For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
70.760% |
29.240% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2499.00 |
|
29.240% |
70.760% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
3. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.7 |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
4. |
Ethereal 12.00 |
|
|
|
|
72.199% |
|
72.199% |
|
27.801% |
|
5. |
rofChade 2.214 |
|
|
|
|
27.801% |
|
27.801% |
|
72.199% |
|
6. |
ChessFighter 3.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate Fire 021819 – KomodoMCTS 2499.00 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2499.00 |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
3. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.7 |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
4. |
Ethereal 12.00 |
|
|
|
|
72.215% |
|
72.215% |
|
27.785% |
|
5. |
rofChade 2.214 |
|
|
|
|
27.785% |
|
27.785% |
|
72.215% |
|
6. |
ChessFighter 3.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate Fire 021819 – KomodoMCTS 2499.00 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2499.00 |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
3. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.7 |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
4. |
Ethereal 12.00 |
|
|
|
|
72.295% |
|
72.295% |
|
27.705% |
|
5. |
rofChade 2.214 |
|
|
|
|
27.705% |
|
27.705% |
|
72.295% |
|
6. |
ChessFighter 3.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate Fire 021819 – KomodoMCTS 2499.00 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
1. |
KomodoMCTS 2499.00 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
2. |
Fire 021819 |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
3. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.7 |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
4. |
Ethereal 12.00 |
|
|
|
|
72.332% |
|
72.332% |
|
27.668% |
|
5. |
rofChade 2.214 |
|
|
|
|
27.668% |
|
27.668% |
|
72.332% |
|
6. |
ChessFighter 3.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
Fire 021819 |
12.5 |
13.08 |
0.42 |
1.29 |
71 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2428.00/2484.00/2499.00 |
12.0 |
12.42 |
0.42 |
1.71 |
29 |
71 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.7 |
10.5 |
10.50 |
0.00 |
3.00 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Ethereal 11.78_attack_tables/11.78_ttbucket_lock/11.86/11.88/12.00 |
9.0 |
9.59 |
0.42 |
4.28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
28 |
5 |
rofChade 2.208AT_debug/2.212/2.213/2.214 |
8.5 |
8.91 |
0.42 |
4.72 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
72 |
6 |
ChessFighter 3.2 |
5.5 |
5.50 |
0.00 |
6.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.95h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-03-11 17:57 |
60 |
Ethereal 12.00 |
rofChade 2.214 |