For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
|
72.400% |
20.256% |
|
92.656% |
|
6.842% |
0.502% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Stockfish 190826 |
|
16.395% |
43.922% |
|
60.317% |
|
34.915% |
4.767% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
|
10.996% |
33.548% |
|
44.544% |
|
46.532% |
8.900% |
0.024% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2381.00 |
|
0.209% |
2.274% |
|
2.483% |
|
11.701% |
80.885% |
4.403% |
0.528% |
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
2.578% |
53.051% |
42.686% |
|
1.682% |
|
1.682% |
|
6. |
Stoofvlees II a12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
2.368% |
42.055% |
52.897% |
|
2.673% |
|
2.671% |
0.002% |
7. |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.466% |
3.885% |
|
95.649% |
|
86.121% |
9.528% |
8. |
ScorpioNN v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
|
99.996% |
|
9.526% |
90.470% |
Speculate AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 – KomodoMCTS 2381.00 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
|
80.079% |
15.841% |
|
95.920% |
|
3.938% |
0.142% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Stockfish 190826 |
|
11.714% |
46.757% |
|
58.471% |
|
36.789% |
4.740% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
|
8.121% |
35.291% |
|
43.412% |
|
47.939% |
8.623% |
0.026% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2381.00 |
|
0.086% |
2.111% |
|
2.197% |
|
11.318% |
81.523% |
4.434% |
0.528% |
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
2.601% |
53.675% |
42.951% |
|
0.769% |
|
0.769% |
|
6. |
Stoofvlees II a12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.012% |
2.371% |
41.766% |
54.434% |
|
1.417% |
|
1.417% |
|
7. |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.099% |
2.085% |
|
97.816% |
|
85.241% |
12.575% |
8. |
ScorpioNN v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
|
99.998% |
|
12.573% |
87.425% |
Speculate AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 – KomodoMCTS 2381.00 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
|
68.513% |
23.088% |
|
91.601% |
|
7.878% |
0.521% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Stockfish 190826 |
|
18.823% |
41.800% |
|
60.623% |
|
34.502% |
4.874% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
|
12.416% |
32.740% |
|
45.156% |
|
45.849% |
8.967% |
0.028% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2381.00 |
|
0.248% |
2.372% |
|
2.620% |
|
11.751% |
80.842% |
4.265% |
0.522% |
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
2.579% |
53.226% |
42.309% |
|
1.883% |
|
1.883% |
|
6. |
Stoofvlees II a12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.017% |
2.217% |
42.044% |
52.527% |
|
3.195% |
|
3.194% |
0.001% |
7. |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.436% |
4.640% |
|
94.924% |
|
88.003% |
6.921% |
8. |
ScorpioNN v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
|
99.998% |
|
6.920% |
93.078% |
Speculate AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 – KomodoMCTS 2381.00 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
|
55.622% |
29.025% |
|
84.647% |
|
13.957% |
1.396% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Stockfish 190826 |
|
26.519% |
36.861% |
|
63.380% |
|
31.816% |
4.803% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
|
17.417% |
31.416% |
|
48.833% |
|
42.398% |
8.744% |
0.025% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2381.00 |
|
0.442% |
2.698% |
|
3.140% |
|
11.812% |
80.230% |
4.278% |
0.540% |
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.008% |
2.529% |
52.498% |
40.635% |
|
4.330% |
|
4.330% |
|
6. |
Stoofvlees II a12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
2.298% |
41.709% |
49.372% |
|
6.612% |
|
6.612% |
|
7. |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.489% |
9.453% |
|
89.058% |
|
85.867% |
3.191% |
8. |
ScorpioNN v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
3.191% |
96.809% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
23.0 |
26.58 |
1.05 |
1.33 |
73 |
20 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Stockfish 190826 |
22.0 |
25.39 |
1.06 |
2.17 |
19 |
48 |
31 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
21.5 |
24.82 |
1.05 |
2.60 |
8 |
30 |
55 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Komodo 2381.00 |
19.5 |
22.59 |
1.06 |
3.92 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
89 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Houdini 6.03 |
17.0 |
19.39 |
0.94 |
5.44 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
55 |
43 |
1 |
6 |
Stoofvlees II a10/II a11/II a12 |
16.5 |
19.21 |
1.03 |
5.56 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
43 |
54 |
2 |
7 |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
13.5 |
16.08 |
1.05 |
7.04 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
91 |
8 |
ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8/v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8/v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
12.0 |
13.95 |
0.94 |
7.93 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.05h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-09-21 04:14 |
147 |
Komodo 2381.00 |
Stoofvlees II a12 |
2019-09-21 07:17 |
148 |
Stockfish 190826 |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
2019-09-21 10:20 |
149 |
ScorpioNN v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
Stockfish 190826 |
2019-09-21 13:23 |
150 |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
Komodo 2381.00 |
2019-09-21 16:26 |
151 |
Stoofvlees II a12 |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
2019-09-21 19:29 |
152 |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-09-21 22:32 |
153 |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
ScorpioNN v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
2019-09-22 01:35 |
154 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Stoofvlees II a12 |
2019-09-22 04:38 |
155 |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
2019-09-22 07:41 |
156 |
Komodo 2381.00 |
Stockfish 190826 |
2019-09-22 10:43 |
157 |
ScorpioNN v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
Komodo 2381.00 |
2019-09-22 13:46 |
158 |
Stockfish 190826 |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
2019-09-22 16:49 |
159 |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-09-22 19:52 |
160 |
Stoofvlees II a12 |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
2019-09-22 22:55 |
161 |
Stoofvlees II a12 |
ScorpioNN v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
2019-09-23 01:58 |
162 |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
2019-09-23 05:01 |
163 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Stockfish 190826 |
2019-09-23 08:04 |
164 |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
Komodo 2381.00 |
2019-09-23 11:07 |
165 |
ScorpioNN v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
2019-09-23 14:10 |
166 |
Komodo 2381.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-09-23 17:13 |
167 |
Stockfish 190826 |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
2019-09-23 20:16 |
168 |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
Stoofvlees II a12 |