For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 27.5 30.09 0.51 1.04 96 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 Stoofvlees II a10 26.0 28.58 0.52 1.97 4 96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2 25.0 26.47 0.52 3.00 0 0100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Wasp 3.68 21.0 23.15 0.68 4.39 0 0 0 61 39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 Marvin 3.4.0 22.0 22.99 0.60 4.61 0 0 0 39 61 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 Topple 0.7.2_dev 17.5 19.60 0.67 6.25 0 0 0 0 0 77 20 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 chess22k 1.12 18.0 19.02 0.64 6.83 0 0 0 0 0 22 74 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Asymptote 0.6.2 16.0 17.31 0.74 8.70 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 43 27 24 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 Winter 0.6 16.5 17.18 0.58 8.89 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 34 39 25 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Rodent III 0.287 14.5 16.72 0.64 9.34 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 33 49 1 0 0 0 0 0
11 The Baron 3.44.1 13.0 14.65 0.72 11.53 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 67 17 8 6 1 0
12 Igel 1.8.1 13.5 14.05 0.52 12.56 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 32 36 15 1 0
13 Minic 0.76 13.0 14.04 0.41 12.53 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 40 38 11 1 0
14 Cheese 2.1 12.5 13.47 0.69 13.68 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 9 14 49 21 0
15 Tucano 7.07 11.5 12.83 0.69 14.68 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 19 76 0
16 Bagatur 1.7b 6.5 7.24 0.64 16.28 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 72
17 ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 6.5 6.88 0.48 16.72 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28
18 Jumbo 0.6.117 1.5 1.73 0.39 18.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2 not included in first 4 simulations

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 19-17.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 99.892% 0.108% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 0.108% 99.892% 100.000%
3. Marvin 3.4.0 57.178% 42.822% 100.000%
4. Wasp 3.68 42.822% 57.175% 0.003% 100.000%
5. Topple 0.7.2_dev 64.892% 30.680% 95.572% 3.618% 0.810%
6. chess22k 1.12 0.003% 34.119% 61.487% 95.609% 4.163% 0.228%
7. Winter 0.6 0.188% 3.282% 3.470% 49.882% 40.911% 5.737%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 0.798% 4.551% 5.349% 40.683% 46.325% 7.643%
9. Rodent III 0.287 1.654% 11.726% 81.293% 4.017% 1.030% 0.224% 0.055% 0.001%
10. The Baron 3.44.1 3.088% 63.895% 13.826% 10.276% 7.789% 1.126%
11. Minic 0.76 0.117% 22.324% 60.692% 13.329% 3.013% 0.525%
12. Igel 1.8.1 1.768% 5.368% 14.787% 45.087% 28.776% 4.214%
13. Cheese 2.1 0.345% 3.911% 7.334% 24.643% 46.397% 17.370%
14. Tucano 7.07 0.009% 0.485% 2.331% 6.441% 13.970% 76.764%
15. Bagatur 1.7b 79.281% 20.719%
16. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 20.719% 79.281%
17. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Speculate ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 – Rodent III 0.287 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 19-17.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 99.885% 0.115% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 0.115% 99.885% 100.000%
3. Marvin 3.4.0 56.771% 43.229% 100.000%
4. Wasp 3.68 43.229% 56.766% 0.005% 100.000%
5. Topple 0.7.2_dev 65.168% 30.400% 95.568% 3.589% 0.843%
6. chess22k 1.12 0.005% 33.806% 61.808% 95.619% 4.137% 0.244%
7. Winter 0.6 0.215% 3.267% 3.482% 51.756% 44.762%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 0.806% 4.525% 5.331% 40.518% 54.151%
9. Rodent III 0.287 81.764% 12.961% 3.693% 1.243% 0.327% 0.012%
10. The Baron 3.44.1 11.603% 55.232% 13.837% 10.370% 7.850% 1.108%
11. Minic 0.76 0.537% 22.338% 58.955% 14.644% 2.981% 0.545%
12. Igel 1.8.1 4.986% 5.628% 13.850% 43.485% 27.930% 4.121%
13. Cheese 2.1 1.085% 3.301% 7.318% 23.951% 46.660% 17.685%
14. Tucano 7.07 0.025% 0.540% 2.347% 6.307% 14.252% 76.529%
15. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 59.251% 40.749%
16. Bagatur 1.7b 40.749% 59.251%
17. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Speculate ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 – Rodent III 0.287 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 19-17.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 99.899% 0.101% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 0.101% 99.899% 100.000%
3. Marvin 3.4.0 56.777% 43.223% 100.000%
4. Wasp 3.68 43.223% 56.774% 0.003% 100.000%
5. Topple 0.7.2_dev 65.122% 30.579% 95.701% 3.513% 0.786%
6. chess22k 1.12 0.003% 33.828% 61.655% 95.486% 4.240% 0.274%
7. Winter 0.6 0.209% 3.314% 3.523% 51.511% 44.966%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 0.838% 4.452% 5.290% 40.736% 50.698% 3.276%
9. Rodent III 0.287 3.276% 89.254% 5.637% 1.736% 0.095% 0.002%
10. The Baron 3.44.1 3.956% 63.122% 13.826% 10.273% 7.719% 1.104%
11. Minic 0.76 0.087% 21.909% 60.416% 14.001% 3.023% 0.564%
12. Igel 1.8.1 3.031% 4.943% 14.597% 44.851% 28.456% 4.122%
13. Cheese 2.1 0.391% 3.885% 7.099% 24.336% 46.956% 17.333%
14. Tucano 7.07 0.005% 0.504% 2.326% 6.444% 13.844% 76.877%
15. Bagatur 1.7b 64.928% 35.072%
16. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 35.072% 64.928%
17. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Speculate ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 – Rodent III 0.287 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 19-17.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 99.901% 0.099% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 0.099% 99.901% 100.000%
3. Marvin 3.4.0 56.986% 43.014% 100.000%
4. Wasp 3.68 43.014% 56.983% 0.003% 100.000%
5. Topple 0.7.2_dev 65.219% 30.416% 95.635% 3.557% 0.808%
6. chess22k 1.12 0.003% 33.757% 61.848% 95.608% 4.175% 0.217%
7. Winter 0.6 0.179% 3.288% 3.467% 48.982% 38.423% 9.128%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 0.842% 4.448% 5.290% 40.520% 43.006% 11.184%
9. Rodent III 0.287 2.766% 17.546% 78.492% 1.049% 0.146% 0.001%
10. The Baron 3.44.1 0.651% 66.253% 14.172% 10.099% 7.671% 1.154%
11. Minic 0.76 22.429% 60.825% 13.210% 2.972% 0.564%
12. Igel 1.8.1 0.481% 5.595% 15.128% 45.386% 29.197% 4.213%
13. Cheese 2.1 0.064% 4.159% 7.363% 24.733% 46.154% 17.527%
14. Tucano 7.07 0.515% 2.366% 6.571% 14.006% 76.542%
15. Bagatur 1.7b 93.615% 6.385%
16. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 6.385% 93.615%
17. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 98.951% 1.049% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 1.049% 98.827% 0.124% 100.000%
3. LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2 0.124% 99.876% 100.000%
4. Marvin 3.4.0 52.366% 47.634% 100.000%
5. Wasp 3.68 47.634% 52.366% 100.000%
6. Topple 0.7.2_dev 80.439% 80.439% 16.576% 2.757% 0.228%
7. chess22k 1.12 17.640% 17.640% 73.548% 8.144% 0.668%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 1.885% 1.885% 7.413% 50.471% 25.500% 14.731%
9. Winter 0.6 0.036% 0.036% 2.463% 24.385% 38.144% 34.972%
10. Rodent III 0.287 14.243% 35.460% 48.622% 1.388% 0.249% 0.036% 0.002%
11. The Baron 3.44.1 0.838% 69.852% 15.611% 7.076% 5.589% 1.034%
12. Minic 0.76 0.014% 10.380% 47.348% 30.287% 9.452% 2.519%
13. Igel 1.8.1 0.721% 9.359% 24.667% 36.536% 24.864% 3.853%
14. Cheese 2.1 0.102% 8.465% 7.997% 19.038% 46.417% 17.981%
15. Tucano 7.07 0.556% 4.128% 7.027% 13.676% 74.613%
16. Bagatur 1.7b 79.172% 20.828%
17. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 20.828% 79.172%
18. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Speculate ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 – Rodent III 0.287 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 98.944% 1.056% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 1.056% 98.806% 0.138% 100.000%
3. LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2 0.138% 99.862% 100.000%
4. Marvin 3.4.0 52.716% 47.284% 100.000%
5. Wasp 3.68 47.284% 52.716% 100.000%
6. Topple 0.7.2_dev 80.313% 80.313% 16.520% 2.927% 0.240%
7. chess22k 1.12 17.756% 17.756% 73.495% 8.070% 0.679%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 1.892% 1.892% 7.431% 56.040% 31.430% 3.207%
9. Winter 0.6 0.039% 0.039% 2.554% 32.033% 55.027% 10.347%
10. Rodent III 0.287 0.930% 12.624% 78.967% 6.026% 1.290% 0.160% 0.003%
11. The Baron 3.44.1 3.996% 66.789% 15.565% 6.992% 5.643% 1.015%
12. Minic 0.76 0.077% 9.967% 46.740% 30.965% 9.644% 2.607%
13. Igel 1.8.1 2.992% 8.559% 24.355% 36.312% 24.137% 3.645%
14. Cheese 2.1 0.414% 8.117% 7.960% 18.723% 46.799% 17.987%
15. Tucano 7.07 0.542% 4.090% 6.848% 13.774% 74.746%
16. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 59.519% 40.481%
17. Bagatur 1.7b 40.481% 59.519%
18. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Speculate ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 – Rodent III 0.287 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 98.942% 1.058% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 1.058% 98.809% 0.133% 100.000%
3. LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2 0.133% 99.867% 100.000%
4. Marvin 3.4.0 52.428% 47.572% 100.000%
5. Wasp 3.68 47.572% 52.428% 100.000%
6. Topple 0.7.2_dev 80.416% 80.416% 16.479% 2.852% 0.253%
7. chess22k 1.12 17.677% 17.677% 73.623% 7.990% 0.710%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 1.876% 1.876% 7.457% 54.854% 26.394% 9.419%
9. Winter 0.6 0.031% 0.031% 2.441% 28.745% 43.549% 25.234%
10. Rodent III 0.287 5.559% 29.094% 63.979% 1.210% 0.158%
11. The Baron 3.44.1 0.747% 69.998% 15.537% 6.948% 5.741% 1.029%
12. Minic 0.76 0.001% 10.236% 46.873% 30.547% 9.721% 2.622%
13. Igel 1.8.1 0.545% 9.562% 25.350% 36.476% 24.267% 3.800%
14. Cheese 2.1 0.075% 8.414% 8.000% 18.846% 46.582% 18.083%
15. Tucano 7.07 0.580% 4.082% 7.183% 13.689% 74.466%
16. Bagatur 1.7b 65.171% 34.829%
17. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 34.829% 65.171%
18. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Speculate ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 – Rodent III 0.287 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 98.943% 1.057% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 1.057% 98.829% 0.114% 100.000%
3. LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2 0.114% 99.886% 100.000%
4. Marvin 3.4.0 52.356% 47.644% 100.000%
5. Wasp 3.68 47.644% 52.356% 100.000%
6. Topple 0.7.2_dev 80.095% 80.095% 16.755% 2.901% 0.249%
7. chess22k 1.12 17.894% 17.894% 73.200% 8.214% 0.692%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 1.979% 1.979% 7.534% 47.296% 23.779% 19.412%
9. Rodent III 0.287 20.680% 42.818% 36.260% 0.232% 0.010%
10. Winter 0.6 0.032% 0.032% 2.511% 20.909% 32.462% 44.086%
11. The Baron 3.44.1 0.114% 70.856% 15.518% 6.999% 5.494% 1.019%
12. Minic 0.76 10.251% 47.607% 30.034% 9.523% 2.585%
13. Igel 1.8.1 0.115% 9.538% 24.646% 36.786% 25.024% 3.891%
14. Cheese 2.1 0.013% 8.561% 8.025% 19.143% 46.263% 17.995%
15. Tucano 7.07 0.562% 4.194% 7.038% 13.696% 74.510%
16. Bagatur 1.7b 93.720% 6.280%
17. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 6.280% 93.720%
18. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.08h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-07-27 06:28 284 chess22k 1.12 ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8
2019-07-27 07:32 285 Cheese 2.1 Stoofvlees II a10
2019-07-27 08:37 286 Bagatur 1.7b The Baron 3.44.1
2019-07-27 09:42 287 Asymptote 0.6.2 Topple 0.7.2_dev
2019-07-27 10:47 288 Wasp 3.68 Tucano 7.07
2019-07-27 11:52 289 Wasp 3.68 Winter 0.6
2019-07-27 12:57 290 Tucano 7.07 Asymptote 0.6.2
2019-07-27 14:02 291 Topple 0.7.2_dev Bagatur 1.7b
2019-07-27 15:07 292 The Baron 3.44.1 Cheese 2.1
2019-07-27 16:12 293 Stoofvlees II a10 chess22k 1.12
2019-07-27 17:17 294 ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411
2019-07-27 18:22 295 Rodent III 0.287 Igel 1.8.1
2019-07-27 19:27 296 Minic 0.76 Jumbo 0.6.117
2019-07-27 20:32 297 Marvin 3.4.0 LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2
2019-07-27 21:37 298 Winter 0.6 Marvin 3.4.0
2019-07-27 22:42 299 LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2 Minic 0.76
2019-07-27 23:47 300 Jumbo 0.6.117 Rodent III 0.287
2019-07-28 00:52 301 Igel 1.8.1 ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8
2019-07-28 01:57 302 ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 Stoofvlees II a10
2019-07-28 03:02 303 chess22k 1.12 The Baron 3.44.1
2019-07-28 04:07 304 Cheese 2.1 Topple 0.7.2_dev
2019-07-28 05:11 305 Bagatur 1.7b Tucano 7.07
2019-07-28 06:16 306 Asymptote 0.6.2 Wasp 3.68