For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
These values are higher for TCEC, need to find correct values:
eloAdvantage = 32.8
eloDraw = 97.3
QuarterFinal, match #28, simulation about most common winner
| Pos |
Name |
% of simulations |
| 1. |
KomodoMCTS 2322.00 |
50.629% |
| 2. |
Komodo 2319.00 |
49.371% |
% of various results
| Pos |
Result |
% of simulations |
| 1. |
3.5-4.5 |
38.456% |
| 2. |
4.5-3.5 |
34.589% |
| 3. |
5.5-4.5 |
5.718% |
| 4. |
4.5-5.5 |
4.934% |
| 5. |
6.0-4.0 |
4.127% |
| 6. |
4.0-6.0 |
3.153% |
| 7. |
6.5-5.5 |
1.825% |
| 8. |
5.5-6.5 |
1.672% |
| 9. |
7.0-5.0 |
1.401% |
| 10. |
5.0-7.0 |
1.016% |
|
Rest |
3.109% |
SemiFinal, match #29, simulation about most common winner
| Pos |
Name |
% of simulations |
| 1. |
LCZero v0.21.1-nT40.T6.532 |
62.450% |
| 2. |
Houdini 6.03 |
37.550% |
% of various results
| Pos |
Result |
% of simulations |
| 1. |
4.5-2.5 |
12.079% |
| 2. |
4.5-3.5 |
10.419% |
| 3. |
3.5-4.5 |
9.237% |
| 4. |
4.5-1.5 |
8.697% |
| 5. |
5.0-2.0 |
6.945% |
| 6. |
2.5-4.5 |
6.533% |
| 7. |
5.0-3.0 |
6.074% |
| 8. |
3.0-5.0 |
4.717% |
| 9. |
1.5-4.5 |
4.526% |
| 10. |
4.5-0.5 |
4.347% |
|
Rest |
26.426% |
SemiFinal, match #30, simulation about most common winner
| Pos |
Name |
% of simulations |
| 1. |
Stockfish 19042711 |
69.574% |
| 2. |
Komodo 2319.00 |
16.512% |
| 3. |
KomodoMCTS 2322.00 |
13.914% |
% of various results
| Pos |
Result |
% of simulations |
| 1. |
4.5-2.5 |
12.764% |
| 2. |
4.5-1.5 |
10.302% |
| 3. |
4.5-3.5 |
9.872% |
| 4. |
5.0-2.0 |
8.210% |
| 5. |
3.5-4.5 |
7.787% |
| 6. |
5.0-3.0 |
6.530% |
| 7. |
4.5-0.5 |
5.934% |
| 8. |
5.0-1.0 |
5.351% |
| 9. |
2.5-4.5 |
5.337% |
| 10. |
3.0-5.0 |
3.876% |
|
Rest |
24.037% |
Bronze, match #31, simulation about most common winner
| Pos |
Name |
% of simulations |
| 1. |
Houdini 6.03 |
32.679% |
| 2. |
LCZero v0.21.1-nT40.T6.532 |
22.741% |
| 3. |
Stockfish 19042711 |
17.509% |
| 4. |
Komodo 2319.00 |
13.878% |
| 5. |
KomodoMCTS 2322.00 |
13.193% |
% of various results
| Pos |
Result |
% of simulations |
| 1. |
4.5-2.5 |
10.637% |
| 2. |
3.5-4.5 |
9.991% |
| 3. |
4.5-3.5 |
9.710% |
| 4. |
2.5-4.5 |
7.735% |
| 5. |
4.5-1.5 |
7.460% |
| 6. |
5.0-2.0 |
6.082% |
| 7. |
1.5-4.5 |
5.812% |
| 8. |
5.0-3.0 |
5.643% |
| 9. |
3.0-5.0 |
5.549% |
| 10. |
4.5-0.5 |
3.584% |
|
Rest |
27.797% |
Final, match #32, simulation about most common winner
| Pos |
Name |
% of simulations |
| 1. |
Stockfish 19042711 |
39.197% |
| 2. |
LCZero v0.21.1-nT40.T6.532 |
33.715% |
| 3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
15.341% |
| 4. |
Komodo 2319.00 |
6.912% |
| 5. |
KomodoMCTS 2322.00 |
4.835% |
% of various results
| Pos |
Result |
% of simulations |
| 1. |
3.5-4.5 |
10.365% |
| 2. |
4.5-2.5 |
9.618% |
| 3. |
4.5-3.5 |
9.057% |
| 4. |
2.5-4.5 |
8.698% |
| 5. |
1.5-4.5 |
6.955% |
| 6. |
3.0-5.0 |
6.410% |
| 7. |
4.5-1.5 |
6.389% |
| 8. |
5.0-2.0 |
5.166% |
| 9. |
5.0-3.0 |
4.955% |
| 10. |
2.0-5.0 |
4.327% |
|
Rest |
28.060% |