For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3
1 Stoofvlees II a10/II a11/II a12 3.5 3.50 0.00 1.00 100 0 0
2 Ethereal 11.50/11.57 3.0 3.00 0.00 2.00 0 100 0
3 ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8/v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 3.0 3.00 0.00 3.00 0 0 100
4 Laser 230319 2.5 2.50 0.00 4.00 0 0 0

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 43.015% 38.085% 81.100% 17.951% 0.949%
2. Stoofvlees II a12 38.009% 35.808% 73.817% 20.661% 5.522%
3. Ethereal 11.57 16.055% 17.616% 33.671% 53.807% 12.522%
4. Laser 230319 2.921% 8.491% 11.412% 7.581% 81.007%

Speculate Laser 230319 – Stoofvlees II a12 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 60.690% 10.304% 70.994% 26.236% 2.770%
2. Stoofvlees II a12 14.631% 51.954% 66.585% 17.962% 15.453%
3. Ethereal 11.57 16.269% 14.324% 30.593% 45.892% 23.515%
4. Laser 230319 8.410% 23.418% 31.828% 9.910% 58.262%

Speculate Laser 230319 – Stoofvlees II a12 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 48.595% 43.240% 91.835% 8.165%
2. Stoofvlees II a12 35.413% 37.304% 72.717% 27.283%
3. Ethereal 11.57 15.992% 19.456% 35.448% 49.713% 14.839%
4. Laser 230319 14.839% 85.161%

Speculate Laser 230319 – Stoofvlees II a12 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4.
1. Stoofvlees II a12 62.043% 19.407% 81.450% 18.550%
2. ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 22.192% 61.330% 83.522% 16.478%
3. Ethereal 11.57 15.765% 19.263% 35.028% 64.972%
4. Laser 230319 100.000%

Expected start time based on estimate of 2.07h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-08-28 13:07 23 ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 Laser 230319
2019-08-28 15:11 24 Stoofvlees II a12 Ethereal 11.57