For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 190826 |
|
79.196% |
9.474% |
|
88.670% |
|
11.330% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
|
20.804% |
79.196% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
|
|
11.330% |
|
11.330% |
|
88.670% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2381.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Stoofvlees II a12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
62.420% |
37.580% |
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
37.580% |
62.420% |
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
8. |
ScorpioNN v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate Komodo 2381.00 – Houdini 6.03 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 190826 |
|
79.391% |
9.292% |
|
88.683% |
|
11.317% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
|
20.609% |
79.391% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
|
|
11.317% |
|
11.317% |
|
88.683% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2381.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Stoofvlees II a12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
8. |
ScorpioNN v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate Komodo 2381.00 – Houdini 6.03 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 190826 |
|
79.165% |
9.351% |
|
88.516% |
|
11.484% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
|
20.835% |
79.165% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
|
|
11.484% |
|
11.484% |
|
88.516% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2381.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
54.539% |
45.461% |
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Stoofvlees II a12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45.461% |
54.539% |
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
8. |
ScorpioNN v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate Komodo 2381.00 – Houdini 6.03 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 190826 |
|
79.353% |
9.530% |
|
88.883% |
|
11.117% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
|
20.647% |
79.353% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
|
|
11.117% |
|
11.117% |
|
88.883% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2381.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
78.194% |
21.806% |
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Stoofvlees II a12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.806% |
78.194% |
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
8. |
ScorpioNN v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 190826 |
26.0 |
26.68 |
0.40 |
1.00 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10 |
26.0 |
26.00 |
0.00 |
2.00 |
0 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
25.0 |
25.67 |
0.40 |
3.00 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Komodo 2381.00 |
21.5 |
22.07 |
0.42 |
4.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Stoofvlees II a10/II a11/II a12 |
18.5 |
18.83 |
0.40 |
5.21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
79 |
21 |
0 |
6 |
Houdini 6.03 |
18.0 |
18.43 |
0.42 |
5.79 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
79 |
0 |
7 |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
16.0 |
16.32 |
0.40 |
7.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
8 |
ScorpioNN v2.9.1-n_maddex_INT8/v2.9.2-n_maddex_INT8/v3.0.1-n_maddex_INT8 |
14.0 |
14.00 |
0.00 |
8.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.03h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-09-23 14:51 |
167 |
Stockfish 190826 |
KomodoMCTS 2381.00 |
2019-09-23 17:53 |
168 |
LCZero v0.22.0-nT40B.4-160 |
Stoofvlees II a12 |