For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 19040612 | 26.0 | 27.90 | 0.71 | 1.01 | 99 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | 23.0 | 25.16 | 0.87 | 1.99 | 1 | 99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Komodo 2306.00 | 19.5 | 21.57 | 0.87 | 3.35 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | Houdini 6.03 | 19.0 | 20.52 | 0.74 | 4.40 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 43 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4/v0.2-n4/v0.3dev-n4/v0.3dev-n6.1 | 18.5 | 20.20 | 0.84 | 4.80 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 6 | KomodoMCTS 2301.00/2306.00 | 17.5 | 19.55 | 0.86 | 5.47 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 61 | 1 |
| 7 | Ethereal 11.38 | 15.0 | 16.77 | 0.86 | 7.36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 62 |
| 8 | Fire 011819 | 14.5 | 16.33 | 0.85 | 7.63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 19040612 | 97.745% | 2.255% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | 2.255% | 97.651% | 99.906% | 0.094% | |||||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2306.00 | 0.094% | 0.094% | 66.276% | 21.333% | 10.833% | 1.464% | |||||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 19.269% | 35.509% | 32.637% | 12.585% | |||||||||||
| 5. | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 | 13.018% | 31.586% | 35.861% | 19.417% | 0.118% | 0.118% | |||||||||
| 6. | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 | 1.343% | 11.572% | 20.636% | 62.436% | 4.013% | 3.822% | 0.191% | ||||||||
| 7. | Ethereal 11.38 | 0.011% | 2.976% | 97.013% | 54.970% | 42.043% | ||||||||||
| 8. | Fire 011819 | 0.022% | 1.122% | 98.856% | 41.090% | 57.766% |
Speculate Ethereal 11.38 – LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 19040612 | 99.756% | 0.244% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | 0.244% | 99.466% | 99.710% | 0.290% | |||||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2306.00 | 0.290% | 0.290% | 65.733% | 21.728% | 10.786% | 1.463% | |||||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 19.501% | 35.735% | 32.531% | 12.233% | |||||||||||
| 5. | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 | 13.121% | 31.295% | 36.006% | 19.363% | 0.215% | 0.215% | |||||||||
| 6. | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 | 1.355% | 11.242% | 20.621% | 59.144% | 7.638% | 7.229% | 0.409% | ||||||||
| 7. | Ethereal 11.38 | 0.037% | 6.693% | 93.270% | 67.205% | 26.065% | ||||||||||
| 8. | Fire 011819 | 0.019% | 1.104% | 98.877% | 25.351% | 73.526% |
Speculate Ethereal 11.38 – LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 19040612 | 98.863% | 1.137% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | 1.137% | 98.863% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2306.00 | 66.485% | 21.425% | 10.563% | 1.527% | |||||||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 19.257% | 35.511% | 32.671% | 12.561% | |||||||||||
| 5. | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 | 12.849% | 31.623% | 36.142% | 19.305% | 0.081% | 0.081% | |||||||||
| 6. | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 | 1.409% | 11.441% | 20.609% | 63.124% | 3.417% | 3.230% | 0.187% | ||||||||
| 7. | Ethereal 11.38 | 2.343% | 97.657% | 56.823% | 40.834% | |||||||||||
| 8. | Fire 011819 | 0.015% | 1.140% | 98.845% | 39.866% | 58.979% |
Speculate Ethereal 11.38 – LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 19040612 | 95.823% | 4.177% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | 4.177% | 95.823% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2306.00 | 66.276% | 21.441% | 10.741% | 1.542% | |||||||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 19.224% | 35.389% | 32.534% | 12.853% | |||||||||||
| 5. | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 | 12.993% | 31.591% | 35.597% | 19.714% | 0.105% | 0.105% | |||||||||
| 6. | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 | 1.507% | 11.579% | 21.116% | 64.018% | 1.780% | 1.751% | 0.029% | ||||||||
| 7. | Fire 011819 | 0.012% | 1.213% | 98.775% | 52.011% | 46.764% | ||||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.38 | 0.660% | 99.340% | 46.133% | 53.207% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.91h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-04-26 11:32 | 155 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 | Komodo 2306.00 |
| 2019-04-26 14:27 | 156 | Fire 011819 | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 |
| 2019-04-26 17:22 | 157 | Stockfish 19040612 | Fire 011819 |
| 2019-04-26 20:17 | 158 | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 |
| 2019-04-26 23:11 | 159 | Komodo 2306.00 | Ethereal 11.38 |
| 2019-04-27 02:06 | 160 | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-04-27 05:01 | 161 | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 | Stockfish 19040612 |
| 2019-04-27 07:56 | 162 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2306.00 |
| 2019-04-27 10:50 | 163 | Ethereal 11.38 | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 |
| 2019-04-27 13:45 | 164 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 | Fire 011819 |
| 2019-04-27 16:40 | 165 | Stockfish 19040612 | AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 |
| 2019-04-27 19:35 | 166 | Fire 011819 | Ethereal 11.38 |
| 2019-04-27 22:29 | 167 | KomodoMCTS 2306.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-04-28 01:24 | 168 | Komodo 2306.00 | LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 |