For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3
1 Stoofvlees II a10/II a11/II a12 3.5 3.50 0.00 1.00 100 0 0
2 Ethereal 11.50/11.57 3.0 3.00 0.00 2.00 0 100 0
3 ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8/v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 3.0 3.00 0.00 3.00 0 0 100
4 Laser 230319 2.5 2.50 0.00 4.00 0 0 0

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 48.370% 43.510% 91.880% 8.120%
2. Stoofvlees II a12 35.257% 36.911% 72.168% 27.832%
3. Ethereal 11.57 16.373% 19.579% 35.952% 49.330% 14.718%
4. Laser 230319 14.718% 85.282%

Speculate ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 – Laser 230319 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4.
1. ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 100.000% 100.000%
2. Stoofvlees II a12 72.367% 72.367% 27.633%
3. Ethereal 11.57 27.633% 27.633% 72.367%
4. Laser 230319 100.000%

Speculate ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 – Laser 230319 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4.
1. Stoofvlees II a12 46.509% 26.102% 72.611% 27.389%
2. ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 26.102% 73.898% 100.000%
3. Ethereal 11.57 27.389% 27.389% 72.611%
4. Laser 230319 100.000%

Speculate ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 – Laser 230319 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4.
1. Stoofvlees II a12 72.642% 72.642% 27.358%
2. ScorpioNN v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8 74.391% 74.391% 25.609%
3. Ethereal 11.57 27.358% 25.609% 52.967% 47.033%
4. Laser 230319 47.033% 52.967%

Expected start time based on estimate of 2.05h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-08-28 14:56 24 Stoofvlees II a12 Ethereal 11.57