For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
12. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
13. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
64.096% |
35.904% |
|
14. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
35.904% |
64.096% |
|
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate Defenchess 2.3_dev – Igel 2.3.1 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
12. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
13. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
14. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate Defenchess 2.3_dev – Igel 2.3.1 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
12. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
13. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
14. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate Defenchess 2.3_dev – Igel 2.3.1 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
12. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
13. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
14. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
1 |
Fire 021819 |
22.0 |
23.36 |
0.57 |
1.01 |
99 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Defenchess 2.2_dev/2.3_dev |
19.5 |
21.50 |
0.70 |
2.01 |
1 |
98 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
RubiChess 1.7-dev2/1.6.1.1 |
17.5 |
18.65 |
0.60 |
3.18 |
0 |
0 |
84 |
15 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
16.5 |
17.64 |
0.60 |
4.17 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
72 |
20 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Pedone 1.9/2.0 |
15.5 |
16.57 |
0.61 |
5.26 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
65 |
28 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
Wasp 3.75/3.82 |
0.0 |
15.05 |
2.70 |
8.13 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
8 |
12 |
15 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
6 |
11 |
3 |
4 |
7 |
Winter 0.7.4 |
14.0 |
15.02 |
0.61 |
7.44 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
24 |
33 |
22 |
13 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Nemorino 5.26_256th/5.27 |
14.0 |
15.00 |
0.61 |
7.50 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
22 |
32 |
24 |
13 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
PeSTO 2.210 |
13.5 |
14.43 |
0.61 |
8.96 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
12 |
20 |
27 |
23 |
12 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
Gull 191130/20170410_256th |
13.5 |
14.42 |
0.61 |
8.96 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
12 |
20 |
26 |
24 |
12 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
Texel 1.08a13 |
13.0 |
13.94 |
0.60 |
10.16 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
15 |
29 |
36 |
8 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
Demolito 20191225/20191229 |
12.0 |
12.93 |
0.61 |
12.11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
16 |
44 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
Minic 1.19_dev/1.22/1.24/1.25/1.26/1.32 |
12.0 |
12.84 |
0.60 |
12.25 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
13 |
39 |
44 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
iCE 4.0.853 |
10.0 |
10.83 |
0.60 |
14.31 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
60 |
35 |
15 |
Igel 2.1.2 next.2_TCEC_TTFIX/2.2.2_dev1/2.3.0/2.3.1-c2/2.3.1 |
9.5 |
10.58 |
0.71 |
14.57 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
37 |
60 |
16 |
Pirarucu 3.0.7/3.2.4 |
6.5 |
7.25 |
0.59 |
16.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |