May 04 2019
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These values are higher for TCEC, need to find correct values:
eloAdvantage = 32.8
eloDraw = 97.3

OctoFinal, match #17, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. LCZero v0.21.1-nT40.T6.532 97.492%
2. Booot 6.3.1 2.508%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-0.5 20.411%
2. 4.5-1.5 16.166%
3. 5.0-0.0 15.988%
4. 5.0-1.0 15.149%
5. 5.0-2.0 10.510%
6. 4.5-2.5 9.032%
7. 5.0-3.0 4.066%
8. 4.5-3.5 3.627%
9. 6.0-4.0 1.073%
10. 3.5-4.5 1.068%
Rest 2.910%

OctoFinal, match #18, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. Fire 021819 50.173%
2. Xiphos 0.5.3 49.827%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 3.5-4.5 10.460%
2. 4.5-2.5 9.831%
3. 4.5-3.5 9.254%
4. 2.5-4.5 8.628%
5. 1.5-4.5 6.781%
6. 4.5-1.5 6.416%
7. 3.0-5.0 6.082%
8. 5.0-2.0 5.374%
9. 5.0-3.0 4.977%
10. 2.0-5.0 4.269%
Rest 27.928%

OctoFinal, match #19, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. AllieStein v0.3-n6.1 76.331%
2. Jonny 8.1 23.669%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-2.5 13.992%
2. 4.5-1.5 11.591%
3. 4.5-3.5 10.212%
4. 5.0-2.0 9.381%
5. 5.0-3.0 6.905%
6. 3.5-4.5 6.905%
7. 4.5-0.5 6.887%
8. 5.0-1.0 6.148%
9. 2.5-4.5 4.016%
10. 5.5-4.5 3.037%
Rest 20.926%

OctoFinal, match #20, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. Houdini 6.03 91.662%
2. Fizbo 2 8.338%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-1.5 16.248%
2. 4.5-2.5 13.415%
3. 4.5-0.5 12.701%
4. 5.0-2.0 11.826%
5. 5.0-1.0 10.958%
6. 4.5-3.5 7.323%
7. 5.0-3.0 6.720%
8. 5.0-0.0 6.456%
9. 3.5-4.5 2.949%
10. 6.0-4.0 2.336%
Rest 9.068%

OctoFinal, match #21, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. Stockfish 19042711 93.469%
2. Ginkgo S13 6.531%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-1.5 15.962%
2. 4.5-0.5 15.679%
3. 5.0-1.0 13.063%
4. 4.5-2.5 11.450%
5. 5.0-2.0 11.233%
6. 5.0-0.0 10.352%
7. 4.5-3.5 5.765%
8. 5.0-3.0 5.586%
9. 3.5-4.5 2.305%
10. 6.0-4.0 1.777%
Rest 6.828%

OctoFinal, match #22, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. Ethereal 11.38 61.589%
2. Laser 230319 38.411%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-2.5 11.570%
2. 4.5-3.5 9.819%
3. 3.5-4.5 8.878%
4. 4.5-1.5 8.593%
5. 5.0-2.0 6.965%
6. 2.5-4.5 6.648%
7. 5.0-3.0 5.958%
8. 1.5-4.5 4.948%
9. 3.0-5.0 4.809%
10. 4.5-0.5 4.743%
Rest 27.069%

OctoFinal, match #23, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. Komodo 2319.00 91.403%
2. Chiron 230119 8.597%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-1.5 15.605%
2. 4.5-0.5 14.104%
3. 4.5-2.5 12.391%
4. 5.0-1.0 11.805%
5. 5.0-2.0 11.334%
6. 5.0-0.0 8.662%
7. 4.5-3.5 6.493%
8. 5.0-3.0 5.961%
9. 3.5-4.5 2.789%
10. 6.0-4.0 1.964%
Rest 8.892%

OctoFinal, match #24, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. KomodoMCTS 2322.00 73.031%
2. Andscacs 0.95123 26.969%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-2.5 12.898%
2. 4.5-1.5 11.183%
3. 4.5-3.5 9.471%
4. 5.0-2.0 8.937%
5. 3.5-4.5 7.147%
6. 4.5-0.5 6.959%
7. 5.0-3.0 6.574%
8. 5.0-1.0 6.090%
9. 2.5-4.5 4.732%
10. 3.0-5.0 3.429%
Rest 22.580%

QuarterFinal, match #25, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. LCZero v0.21.1-nT40.T6.532 77.681%
2. Fire 021819 11.063%
3. Xiphos 0.5.3 10.710%
4. Booot 6.3.1 0.546%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-2.5 13.182%
2. 4.5-1.5 12.472%
3. 5.0-2.0 9.689%
4. 4.5-3.5 9.034%
5. 4.5-0.5 8.420%
6. 5.0-1.0 7.446%
7. 5.0-3.0 6.622%
8. 3.5-4.5 5.984%
9. 5.0-0.0 3.861%
10. 2.5-4.5 3.683%
Rest 19.607%

QuarterFinal, match #26, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. Houdini 6.03 73.197%
2. AllieStein v0.3-n6.1 21.492%
3. Jonny 8.1 2.657%
4. Fizbo 2 2.654%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 1.5-4.5 12.834%
2. 2.5-4.5 11.756%
3. 3.5-4.5 10.766%
4. 3.0-5.0 8.318%
5. 2.0-5.0 7.583%
6. 1.0-5.0 7.379%
7. 0.5-4.5 6.769%
8. 4.5-3.5 5.652%
9. 4.5-2.5 5.024%
10. 0.0-5.0 2.756%
Rest 21.163%

QuarterFinal, match #27, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. Stockfish 19042711 76.780%
2. Ethereal 11.38 14.195%
3. Laser 230319 6.808%
4. Ginkgo S13 2.217%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-2.5 12.976%
2. 4.5-1.5 12.841%
3. 5.0-2.0 9.845%
4. 4.5-0.5 9.083%
5. 4.5-3.5 8.446%
6. 5.0-1.0 7.860%
7. 5.0-3.0 6.382%
8. 3.5-4.5 5.398%
9. 5.0-0.0 4.487%
10. 2.5-4.5 3.609%
Rest 19.073%

QuarterFinal, match #28, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. Komodo 2319.00 55.293%
2. KomodoMCTS 2322.00 34.749%
3. Andscacs 0.95123 8.311%
4. Chiron 230119 1.647%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-2.5 10.599%
2. 4.5-3.5 9.348%
3. 3.5-4.5 9.149%
4. 4.5-1.5 7.906%
5. 2.5-4.5 7.147%
6. 5.0-2.0 6.328%
7. 1.5-4.5 5.948%
8. 5.0-3.0 5.505%
9. 3.0-5.0 5.268%
10. 4.5-0.5 4.402%
Rest 28.400%

SemiFinal, match #29, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. LCZero v0.21.1-nT40.T6.532 53.954%
2. Houdini 6.03 31.887%
3. AllieStein v0.3-n6.1 4.892%
4. Fire 021819 4.504%
5. Xiphos 0.5.3 4.220%
6. Fizbo 2 0.258%
7. Jonny 8.1 0.212%
8. Booot 6.3.1 0.073%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-2.5 11.649%
2. 4.5-3.5 9.309%
3. 4.5-1.5 9.056%
4. 3.5-4.5 8.637%
5. 5.0-2.0 7.094%
6. 2.5-4.5 6.267%
7. 5.0-3.0 5.689%
8. 4.5-0.5 5.289%
9. 5.0-1.0 4.957%
10. 1.5-4.5 4.858%
Rest 27.195%

SemiFinal, match #30, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. Stockfish 19042711 56.359%
2. Komodo 2319.00 21.124%
3. KomodoMCTS 2322.00 11.194%
4. Ethereal 11.38 6.287%
5. Laser 230319 2.552%
6. Andscacs 0.95123 1.772%
7. Ginkgo S13 0.556%
8. Chiron 230119 0.156%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-2.5 11.922%
2. 4.5-1.5 9.960%
3. 4.5-3.5 8.984%
4. 3.5-4.5 7.957%
5. 5.0-2.0 7.722%
6. 5.0-3.0 5.896%
7. 4.5-0.5 5.880%
8. 2.5-4.5 5.817%
9. 5.0-1.0 5.214%
10. 1.5-4.5 4.458%
Rest 26.190%

Final, match #31, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. Stockfish 19042711 35.869%
2. LCZero v0.21.1-nT40.T6.532 30.105%
3. Houdini 6.03 13.036%
4. Komodo 2319.00 9.427%
5. KomodoMCTS 2322.00 4.292%
6. Ethereal 11.38 2.180%
7. Fire 021819 1.403%
8. Xiphos 0.5.3 1.178%
9. AllieStein v0.3-n6.1 1.064%
10. Laser 230319 0.768%
11. Andscacs 0.95123 0.500%
12. Ginkgo S13 0.106%
13. Fizbo 2 0.027%
14. Chiron 230119 0.026%
15. Jonny 8.1 0.012%
16. Booot 6.3.1 0.007%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 3.5-4.5 10.058%
2. 4.5-2.5 9.062%
3. 2.5-4.5 8.680%
4. 4.5-3.5 8.424%
5. 1.5-4.5 7.668%
6. 3.0-5.0 6.329%
7. 4.5-1.5 6.250%
8. 5.0-2.0 4.977%
9. 2.0-5.0 4.812%
10. 5.0-3.0 4.680%
Rest 29.060%

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