For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 1-4. 5. 6.
1. Fire 021819 100.000% 100.000%
2. KomodoMCTS 2499.00 100.000% 100.000%
3. ScorpioNN 3.0.7 100.000% 100.000%
4. Ethereal 12.00 72.264% 72.264% 27.736%
5. rofChade 2.214 27.736% 27.736% 72.264%
6. ChessFighter 3.2 100.000%

Speculate Ethereal 12.00 – rofChade 2.214 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 1-4. 5. 6.
1. Fire 021819 100.000% 100.000%
2. KomodoMCTS 2499.00 100.000% 100.000%
3. ScorpioNN 3.0.7 100.000% 100.000%
4. Ethereal 12.00 100.000% 100.000%
5. rofChade 2.214 100.000%
6. ChessFighter 3.2 100.000%

Speculate Ethereal 12.00 – rofChade 2.214 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 1-4. 5. 6.
1. Fire 021819 100.000% 100.000%
2. KomodoMCTS 2499.00 100.000% 100.000%
3. ScorpioNN 3.0.7 100.000% 100.000%
4. Ethereal 12.00 100.000% 100.000%
5. rofChade 2.214 100.000%
6. ChessFighter 3.2 100.000%

Speculate Ethereal 12.00 – rofChade 2.214 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 1-4. 5. 6.
1. Fire 021819 100.000% 100.000%
2. KomodoMCTS 2499.00 100.000% 100.000%
3. ScorpioNN 3.0.7 100.000% 100.000%
4. rofChade 2.214 100.000% 100.000%
5. Ethereal 12.00 100.000%
6. ChessFighter 3.2 100.000%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5
1 Fire 021819 13.5 13.50 0.00 1.00 100 0 0 0 0
2 KomodoMCTS 2428.00/2484.00/2499.00 12.0 12.00 0.00 2.00 0 100 0 0 0
3 ScorpioNN 3.0.7 10.5 10.50 0.00 3.00 0 0 100 0 0
4 Ethereal 11.78_attack_tables/11.78_ttbucket_lock/11.86/11.88/12.00 9.0 9.59 0.42 4.28 0 0 0 72 28
5 rofChade 2.208AT_debug/2.212/2.213/2.214 8.5 8.91 0.42 4.72 0 0 0 28 72
6 ChessFighter 3.2 5.5 5.50 0.00 6.00 0 0 0 0 0