For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
|
90.254% |
|
90.254% |
|
9.746% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
|
9.746% |
|
9.746% |
|
90.254% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
54.667% |
27.702% |
15.446% |
2.185% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35.800% |
29.232% |
12.732% |
13.978% |
8.258% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.533% |
27.867% |
20.286% |
28.193% |
14.121% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.820% |
37.372% |
46.227% |
9.581% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.379% |
14.164% |
9.417% |
68.040% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
12. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
13. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
76.094% |
23.906% |
|
14. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
23.906% |
76.094% |
|
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate Texel 1.08a13 – Winter 0.7.4 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
|
90.273% |
|
90.273% |
|
9.727% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
|
9.727% |
|
9.727% |
|
90.273% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
58.073% |
19.865% |
|
|
22.062% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16.418% |
45.839% |
31.624% |
6.119% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22.515% |
38.378% |
25.527% |
13.580% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16.418% |
57.613% |
25.969% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.509% |
11.781% |
13.580% |
10.741% |
38.389% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
12. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
13. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
75.646% |
24.354% |
|
14. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
24.354% |
75.646% |
|
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate Texel 1.08a13 – Winter 0.7.4 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
|
90.172% |
|
90.172% |
|
9.828% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
|
9.828% |
|
9.828% |
|
90.172% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
53.850% |
11.781% |
12.043% |
22.326% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
46.150% |
40.090% |
13.760% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
37.145% |
24.734% |
38.121% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.984% |
49.463% |
39.553% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
12. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
13. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
76.111% |
23.889% |
|
14. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
23.889% |
76.111% |
|
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate Texel 1.08a13 – Winter 0.7.4 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
|
90.321% |
|
90.321% |
|
9.679% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
|
9.679% |
|
9.679% |
|
90.321% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
51.779% |
26.016% |
22.205% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
37.261% |
24.475% |
38.264% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.960% |
49.509% |
39.531% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
12. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
13. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
76.132% |
23.868% |
|
14. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
23.868% |
76.132% |
|
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
1 |
Fire 021819 |
22.0 |
23.36 |
0.57 |
1.01 |
99 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Defenchess 2.2_dev/2.3_dev |
19.5 |
21.49 |
0.70 |
2.00 |
1 |
98 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
RubiChess 1.7-dev2/1.6.1.1 |
17.5 |
18.65 |
0.61 |
3.15 |
0 |
0 |
86 |
13 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
15.5 |
17.32 |
0.73 |
4.41 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
58 |
31 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Pedone 1.9/2.0 |
15.0 |
16.70 |
0.74 |
5.09 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
55 |
23 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
Wasp 3.75/3.82 |
0.0 |
15.04 |
2.70 |
8.08 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
10 |
10 |
16 |
8 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
6 |
9 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
Winter 0.7.4 |
13.5 |
15.02 |
0.75 |
7.43 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
28 |
31 |
18 |
11 |
7 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Nemorino 5.26_256th/5.27 |
13.0 |
14.64 |
0.74 |
8.18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
24 |
24 |
18 |
13 |
7 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
Gull 191130/20170410_256th |
13.5 |
14.42 |
0.61 |
8.72 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
16 |
23 |
25 |
20 |
10 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
PeSTO 2.210 |
13.0 |
14.31 |
0.74 |
9.01 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
13 |
18 |
22 |
22 |
15 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
Texel 1.08a13 |
12.5 |
13.94 |
0.74 |
9.85 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
11 |
16 |
24 |
27 |
10 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
Demolito 20191225/20191229 |
12.0 |
12.93 |
0.61 |
12.05 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
17 |
40 |
35 |
1 |
0 |
13 |
Minic 1.19_dev/1.22/1.24/1.25/1.26/1.32 |
12.0 |
12.85 |
0.60 |
12.19 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
14 |
37 |
42 |
2 |
0 |
14 |
iCE 4.0.853 |
10.0 |
11.15 |
0.72 |
14.14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
66 |
24 |
15 |
Igel 2.1.2 next.2_TCEC_TTFIX/2.2.2_dev1/2.3.0/2.3.1-c2/2.3.1 |
9.5 |
10.58 |
0.71 |
14.68 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
27 |
71 |
16 |
Pirarucu 3.0.7/3.2.4 |
6.5 |
7.60 |
0.72 |
16.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.03h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-01-24 23:04 |
237 |
Pedone 2.0 |
PeSTO 2.210 |
2020-01-25 00:06 |
238 |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
iCE 4.0.853 |
2020-01-25 01:08 |
239 |
Nemorino 5.27 |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
2020-01-25 02:10 |
240 |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
Igel 2.3.1 |