For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 28.0 29.78 0.37 1.08 92 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 Stoofvlees II a10 27.0 28.74 0.41 1.92 8 92 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2 25.0 26.47 0.52 3.00 0 0100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Wasp 3.68 22.5 23.15 0.41 4.39 0 0 0 61 39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 Marvin 3.4.0 22.0 22.98 0.60 4.61 0 0 0 39 61 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 Topple 0.7.2_dev 19.5 20.16 0.41 6.06 0 0 0 0 0 94 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 chess22k 1.12 18.5 19.30 0.53 6.94 0 0 0 0 0 6 94 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Winter 0.6 17.0 17.40 0.42 8.46 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 54 46 0 0 0 0
9 Asymptote 0.6.2 17.0 17.35 0.41 8.54 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 46 54 0 0 0 0
10 Rodent III 0.287 14.5 15.97 0.51 10.08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 93 7 1 0
11 The Baron 3.44.1 14.0 14.95 0.60 11.13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 78 12 3
12 Igel 1.8.1 13.5 14.07 0.53 12.50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 39 43
13 Minic 0.76 13.0 14.04 0.41 12.54 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 44 44
14 Cheese 2.1 12.5 13.27 0.59 13.75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 10
15 Tucano 7.07 11.5 12.18 0.40 15.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 7.5 7.63 0.31 16.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Bagatur 1.7b 6.5 6.82 0.40 17.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Jumbo 0.6.117 1.5 1.74 0.40 18.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2 not included in first 4 simulations

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 19-17.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 99.832% 0.168% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 0.168% 99.832% 100.000%
3. Marvin 3.4.0 65.487% 34.513% 100.000%
4. Wasp 3.68 34.513% 65.487% 100.000%
5. Topple 0.7.2_dev 80.113% 19.887% 100.000%
6. chess22k 1.12 19.887% 80.113% 100.000%
7. Winter 0.6 71.519% 28.481%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 28.481% 71.519%
9. Rodent III 0.287 79.918% 14.126% 4.437% 1.333% 0.186%
10. The Baron 3.44.1 15.938% 65.948% 9.699% 6.124% 2.291%
11. Minic 0.76 0.299% 13.350% 70.103% 15.235% 1.013%
12. Igel 1.8.1 3.813% 5.784% 11.765% 56.069% 22.569%
13. Cheese 2.1 0.032% 0.792% 3.996% 21.239% 73.941%
14. Tucano 7.07 100.000%
15. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 83.101% 16.899%
16. Bagatur 1.7b 16.899% 83.101%
17. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Cheese 2.1 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 19-17.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 99.834% 0.166% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 0.166% 99.834% 100.000%
3. Marvin 3.4.0 65.617% 34.383% 100.000%
4. Wasp 3.68 34.383% 65.617% 100.000%
5. Topple 0.7.2_dev 80.652% 19.348% 100.000%
6. chess22k 1.12 19.348% 80.652% 100.000%
7. Winter 0.6 71.545% 28.455%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 28.455% 71.545%
9. Rodent III 0.287 70.801% 20.949% 6.608% 1.642%
10. The Baron 3.44.1 27.955% 71.017% 1.028%
11. Minic 0.76 1.248% 81.683% 17.069%
12. Igel 1.8.1 1.244% 6.786% 10.681% 73.859% 7.430%
13. Cheese 2.1 7.430% 92.570%
14. Tucano 7.07 100.000%
15. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 82.977% 17.023%
16. Bagatur 1.7b 17.023% 82.977%
17. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Cheese 2.1 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 19-17.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 99.825% 0.175% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 0.175% 99.825% 100.000%
3. Marvin 3.4.0 65.880% 34.120% 100.000%
4. Wasp 3.68 34.120% 65.880% 100.000%
5. Topple 0.7.2_dev 79.960% 20.040% 100.000%
6. chess22k 1.12 20.040% 79.960% 100.000%
7. Winter 0.6 71.498% 28.502%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 28.502% 71.498%
9. Rodent III 0.287 84.477% 10.422% 3.408% 1.312% 0.381%
10. The Baron 3.44.1 11.275% 82.984% 5.741%
11. Minic 0.76 1.235% 81.235% 16.703% 0.827%
12. Igel 1.8.1 4.248% 5.359% 8.768% 60.360% 21.265%
13. Cheese 2.1 0.848% 21.625% 77.527%
14. Tucano 7.07 100.000%
15. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 82.975% 17.025%
16. Bagatur 1.7b 17.025% 82.975%
17. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Cheese 2.1 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 19-17.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 99.835% 0.165% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 0.165% 99.835% 100.000%
3. Marvin 3.4.0 66.093% 33.907% 100.000%
4. Wasp 3.68 33.907% 66.093% 100.000%
5. Topple 0.7.2_dev 79.105% 20.895% 100.000%
6. chess22k 1.12 20.895% 79.105% 100.000%
7. Winter 0.6 71.577% 28.423%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 28.423% 71.577%
9. Rodent III 0.287 88.920% 7.930% 1.922% 0.872% 0.356%
10. The Baron 3.44.1 2.753% 42.901% 25.945% 20.619% 7.782%
11. Minic 0.76 1.004% 41.681% 43.706% 10.851% 2.758%
12. Cheese 2.1 0.107% 2.630% 12.281% 41.662% 43.320%
13. Igel 1.8.1 7.216% 4.858% 16.146% 25.996% 45.784%
14. Tucano 7.07 100.000%
15. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 82.739% 17.261%
16. Bagatur 1.7b 17.261% 82.739%
17. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 98.630% 1.370% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 1.370% 98.630% 100.000%
3. LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2 100.000% 100.000%
4. Marvin 3.4.0 52.391% 47.609% 100.000%
5. Wasp 3.68 47.609% 52.391% 100.000%
6. Topple 0.7.2_dev 95.254% 95.254% 4.746%
7. chess22k 1.12 4.746% 4.746% 95.254%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 65.613% 34.387%
9. Winter 0.6 34.387% 65.613%
10. Rodent III 0.287 91.277% 6.806% 1.762% 0.154% 0.001%
11. The Baron 3.44.1 5.931% 77.998% 11.671% 3.852% 0.548%
12. Minic 0.76 0.056% 5.230% 54.688% 34.509% 5.517%
13. Igel 1.8.1 2.705% 6.224% 27.233% 44.805% 19.033%
14. Cheese 2.1 0.031% 3.742% 4.646% 16.680% 74.901%
15. Tucano 7.07 100.000%
16. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 83.055% 16.945%
17. Bagatur 1.7b 16.945% 83.055%
18. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Cheese 2.1 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 98.645% 1.355% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 1.355% 98.645% 100.000%
3. LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2 100.000% 100.000%
4. Marvin 3.4.0 52.454% 47.546% 100.000%
5. Wasp 3.68 47.546% 52.454% 100.000%
6. Topple 0.7.2_dev 95.416% 95.416% 4.584%
7. chess22k 1.12 4.584% 4.584% 95.416%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 65.680% 34.320%
9. Winter 0.6 34.320% 65.680%
10. Rodent III 0.287 86.028% 11.018% 2.816% 0.138%
11. The Baron 3.44.1 11.989% 86.124% 1.887%
12. Minic 0.76 0.125% 62.218% 36.605% 1.052%
13. Igel 1.8.1 1.983% 2.733% 32.690% 55.810% 6.784%
14. Cheese 2.1 0.389% 7.447% 92.164%
15. Tucano 7.07 100.000%
16. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 82.877% 17.123%
17. Bagatur 1.7b 17.123% 82.877%
18. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Cheese 2.1 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 98.704% 1.296% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 1.296% 98.704% 100.000%
3. LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2 100.000% 100.000%
4. Marvin 3.4.0 52.521% 47.479% 100.000%
5. Wasp 3.68 47.479% 52.521% 100.000%
6. Topple 0.7.2_dev 95.198% 95.198% 4.802%
7. chess22k 1.12 4.802% 4.802% 95.198%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 65.932% 34.068%
9. Winter 0.6 34.068% 65.932%
10. Rodent III 0.287 94.910% 3.880% 1.139% 0.071%
11. The Baron 3.44.1 2.186% 88.824% 8.679% 0.311%
12. Minic 0.76 0.066% 3.476% 58.398% 34.538% 3.522%
13. Igel 1.8.1 2.838% 3.820% 29.425% 47.597% 16.320%
14. Cheese 2.1 2.359% 17.483% 80.158%
15. Tucano 7.07 100.000%
16. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 82.762% 17.238%
17. Bagatur 1.7b 17.238% 82.762%
18. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Cheese 2.1 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1-6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 98.651% 1.349% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a10 1.349% 98.651% 100.000%
3. LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2 100.000% 100.000%
4. Marvin 3.4.0 52.795% 47.205% 100.000%
5. Wasp 3.68 47.205% 52.795% 100.000%
6. Topple 0.7.2_dev 94.893% 94.893% 5.107%
7. chess22k 1.12 5.107% 5.107% 94.893%
8. Asymptote 0.6.2 65.987% 34.013%
9. Winter 0.6 34.013% 65.987%
10. Rodent III 0.287 95.267% 3.897% 0.655% 0.177% 0.004%
11. The Baron 3.44.1 0.559% 56.287% 28.776% 12.546% 1.832%
12. Minic 0.76 0.117% 14.042% 41.175% 31.127% 13.539%
13. Igel 1.8.1 3.998% 13.099% 16.967% 26.354% 39.582%
14. Cheese 2.1 0.059% 12.675% 12.427% 29.796% 45.043%
15. Tucano 7.07 100.000%
16. ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 82.798% 17.202%
17. Bagatur 1.7b 17.202% 82.798%
18. Jumbo 0.6.117 100.000%

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.08h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-07-27 16:14 293 Stoofvlees II a10 chess22k 1.12
2019-07-27 17:19 294 ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8 ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411
2019-07-27 18:24 295 Rodent III 0.287 Igel 1.8.1
2019-07-27 19:29 296 Minic 0.76 Jumbo 0.6.117
2019-07-27 20:34 297 Marvin 3.4.0 LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2
2019-07-27 21:39 298 Winter 0.6 Marvin 3.4.0
2019-07-27 22:44 299 LCZeroCPU v0.21.2-nLD2 Minic 0.76
2019-07-27 23:49 300 Jumbo 0.6.117 Rodent III 0.287
2019-07-28 00:54 301 Igel 1.8.1 ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8
2019-07-28 01:59 302 ChessFighterNN v2.1-n8x128c_7411 Stoofvlees II a10
2019-07-28 03:04 303 chess22k 1.12 The Baron 3.44.1
2019-07-28 04:09 304 Cheese 2.1 Topple 0.7.2_dev
2019-07-28 05:14 305 Bagatur 1.7b Tucano 7.07
2019-07-28 06:18 306 Asymptote 0.6.2 Wasp 3.68