Apr 27 2019
Off

For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 Stockfish 19040612 27.0 27.70 0.39 1.00 100 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 25.0 25.52 0.43 2.00 0100 0 0 0 0 0
3 Komodo 2306.00 20.5 21.41 0.60 3.25 0 0 78 18 3 0 0
4 Houdini 6.03 19.5 20.59 0.60 4.27 0 0 18 46 27 9 0
5 AllieStein v0.1-n4/v0.2-n4/v0.3dev-n4/v0.3dev-n6.1 19.5 20.34 0.58 4.70 0 0 4 31 56 9 0
6 KomodoMCTS 2301.00/2306.00 18.5 19.48 0.61 5.78 0 0 0 4 13 82 0
7 Ethereal 11.38 16.0 16.97 0.61 7.15 0 0 0 0 0 0 85
8 Fire 011819 15.0 16.01 0.60 7.85 0 0 0 0 0 0 15

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 19040612 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 100.000% 100.000%
3. Komodo 2306.00 65.318% 30.111% 4.571%
4. Houdini 6.03 30.203% 26.892% 33.634% 9.271%
5. AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 4.479% 39.458% 49.827% 6.236%
6. KomodoMCTS 2306.00 3.539% 11.968% 84.493%
7. Ethereal 11.38 100.000% 70.348% 29.652%
8. Fire 011819 100.000% 29.652% 70.348%

Speculate Houdini 6.03 – Komodo 2306.00 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 19040612 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 100.000% 100.000%
3. Houdini 6.03 61.800% 24.026% 14.174%
4. Komodo 2306.00 29.660% 60.375% 9.965%
5. AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 8.540% 15.599% 66.889% 8.972%
6. KomodoMCTS 2306.00 8.972% 91.028%
7. Ethereal 11.38 100.000% 70.468% 29.532%
8. Fire 011819 100.000% 29.532% 70.468%

Speculate Houdini 6.03 – Komodo 2306.00 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 19040612 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 100.000% 100.000%
3. Komodo 2306.00 85.498% 13.381% 1.121%
4. Houdini 6.03 11.582% 37.671% 40.790% 9.957%
5. AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 2.920% 43.748% 47.159% 6.173%
6. KomodoMCTS 2306.00 5.200% 10.930% 83.870%
7. Ethereal 11.38 100.000% 70.474% 29.526%
8. Fire 011819 100.000% 29.526% 70.474%

Speculate Houdini 6.03 – Komodo 2306.00 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 19040612 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v0.21.1-n41800 100.000% 100.000%
3. Komodo 2306.00 100.000%
4. AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 71.249% 26.912% 1.839%
5. Houdini 6.03 21.550% 56.318% 22.132%
6. KomodoMCTS 2306.00 7.201% 16.770% 76.029%
7. Ethereal 11.38 100.000% 70.471% 29.529%
8. Fire 011819 100.000% 29.529% 70.471%

Expected start time based on estimate of 2.91h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-04-27 10:36 163 Ethereal 11.38 KomodoMCTS 2306.00
2019-04-27 13:31 164 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1 Fire 011819
2019-04-27 16:26 165 Stockfish 19040612 AllieStein v0.3dev-n6.1
2019-04-27 19:20 166 Fire 011819 Ethereal 11.38
2019-04-27 22:15 167 KomodoMCTS 2306.00 Houdini 6.03
2019-04-28 01:10 168 Komodo 2306.00 LCZero v0.21.1-n41800
Posted inBayesElo