For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 19092522 97.002% 2.998%
2. AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 2.998% 97.002%

Speculate Stockfish 19092522 – AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 19092522 98.639% 1.361%
2. AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 1.361% 98.639%

Speculate Stockfish 19092522 – AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 19092522 97.045% 2.955%
2. AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 2.955% 97.045%

Speculate Stockfish 19092522 – AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 19092522 94.754% 5.246%
2. AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 5.246% 94.754%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1
1 Stockfish 190826/190826_dll_fix/19092522 43.0 53.98 2.10 1.02 98
2 AllieStein v0.5-dev_1359f44-n10/v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 36.0 46.02 2.10 1.98 2

Expected start time based on estimate of 3.95h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-10-09 22:56 81 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 Stockfish 19092522
2019-10-10 02:53 82 Stockfish 19092522 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11
2019-10-10 06:50 83 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 Stockfish 19092522
2019-10-10 10:47 84 Stockfish 19092522 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11
2019-10-10 14:44 85 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 Stockfish 19092522
2019-10-10 18:41 86 Stockfish 19092522 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11
2019-10-10 22:38 87 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 Stockfish 19092522
2019-10-11 02:35 88 Stockfish 19092522 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11
2019-10-11 06:32 89 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 Stockfish 19092522
2019-10-11 10:29 90 Stockfish 19092522 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11
2019-10-11 14:26 91 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 Stockfish 19092522
2019-10-11 18:23 92 Stockfish 19092522 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11
2019-10-11 22:20 93 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 Stockfish 19092522
2019-10-12 02:17 94 Stockfish 19092522 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11
2019-10-12 06:14 95 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 Stockfish 19092522
2019-10-12 10:11 96 Stockfish 19092522 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11
2019-10-12 14:07 97 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 Stockfish 19092522
2019-10-12 18:04 98 Stockfish 19092522 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11
2019-10-12 22:01 99 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11 Stockfish 19092522
2019-10-13 01:58 100 Stockfish 19092522 AllieStein v0.5-dev_7b41f8c-n11