 | 0.017% | 0.117% | 0.714% | 3.519% | 95.633% | 32.039% | 63.594% |
Speculate Houdini 6.03 – Fire 011819 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 19040612 | 94.699% | 5.301% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | 5.301% | 93.397% | 98.698% | 1.225% | 0.075% | 0.002% | |||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2306.00 | 0.689% | 0.689% | 51.640% | 25.704% | 14.062% | 6.543% | 1.362% | 1.299% | 0.063% | ||||||
| 4. | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 | 0.554% | 0.554% | 25.789% | 31.363% | 23.739% | 15.373% | 3.182% | 3.068% | 0.114% | ||||||
| 5. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.052% | 0.052% | 11.286% | 20.946% | 28.154% | 28.794% | 10.768% | 9.416% | 1.352% | ||||||
| 6. | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 | 0.007% | 0.007% | 9.740% | 20.279% | 28.337% | 30.389% | 11.248% | 10.058% | 1.190% | ||||||
| 7. | Fire 011819 | 0.296% | 1.468% | 4.882% | 15.084% | 78.270% | 54.086% | 24.184% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.38 | 0.024% | 0.165% | 0.824% | 3.817% | 95.170% | 22.073% | 73.097% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.92h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-04-25 04:25 | 144 | Ethereal 11.38 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 |
| 2019-04-25 07:21 | 145 | Ethereal 11.38 | Stockfish 19040612 |
| 2019-04-25 10:16 | 146 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-04-25 13:11 | 147 | Fire 011819 | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 |
| 2019-04-25 16:06 | 148 | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 | Komodo 2306.00 |
| 2019-04-25 19:01 | 149 | Stockfish 19040612 | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 |
| 2019-04-25 21:56 | 150 | Komodo 2306.00 | Fire 011819 |
| 2019-04-26 00:51 | 151 | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 |
| 2019-04-26 03:47 | 152 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.38 |
| 2019-04-26 06:42 | 153 | Houdini 6.03 | Stockfish 19040612 |
| 2019-04-26 09:37 | 154 | Ethereal 11.38 | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 |
| 2019-04-26 12:32 | 155 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 | Komodo 2306.00 |
| 2019-04-26 15:27 | 156 | Fire 011819 | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 |
| 2019-04-26 18:22 | 157 | Stockfish 19040612 | Fire 011819 |
| 2019-04-26 21:17 | 158 | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 |
| 2019-04-27 00:13 | 159 | Komodo 2306.00 | Ethereal 11.38 |
| 2019-04-27 03:08 | 160 | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-04-27 06:03 | 161 | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | Stockfish 19040612 |
| 2019-04-27 08:58 | 162 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2306.00 |
| 2019-04-27 11:53 | 163 | Ethereal 11.38 | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 |
| 2019-04-27 14:48 | 164 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 | Fire 011819 |
| 2019-04-27 17:43 | 165 | Stockfish 19040612 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 |
| 2019-04-27 20:39 | 166 | Fire 011819 | Ethereal 11.38 |
| 2019-04-27 23:34 | 167 | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-04-28 02:29 | 168 | Komodo 2306.00 | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 |