For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
These values are higher for TCEC, need to find correct values:
eloAdvantage = 32.8
eloDraw = 97.3

QuarterFinal, match #27, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. Stockfish 19042711 69.479%
2. Ethereal 11.38 30.521%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-2.5 23.947%
2. 4.5-3.5 20.082%
3. 3.5-4.5 13.065%
4. 5.0-3.0 10.913%
5. 2.5-4.5 6.818%
6. 5.5-4.5 5.092%
7. 6.0-4.0 4.820%
8. 3.0-5.0 4.033%
9. 4.5-5.5 2.911%
10. 6.5-5.5 1.648%
Rest 6.671%

QuarterFinal, match #28, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. Komodo 2319.00 57.968%
2. KomodoMCTS 2322.00 42.032%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-2.5 11.435%
2. 3.5-4.5 9.779%
3. 4.5-3.5 9.700%
4. 4.5-1.5 7.881%
5. 2.5-4.5 7.140%
6. 5.0-2.0 6.485%
7. 5.0-3.0 5.688%
8. 3.0-5.0 5.342%
9. 1.5-4.5 5.276%
10. 4.5-0.5 3.880%
Rest 27.394%

SemiFinal, match #29, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. LCZero v0.21.1-nT40.T6.532 62.228%
2. Houdini 6.03 37.772%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-2.5 12.083%
2. 4.5-3.5 10.205%
3. 3.5-4.5 9.442%
4. 4.5-1.5 8.516%
5. 5.0-2.0 7.023%
6. 2.5-4.5 6.526%
7. 5.0-3.0 6.124%
8. 3.0-5.0 4.675%
9. 1.5-4.5 4.493%
10. 4.5-0.5 4.440%
Rest 26.473%

SemiFinal, match #30, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. Stockfish 19042711 47.361%
2. Komodo 2319.00 25.549%
3. KomodoMCTS 2322.00 15.329%
4. Ethereal 11.38 11.761%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-2.5 11.205%
2. 4.5-3.5 9.276%
3. 3.5-4.5 8.926%
4. 4.5-1.5 8.346%
5. 2.5-4.5 6.959%
6. 5.0-2.0 6.836%
7. 5.0-3.0 5.670%
8. 1.5-4.5 5.354%
9. 3.0-5.0 4.995%
10. 4.5-0.5 4.376%
Rest 28.057%

Bronze, match #31, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. Houdini 6.03 34.078%
2. LCZero v0.21.1-nT40.T6.532 23.573%
3. Komodo 2319.00 14.397%
4. Stockfish 19042711 12.810%
5. KomodoMCTS 2322.00 9.593%
6. Ethereal 11.38 5.549%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-2.5 11.234%
2. 4.5-3.5 9.681%
3. 3.5-4.5 9.632%
4. 4.5-1.5 7.730%
5. 2.5-4.5 7.265%
6. 5.0-2.0 6.444%
7. 5.0-3.0 5.686%
8. 1.5-4.5 5.406%
9. 3.0-5.0 5.345%
10. 4.5-0.5 3.909%
Rest 27.668%

Final, match #32, simulation about most common winner

Pos Name % of simulations
1. LCZero v0.21.1-nT40.T6.532 36.121%
2. Stockfish 19042711 27.294%
3. Houdini 6.03 16.987%
4. Komodo 2319.00 11.064%
5. KomodoMCTS 2322.00 5.196%
6. Ethereal 11.38 3.338%

% of various results

Pos Result % of simulations
1. 4.5-2.5 10.187%
2. 3.5-4.5 10.086%
3. 4.5-3.5 9.318%
4. 2.5-4.5 8.004%
5. 4.5-1.5 7.066%
6. 1.5-4.5 6.276%
7. 5.0-2.0 5.828%
8. 3.0-5.0 5.709%
9. 5.0-3.0 5.311%
10. 2.0-5.0 3.895%
Rest 28.320%