For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1 Stoofvlees II a10/II a11/II a12 16.0 20.47 1.09 1.07 94 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 Ethereal 11.50/11.57 13.0 17.27 1.28 4.27 2 26 18 15 12 9 7 5 3 2 1 0 0 0 0
3 ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8/v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 13.0 17.15 1.12 4.34 1 20 20 18 14 11 7 4 2 1 1 0 0 0 0
4 Laser 230319 12.5 16.99 1.21 4.80 1 18 18 16 14 11 8 6 4 2 1 1 0 0 0
5 Andscacs 0.95123 12.5 16.73 1.22 5.34 0 13 15 15 14 13 11 8 5 3 2 1 0 0 0
6 Chiron TCEC16 12.0 16.36 1.29 6.09 0 9 11 12 12 13 12 10 8 5 3 2 1 0 0
7 Xiphos 0.5.3 12.0 16.24 1.28 6.45 0 6 9 12 13 13 13 11 8 6 4 3 2 1 0
8 Ginkgo S16 12.0 15.69 1.18 7.61 0 2 5 7 9 11 14 15 13 10 7 4 2 1 0
9 Fizbo 2 11.5 15.24 1.21 8.70 0 1 2 4 6 8 11 14 15 13 10 8 6 3 0
10 ChessBrainVB 3.74 11.0 14.53 1.20 10.25 0 0 1 1 2 4 6 9 12 15 16 15 12 7 0
11 Booot 6.3.1 11.0 14.34 1.11 10.71 0 0 0 1 1 2 4 7 11 15 18 18 14 8 0
12 Jonny 8.1 10.5 14.30 1.19 10.77 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 7 10 13 15 16 15 12 0
13 rofChade 2.105 10.5 13.71 1.18 11.96 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 9 13 18 24 24 1
14 Arasan TCEC16 10.0 13.26 1.15 12.67 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 6 9 14 22 41 2
15 Pedone 230719 7.0 9.92 1.14 15.04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 89
16 Fire NNb/v_NNb-n07-20-2019 5.5 7.79 1.18 15.92 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 1-4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13-16. 13. 14. 15. 16.
1. Stoofvlees II a12 94.395% 4.345% 0.895% 0.258% 99.893% 0.081% 0.016% 0.007% 0.002% 0.001%
2. Ethereal 11.57 2.469% 26.133% 18.300% 14.301% 61.203% 11.415% 9.212% 6.928% 4.679% 2.948% 1.803% 0.983% 0.555% 0.274% 0.235% 0.039%
3. ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 1.151% 19.056% 19.656% 17.618% 57.481% 14.780% 11.112% 7.372% 4.370% 2.422% 1.316% 0.645% 0.358% 0.144% 0.112% 0.032%
4. Laser 230319 0.706% 13.737% 15.645% 15.078% 45.166% 13.910% 12.275% 9.881% 7.148% 4.785% 3.086% 1.875% 1.128% 0.746% 0.591% 0.155%
5. Andscacs 0.95123 0.541% 13.727% 14.260% 13.989% 42.517% 13.398% 12.037% 10.172% 7.813% 5.485% 3.708% 2.374% 1.510% 0.986% 0.718% 0.268%
6. Chiron TCEC16 0.329% 11.812% 12.002% 11.946% 36.089% 11.771% 11.348% 10.782% 9.288% 7.276% 5.384% 3.718% 2.379% 1.965% 1.384% 0.579% 0.002%
7. Xiphos 0.5.3 0.346% 7.195% 10.218% 11.904% 29.663% 12.340% 12.215% 11.301% 10.072% 8.088% 6.001% 4.396% 3.089% 2.835% 1.979% 0.855% 0.001%
8. Ginkgo S16 0.023% 1.921% 3.778% 5.701% 11.423% 7.784% 9.950% 12.166% 13.914% 13.260% 11.227% 8.720% 6.064% 5.492% 3.806% 1.683% 0.003%
9. Fizbo 2 0.038% 1.436% 3.184% 4.919% 9.577% 6.803% 9.056% 11.421% 12.949% 13.012% 11.456% 9.719% 7.534% 8.473% 5.285% 3.174% 0.014%
10. ChessBrainVB 3.74 0.001% 0.341% 1.051% 1.897% 3.290% 3.336% 5.005% 7.056% 9.525% 12.247% 14.156% 14.462% 13.556% 17.367% 10.717% 6.343% 0.305% 0.002%
11. Jonny 8.1 0.181% 0.626% 1.342% 2.149% 2.314% 3.788% 5.858% 8.236% 10.977% 13.043% 14.305% 14.512% 24.818% 13.287% 11.181% 0.348% 0.002%
12. Booot 6.3.1 0.079% 0.224% 0.581% 0.884% 1.097% 2.131% 3.581% 5.987% 9.334% 13.088% 16.030% 17.718% 30.150% 17.251% 12.434% 0.462% 0.003%
13. rofChade 2.105 0.001% 0.030% 0.132% 0.331% 0.494% 0.675% 1.208% 2.102% 3.529% 5.729% 8.704% 12.375% 16.346% 48.838% 21.965% 25.199% 1.651% 0.023%
14. Arasan TCEC16 0.007% 0.029% 0.135% 0.171% 0.296% 0.647% 1.373% 2.488% 4.435% 7.011% 10.321% 15.027% 58.231% 21.777% 33.928% 2.519% 0.007%
15. Pedone 230719 0.001% 0.017% 0.077% 0.222% 99.683% 0.877% 4.031% 82.846% 11.929%
16. Fire v_NNb-n07-20-2019 0.002% 99.998% 0.016% 0.099% 11.849% 88.034%

Speculate Chiron TCEC16 – Ethereal 11.57 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 1-4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13-16. 13. 14. 15. 16.
1. Stoofvlees II a12 95.619% 3.263% 0.783% 0.240% 99.905% 0.068% 0.025% 0.002%
2. Chiron TCEC16 0.744% 21.803% 16.723% 14.349% 53.619% 12.093% 10.119% 8.308% 6.257% 4.146% 2.687% 1.537% 0.812% 0.422% 0.331% 0.091%
3. ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 1.239% 20.104% 19.874% 16.568% 57.785% 13.742% 10.957% 7.766% 4.695% 2.564% 1.312% 0.670% 0.338% 0.171% 0.140% 0.031%
4. Laser 230319 0.701% 15.091% 14.753% 14.383% 44.928% 13.550% 11.979% 10.005% 7.328% 5.074% 3.280% 1.928% 1.133% 0.795% 0.600% 0.195%
5. Ethereal 11.57 0.765% 13.275% 14.859% 14.509% 43.408% 13.817% 12.598% 10.536% 7.662% 5.144% 3.262% 1.925% 1.066% 0.582% 0.484% 0.098%
6. Andscacs 0.95123 0.506% 14.053% 14.093% 13.974% 42.626% 13.052% 11.734% 10.142% 8.068% 5.639% 3.855% 2.506% 1.407% 0.971% 0.731% 0.240%
7. Xiphos 0.5.3 0.348% 8.014% 9.745% 11.179% 29.286% 11.834% 12.087% 11.421% 10.100% 8.338% 6.340% 4.553% 3.261% 2.780% 1.923% 0.857%
8. Ginkgo S16 0.025% 1.971% 3.934% 5.741% 11.671% 7.798% 9.842% 12.206% 13.880% 13.458% 11.129% 8.700% 6.012% 5.304% 3.681% 1.614% 0.009%
9. Fizbo 2 0.053% 1.710% 3.077% 4.676% 9.516% 6.311% 8.511% 10.916% 12.931% 13.477% 11.709% 9.894% 7.719% 9.016% 5.699% 3.302% 0.015%
10. ChessBrainVB 3.74 0.402% 1.076% 2.039% 3.517% 3.333% 4.825% 6.589% 9.358% 12.130% 14.241% 14.806% 13.781% 17.420% 10.872% 6.211% 0.335% 0.002%
11. Jonny 8.1 0.213% 0.686% 1.283% 2.182% 2.254% 3.552% 5.315% 8.022% 10.873% 13.277% 14.571% 14.695% 25.259% 13.519% 11.362% 0.374% 0.004%
12. Booot 6.3.1 0.074% 0.245% 0.617% 0.936% 1.171% 1.991% 3.502% 5.816% 9.060% 13.071% 16.083% 18.099% 30.271% 17.294% 12.526% 0.450% 0.001%
13. rofChade 2.105 0.026% 0.122% 0.339% 0.487% 0.723% 1.215% 2.119% 3.521% 5.730% 8.858% 12.333% 16.554% 48.460% 21.640% 25.016% 1.787% 0.017%
14. Arasan TCEC16 0.001% 0.030% 0.103% 0.134% 0.254% 0.565% 1.173% 2.362% 4.365% 6.963% 10.431% 14.874% 58.879% 22.106% 34.199% 2.565% 0.009%
15. Pedone 230719 0.002% 0.016% 0.063% 0.244% 99.675% 0.965% 4.158% 82.894% 11.658%
16. Fire v_NNb-n07-20-2019 0.005% 99.995% 0.015% 0.100% 11.571% 88.309%

Speculate Chiron TCEC16 – Ethereal 11.57 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 1-4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13-16. 13. 14. 15. 16.
1. Stoofvlees II a12 95.030% 3.742% 0.854% 0.281% 99.907% 0.068% 0.021% 0.004%
2. Ethereal 11.57 1.976% 26.768% 19.597% 15.157% 63.498% 12.030% 9.088% 6.302% 4.176% 2.372% 1.344% 0.758% 0.295% 0.137% 0.123% 0.014%
3. ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 1.121% 19.979% 19.066% 17.339% 57.505% 14.546% 11.195% 7.499% 4.377% 2.416% 1.321% 0.652% 0.327% 0.162% 0.122% 0.039% 0.001%
4. Laser 230319 0.693% 14.172% 15.581% 14.800% 45.246% 13.841% 12.258% 9.937% 6.978% 4.836% 3.170% 1.888% 1.096% 0.750% 0.554% 0.196%
5. Andscacs 0.95123 0.568% 14.464% 14.205% 13.640% 42.877% 12.832% 11.705% 10.198% 7.940% 5.662% 3.854% 2.473% 1.494% 0.965% 0.705% 0.260%
6. Chiron TCEC16 0.175% 9.131% 11.385% 12.314% 33.005% 12.527% 12.389% 11.569% 9.893% 7.780% 5.440% 3.645% 2.222% 1.530% 1.137% 0.393%
7. Xiphos 0.5.3 0.372% 7.591% 10.251% 11.566% 29.780% 12.182% 12.083% 11.358% 9.968% 8.094% 6.196% 4.552% 3.124% 2.663% 1.866% 0.794% 0.003%
8. Ginkgo S16 0.026% 2.036% 3.770% 5.566% 11.398% 7.649% 9.897% 12.100% 14.106% 13.505% 11.040% 8.728% 6.048% 5.529% 3.906% 1.611% 0.012%
9. Fizbo 2 0.038% 1.518% 3.181% 4.975% 9.712% 6.756% 8.758% 11.362% 12.922% 13.148% 11.589% 9.651% 7.537% 8.565% 5.411% 3.136% 0.018%
10. ChessBrainVB 3.74 0.336% 1.081% 2.006% 3.423% 3.241% 4.844% 6.851% 9.557% 12.170% 14.293% 14.681% 13.496% 17.444% 10.900% 6.275% 0.269%
11. Jonny 8.1 0.166% 0.620% 1.426% 2.212% 2.275% 3.886% 5.812% 8.280% 10.916% 12.893% 14.328% 14.477% 24.921% 13.351% 11.194% 0.376%
12. Booot 6.3.1 0.054% 0.268% 0.532% 0.854% 1.094% 2.097% 3.615% 5.847% 9.032% 13.039% 16.093% 18.121% 30.208% 17.147% 12.617% 0.440% 0.004%
13. rofChade 2.105 0.001% 0.039% 0.121% 0.300% 0.461% 0.677% 1.148% 2.055% 3.439% 5.580% 8.742% 12.249% 16.486% 49.163% 21.976% 25.440% 1.720% 0.027%
14. Arasan TCEC16 0.004% 0.020% 0.098% 0.122% 0.282% 0.631% 1.338% 2.517% 4.488% 7.072% 10.240% 15.059% 58.251% 21.873% 33.896% 2.474% 0.008%
15. Pedone 230719 0.001% 0.006% 0.062% 0.216% 99.715% 0.911% 4.033% 82.960% 11.811%
16. Fire v_NNb-n07-20-2019 0.001% 0.002% 99.997% 0.018% 0.102% 11.727% 88.150%

Speculate Chiron TCEC16 – Ethereal 11.57 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 1-4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13-16. 13. 14. 15. 16.
1. Stoofvlees II a12 92.820% 5.673% 1.059% 0.319% 99.871% 0.098% 0.024% 0.007%
2. Ethereal 11.57 4.720% 41.326% 20.698% 13.328% 80.072% 8.520% 5.367% 2.973% 1.567% 0.822% 0.421% 0.171% 0.073% 0.014% 0.012% 0.002%
3. ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 0.982% 16.474% 19.912% 19.303% 56.671% 15.742% 11.427% 7.291% 4.137% 2.329% 1.258% 0.665% 0.308% 0.172% 0.125% 0.047%
4. Laser 230319 0.586% 11.932% 16.828% 16.096% 45.442% 14.765% 12.395% 9.460% 6.784% 4.550% 3.024% 1.870% 1.023% 0.687% 0.525% 0.162%
5. Andscacs 0.95123 0.527% 12.747% 15.007% 14.497% 42.778% 13.579% 12.341% 9.920% 7.577% 5.426% 3.662% 2.390% 1.350% 0.977% 0.724% 0.253%
6. Xiphos 0.5.3 0.290% 6.013% 10.881% 12.434% 29.618% 13.185% 12.855% 11.439% 9.509% 7.701% 5.829% 4.282% 2.984% 2.598% 1.808% 0.787% 0.003%
7. Chiron TCEC16 0.026% 2.547% 6.705% 8.732% 18.010% 10.865% 11.993% 12.860% 12.231% 10.432% 8.551% 6.543% 4.521% 3.994% 2.740% 1.252% 0.002%
8. Ginkgo S16 0.021% 1.668% 3.640% 5.858% 11.187% 7.899% 10.348% 12.931% 14.078% 13.022% 10.711% 8.301% 6.074% 5.449% 3.833% 1.602% 0.014%
9. Fizbo 2 0.028% 1.107% 3.276% 5.203% 9.614% 7.417% 9.745% 11.726% 12.938% 12.831% 11.216% 9.116% 7.188% 8.209% 5.195% 2.999% 0.015%
10. ChessBrainVB 3.74 0.296% 0.989% 1.946% 3.231% 3.230% 5.100% 7.446% 9.836% 12.157% 13.856% 14.231% 13.434% 17.479% 10.742% 6.426% 0.311%
11. Jonny 8.1 0.119% 0.605% 1.322% 2.046% 2.557% 4.282% 6.427% 8.778% 10.909% 12.740% 13.978% 14.106% 24.177% 13.113% 10.735% 0.327% 0.002%
12. Booot 6.3.1 0.068% 0.229% 0.534% 0.831% 1.155% 2.205% 3.775% 6.137% 9.410% 12.916% 15.907% 17.549% 30.115% 17.188% 12.479% 0.443% 0.005%
13. rofChade 2.105 0.028% 0.143% 0.316% 0.487% 0.662% 1.172% 2.134% 3.636% 5.692% 8.606% 12.056% 16.590% 48.965% 21.535% 25.715% 1.694% 0.021%
14. Arasan TCEC16 0.002% 0.028% 0.112% 0.142% 0.326% 0.746% 1.611% 2.792% 4.719% 7.201% 10.419% 14.573% 57.471% 21.580% 33.541% 2.345% 0.005%
15. Pedone 230719 0.009% 0.071% 0.226% 99.694% 0.860% 3.880% 82.875% 12.079%
16. Fire v_NNb-n07-20-2019 0.001% 99.999% 0.020% 0.120% 11.971% 87.888%

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.51h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-08-23 03:07 182 Jonny 8.1 Fire v_NNb-n07-20-2019
2019-08-23 04:38 183 Fizbo 2 Xiphos 0.5.3
2019-08-23 06:09 184 Andscacs 0.95123 Laser 230319
2019-08-23 07:40 185 Arasan TCEC16 Andscacs 0.95123
2019-08-23 09:11 186 Laser 230319 Fizbo 2
2019-08-23 10:42 187 Xiphos 0.5.3 Jonny 8.1
2019-08-23 12:12 188 Fire v_NNb-n07-20-2019 Chiron TCEC16
2019-08-23 13:43 189 Ethereal 11.57 Ginkgo S16
2019-08-23 15:14 190 Pedone 230719 ChessBrainVB 3.74
2019-08-23 16:45 191 ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 Booot 6.3.1
2019-08-23 18:16 192 Stoofvlees II a12 rofChade 2.105
2019-08-23 19:47 193 Stoofvlees II a12 Arasan TCEC16
2019-08-23 21:18 194 rofChade 2.105 ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8
2019-08-23 22:48 195 Booot 6.3.1 Pedone 230719
2019-08-24 00:19 196 ChessBrainVB 3.74 Ethereal 11.57
2019-08-24 01:50 197 Ginkgo S16 Fire v_NNb-n07-20-2019
2019-08-24 03:21 198 Chiron TCEC16 Xiphos 0.5.3
2019-08-24 04:52 199 Jonny 8.1 Laser 230319
2019-08-24 06:23 200 Fizbo 2 Andscacs 0.95123
2019-08-24 07:54 201 Arasan TCEC16 Fizbo 2
2019-08-24 09:25 202 Andscacs 0.95123 Jonny 8.1
2019-08-24 10:55 203 Laser 230319 Chiron TCEC16
2019-08-24 12:26 204 Xiphos 0.5.3 Ginkgo S16
2019-08-24 13:57 205 Fire v_NNb-n07-20-2019 ChessBrainVB 3.74
2019-08-24 15:28 206 Ethereal 11.57 Booot 6.3.1
2019-08-24 16:59 207 Pedone 230719 rofChade 2.105
2019-08-24 18:30 208 ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 Stoofvlees II a12
2019-08-24 20:01 209 ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 Arasan TCEC16
2019-08-24 21:32 210 Stoofvlees II a12 Pedone 230719
2019-08-24 23:02 211 rofChade 2.105 Ethereal 11.57
2019-08-25 00:33 212 Booot 6.3.1 Fire v_NNb-n07-20-2019
2019-08-25 02:04 213 ChessBrainVB 3.74 Xiphos 0.5.3
2019-08-25 03:35 214 Ginkgo S16 Laser 230319
2019-08-25 05:06 215 Chiron TCEC16 Andscacs 0.95123
2019-08-25 06:37 216 Jonny 8.1 Fizbo 2
2019-08-25 08:08 217 Arasan TCEC16 Jonny 8.1
2019-08-25 09:38 218 Fizbo 2 Chiron TCEC16
2019-08-25 11:09 219 Andscacs 0.95123 Ginkgo S16
2019-08-25 12:40 220 Laser 230319 ChessBrainVB 3.74
2019-08-25 14:11 221 Xiphos 0.5.3 Booot 6.3.1
2019-08-25 15:42 222 Fire v_NNb-n07-20-2019 rofChade 2.105
2019-08-25 17:13 223 Ethereal 11.57 Stoofvlees II a12
2019-08-25 18:44 224 Pedone 230719 ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8
2019-08-25 20:15 225 Pedone 230719 Arasan TCEC16
2019-08-25 21:45 226 ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 Ethereal 11.57
2019-08-25 23:16 227 Stoofvlees II a12 Fire v_NNb-n07-20-2019
2019-08-26 00:47 228 rofChade 2.105 Xiphos 0.5.3
2019-08-26 02:18 229 Booot 6.3.1 Laser 230319
2019-08-26 03:49 230 ChessBrainVB 3.74 Andscacs 0.95123
2019-08-26 05:20 231 Ginkgo S16 Fizbo 2
2019-08-26 06:51 232 Chiron TCEC16 Jonny 8.1
2019-08-26 08:22 233 Arasan TCEC16 Chiron TCEC16
2019-08-26 09:52 234 Jonny 8.1 Ginkgo S16
2019-08-26 11:23 235 Fizbo 2 ChessBrainVB 3.74
2019-08-26 12:54 236 Andscacs 0.95123 Booot 6.3.1
2019-08-26 14:25 237 Laser 230319 rofChade 2.105
2019-08-26 15:56 238 Xiphos 0.5.3 Stoofvlees II a12
2019-08-26 17:27 239 Fire v_NNb-n07-20-2019 ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8
2019-08-26 18:58 240 Ethereal 11.57 Pedone 230719