For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stoofvlees II a10/II a11/II a12 | 3.5 | 3.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ethereal 11.50/11.57 | 3.0 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0 | 100 | 0 |
| 3 | Laser 230319 | 3.0 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
| 4 | ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8/v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 | 2.5 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 | 43.462% | 29.605% | 73.067% | 18.317% | 8.616% | |||
| 2. | Stoofvlees II a12 | 41.732% | 36.041% | 77.773% | 16.159% | 6.068% | |||
| 3. | Laser 230319 | 5.829% | 16.828% | 22.657% | 34.897% | 42.446% | |||
| 4. | Ethereal 11.57 | 8.977% | 17.526% | 26.503% | 30.627% | 42.870% |
Speculate ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 – Stoofvlees II a12 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 | 77.301% | 16.914% | 94.215% | 5.451% | 0.334% | |||
| 2. | Stoofvlees II a12 | 8.479% | 50.286% | 58.765% | 28.526% | 12.709% | |||
| 3. | Laser 230319 | 5.078% | 17.763% | 22.841% | 35.095% | 42.064% | |||
| 4. | Ethereal 11.57 | 9.142% | 15.037% | 24.179% | 30.928% | 44.893% |
Speculate ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 – Stoofvlees II a12 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 | 44.229% | 30.946% | 75.175% | 18.303% | 6.522% | |||
| 2. | Stoofvlees II a12 | 37.067% | 39.702% | 76.769% | 17.795% | 5.436% | |||
| 3. | Laser 230319 | 7.711% | 15.017% | 22.728% | 33.673% | 43.599% | |||
| 4. | Ethereal 11.57 | 10.993% | 14.335% | 25.328% | 30.229% | 44.443% |
Speculate ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 – Stoofvlees II a12 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stoofvlees II a12 | 77.444% | 19.937% | 97.381% | 2.395% | 0.224% | |||
| 2. | ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 | 10.239% | 40.611% | 50.850% | 31.101% | 18.049% | |||
| 3. | Ethereal 11.57 | 7.360% | 22.430% | 29.790% | 30.266% | 39.944% | |||
| 4. | Laser 230319 | 4.957% | 17.022% | 21.979% | 36.238% | 41.783% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.06h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-08-28 06:48 | 20 | Ethereal 11.57 | Laser 230319 |
| 2019-08-28 08:52 | 21 | Ethereal 11.57 | ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 |
| 2019-08-28 10:55 | 22 | Laser 230319 | Stoofvlees II a12 |
| 2019-08-28 12:59 | 23 | ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 | Laser 230319 |
| 2019-08-28 15:02 | 24 | Stoofvlees II a12 | Ethereal 11.57 |