For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 80.328% 16.769% 97.097% 2.826% 0.077%
2. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 10.331% 40.198% 50.529% 36.227% 8.061% 3.209% 1.318% 0.656% 0.494% 0.141% 0.015% 0.006%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 9.120% 38.298% 47.418% 38.040% 8.933% 3.354% 1.400% 0.855% 0.588% 0.198% 0.051% 0.018%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 0.221% 2.812% 3.033% 10.834% 32.809% 15.960% 12.691% 24.673% 13.075% 7.818% 3.064% 0.716%
5. Ethereal 12.01 0.841% 0.841% 5.933% 26.199% 30.117% 21.947% 14.963% 12.919% 1.867% 0.171% 0.006%
6. Komodo 2503.05 1.023% 1.023% 5.393% 16.875% 28.467% 26.740% 21.502% 17.788% 3.358% 0.349% 0.007%
7. Fire 021819 0.038% 0.038% 0.615% 6.224% 16.931% 30.336% 45.856% 36.480% 8.049% 1.243% 0.084%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 0.039% 0.253% 0.733% 2.466% 96.509% 10.566% 51.504% 29.836% 4.603%
9. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 0.021% 0.021% 0.093% 0.569% 1.222% 3.013% 95.082% 7.389% 20.673% 32.928% 34.092%
10. Houdini 6.03 0.007% 0.089% 99.904% 0.701% 6.392% 32.343% 60.468%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 38.830%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 36.910%
3. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 8.893%
4. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 7.698%
5. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 2.666%
6. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 1.362%
7. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 1.351%
8. Stockfish 202003092246 Komodo 2503.05 1.022%
9. Stockfish 202003092246 Ethereal 12.01 0.841%
10. Stoofvlees II a14 Stockfish 202003092246 0.178%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 47.723%
2. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 44.608%
3. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 2.844%
4. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 2.713%
5. Komodo 2503.05 Stockfish 202003092246 1.022%
6. Ethereal 12.01 Stockfish 202003092246 0.841%
7. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stoofvlees II a14 0.096%
8. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stoofvlees II a14 0.093%
9. Fire 021819 Stockfish 202003092246 0.038%
10. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 Stockfish 202003092246 0.021%

Speculate ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 – AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 1-0

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 85.135% 13.343% 98.478% 1.487% 0.035%
2. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 10.977% 51.002% 61.979% 26.061% 6.919% 3.058% 1.312% 0.671% 0.470% 0.165% 0.028% 0.008%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 3.665% 28.540% 32.205% 41.207% 14.282% 6.251% 3.296% 2.759% 1.751% 0.726% 0.224% 0.058%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 0.221% 3.855% 4.076% 13.928% 28.744% 15.087% 12.090% 26.075% 11.959% 8.731% 4.464% 0.921%
5. Ethereal 12.01 1.483% 1.483% 8.323% 25.149% 28.610% 21.017% 15.418% 12.460% 2.669% 0.281% 0.008%
6. Komodo 2503.05 0.002% 1.611% 1.613% 7.355% 16.908% 26.855% 25.313% 21.956% 17.058% 4.298% 0.593% 0.007%
7. Fire 021819 0.079% 0.079% 1.046% 6.224% 16.288% 28.220% 48.143% 33.900% 12.329% 1.810% 0.104%
8. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 0.082% 0.082% 0.534% 1.482% 3.033% 6.313% 88.556% 12.414% 27.642% 28.652% 19.848%
9. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 0.005% 0.005% 0.059% 0.255% 0.802% 2.351% 96.528% 9.330% 38.264% 43.050% 5.884%
10. Houdini 6.03 0.002% 0.016% 0.088% 99.894% 0.658% 5.176% 20.898% 73.162%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 50.354%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 27.783%
3. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 10.141%
4. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 3.739%
5. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 3.011%
6. Stockfish 202003092246 Komodo 2503.05 1.611%
7. Stockfish 202003092246 Ethereal 12.01 1.483%
8. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 0.745%
9. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 0.628%
10. Stoofvlees II a14 Stockfish 202003092246 0.189%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 60.495%
2. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 30.794%
3. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 3.928%
4. Komodo 2503.05 Stockfish 202003092246 1.613%
5. Ethereal 12.01 Stockfish 202003092246 1.483%
6. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 1.373%
7. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stoofvlees II a14 0.110%
8. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 Stockfish 202003092246 0.081%
9. Fire 021819 Stockfish 202003092246 0.079%
10. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stoofvlees II a14 0.038%

Speculate ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 – AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 81.089% 16.288% 97.377% 2.573% 0.050%
2. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 10.497% 40.754% 51.251% 35.685% 7.984% 3.087% 1.265% 0.728% 0.548% 0.145% 0.028% 0.007%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 8.201% 38.191% 46.392% 39.262% 9.086% 3.314% 1.253% 0.693% 0.519% 0.139% 0.031% 0.004%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 0.213% 2.799% 3.012% 10.658% 33.565% 15.737% 12.724% 24.304% 12.781% 7.730% 3.070% 0.723%
5. Ethereal 12.01 0.882% 0.882% 5.787% 26.028% 30.600% 21.826% 14.877% 12.906% 1.773% 0.194% 0.004%
6. Komodo 2503.05 1.025% 1.025% 5.318% 16.594% 28.516% 26.779% 21.768% 18.108% 3.303% 0.348% 0.009%
7. Fire 021819 0.047% 0.047% 0.600% 5.995% 16.843% 30.473% 46.042% 36.544% 8.197% 1.214% 0.087%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 0.003% 0.003% 0.036% 0.244% 0.750% 2.569% 96.398% 10.549% 51.252% 29.717% 4.880%
9. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 0.011% 0.011% 0.080% 0.454% 1.145% 3.043% 95.267% 7.323% 20.959% 33.987% 32.998%
10. Houdini 6.03 0.001% 0.008% 0.068% 99.923% 0.722% 6.502% 31.411% 61.288%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 39.582%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 36.868%
3. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 9.124%
4. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 6.989%
5. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 2.673%
6. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 1.303%
7. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 1.154%
8. Stockfish 202003092246 Komodo 2503.05 1.024%
9. Stockfish 202003092246 Ethereal 12.01 0.881%
10. Stoofvlees II a14 Stockfish 202003092246 0.175%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 48.706%
2. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 43.857%
3. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 2.848%
4. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 2.457%
5. Komodo 2503.05 Stockfish 202003092246 1.024%
6. Ethereal 12.01 Stockfish 202003092246 0.881%
7. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stoofvlees II a14 0.086%
8. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stoofvlees II a14 0.078%
9. Fire 021819 Stockfish 202003092246 0.047%
10. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 Stockfish 202003092246 0.011%

Speculate ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 – AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 0-1

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 72.996% 22.498% 95.494% 4.408% 0.098%
2. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 17.455% 45.662% 63.117% 30.550% 4.481% 1.279% 0.409% 0.164% 0.139% 0.022% 0.003%
3. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 9.372% 29.139% 38.511% 47.294% 8.905% 3.332% 1.327% 0.631% 0.526% 0.084% 0.021%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 0.177% 1.710% 1.887% 8.629% 36.079% 16.357% 13.162% 23.886% 13.549% 7.669% 2.150% 0.518%
5. Ethereal 12.01 0.434% 0.434% 4.547% 27.122% 31.358% 22.256% 14.283% 12.819% 1.381% 0.083%
6. Komodo 2503.05 0.542% 0.542% 4.120% 16.700% 29.286% 27.437% 21.915% 18.776% 2.981% 0.154% 0.004%
7. Fire 021819 0.015% 0.015% 0.417% 6.241% 17.243% 31.505% 44.579% 38.266% 5.565% 0.677% 0.071%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 0.022% 0.243% 0.752% 2.665% 96.318% 11.604% 61.418% 19.852% 3.444%
9. Houdini 6.03 0.004% 0.086% 99.910% 0.726% 7.229% 46.439% 45.516%
10. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 0.013% 0.131% 0.389% 1.153% 98.314% 3.595% 13.651% 30.621% 50.447%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 43.614%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 26.824%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 15.068%
4. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 7.285%
5. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 2.305%
6. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 2.026%
7. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 1.567%
8. Stockfish 202003092246 Komodo 2503.05 0.542%
9. Stockfish 202003092246 Ethereal 12.01 0.434%
10. Stoofvlees II a14 Stockfish 202003092246 0.145%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 58.682%
2. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 34.109%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 4.331%
4. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 1.712%
5. Komodo 2503.05 Stockfish 202003092246 0.542%
6. Ethereal 12.01 Stockfish 202003092246 0.434%
7. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stoofvlees II a14 0.104%
8. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stoofvlees II a14 0.071%
9. Fire 021819 Stockfish 202003092246 0.015%

Manually selected ratings by alchemist888

Rank Name Elo + games score
1 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 3600 0 0 24 60%
2 Stockfish 2019121008/202003040717/202003092246 3600 0 0 81 64%
3 AllieStein v0.6_8158ed5-n14.0/v0.5_timefix-n14.0 3600 0 0 24 58%
4 Komodo 2428.00/2503.00/2503.05 3500 0 0 47 53%
5 Stoofvlees II a14 3470 0 0 24 50%
6 Fire 021819 3450 0 0 124 60%
7 Ethereal 11.78_attack_tables/11.78_ttbucket_lock/11.86/11.88/12.00/12.01 3420 0 0 182 55%
8 Houdini 6.03 3420 0 0 928 52%
9 KomodoMCTS 2428.00/2484.00/2499.00/2503.05 3420 0 0 151 56%
10 ScorpioNN 3.0.7/3.0.7.1 3420 0 0 43 47%

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 68.989% 24.790% 93.779% 6.190% 0.031%
2. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 16.967% 39.221% 56.188% 40.747% 2.501% 0.434% 0.110% 0.020% 0.011% 0.009%
3. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 14.030% 35.458% 49.488% 47.045% 2.726% 0.565% 0.131% 0.045% 0.043% 0.002%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 0.014% 0.362% 0.376% 3.138% 43.192% 17.857% 13.460% 21.977% 13.054% 6.663% 1.984% 0.276%
5. Ethereal 12.01 0.051% 0.051% 1.159% 23.872% 30.035% 24.825% 20.058% 17.505% 2.344% 0.201% 0.008%
6. Komodo 2503.05 0.118% 0.118% 1.611% 20.609% 31.805% 26.205% 19.652% 16.865% 2.575% 0.208% 0.004%
7. Fire 021819 0.095% 6.564% 17.908% 31.060% 44.373% 36.807% 6.615% 0.891% 0.060%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 0.005% 0.234% 0.681% 2.232% 96.848% 9.780% 57.456% 25.784% 3.828%
9. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 0.010% 0.271% 0.706% 1.923% 97.090% 5.539% 19.202% 36.939% 35.410%
10. Houdini 6.03 0.009% 0.054% 99.937% 0.396% 5.134% 33.993% 60.414%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 36.249%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 32.234%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 13.728%
4. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 11.050%
5. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 3.223%
6. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 2.971%
7. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 0.337%
8. Stockfish 202003092246 Komodo 2503.05 0.118%
9. Stockfish 202003092246 Ethereal 12.01 0.051%
10. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stoofvlees II a14 0.016%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 49.977%
2. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 43.284%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 6.194%
4. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 0.349%
5. Komodo 2503.05 Stockfish 202003092246 0.118%
6. Ethereal 12.01 Stockfish 202003092246 0.051%
7. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stoofvlees II a14 0.017%
8. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stoofvlees II a14 0.010%

Speculate ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 – AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 1-0

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 76.180% 20.045% 96.225% 3.751% 0.024%
2. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 16.077% 46.376% 62.453% 34.301% 2.500% 0.551% 0.147% 0.048% 0.042% 0.006%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 7.724% 32.649% 40.373% 52.515% 5.267% 1.326% 0.384% 0.135% 0.108% 0.025% 0.002%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 0.019% 0.591% 0.610% 4.844% 41.453% 17.243% 12.901% 22.949% 12.181% 7.307% 3.074% 0.387%
5. Ethereal 12.01 0.122% 0.122% 1.731% 23.350% 29.333% 24.284% 21.180% 17.283% 3.451% 0.436% 0.010%
6. Komodo 2503.05 0.210% 0.210% 2.603% 19.825% 31.216% 25.919% 20.227% 16.455% 3.348% 0.421% 0.003%
7. Fire 021819 0.003% 0.003% 0.187% 6.424% 17.668% 29.597% 46.121% 34.218% 10.262% 1.572% 0.069%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 0.013% 0.190% 0.616% 2.114% 97.067% 8.552% 42.798% 40.803% 4.914%
9. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 0.004% 0.004% 0.055% 0.966% 2.040% 4.618% 92.317% 10.768% 28.624% 33.026% 19.899%
10. Houdini 6.03 0.001% 0.007% 0.036% 99.956% 0.393% 4.179% 20.666% 74.718%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 44.739%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 30.540%
3. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 13.953%
4. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 6.079%
5. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 2.105%
6. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 1.635%
7. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 0.562%
8. Stockfish 202003092246 Komodo 2503.05 0.210%
9. Stockfish 202003092246 Ethereal 12.01 0.122%
10. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stoofvlees II a14 0.019%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 58.692%
2. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 36.619%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 3.740%
4. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 0.575%
5. Komodo 2503.05 Stockfish 202003092246 0.210%
6. Ethereal 12.01 Stockfish 202003092246 0.122%
7. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stoofvlees II a14 0.021%
8. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stoofvlees II a14 0.014%
9. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 Stockfish 202003092246 0.004%
10. Fire 021819 Stockfish 202003092246 0.003%

Speculate ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 – AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 70.270% 23.784% 94.054% 5.927% 0.019%
2. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 15.148% 38.935% 54.083% 42.667% 2.598% 0.526% 0.099% 0.027% 0.023% 0.003% 0.001%
3. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 14.570% 36.726% 51.296% 45.212% 2.700% 0.605% 0.142% 0.045% 0.043% 0.002%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 0.012% 0.377% 0.389% 3.284% 43.040% 17.691% 13.488% 22.108% 13.251% 6.535% 2.032% 0.290%
5. Ethereal 12.01 0.052% 0.052% 1.133% 24.148% 30.058% 24.760% 19.849% 17.254% 2.387% 0.207% 0.001%
6. Komodo 2503.05 0.122% 0.122% 1.679% 20.357% 31.884% 26.114% 19.844% 16.951% 2.699% 0.189% 0.005%
7. Fire 021819 0.004% 0.004% 0.088% 6.644% 17.776% 31.048% 44.440% 36.565% 6.846% 0.967% 0.062%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 0.002% 0.207% 0.714% 2.199% 96.878% 9.752% 56.163% 26.866% 4.097%
9. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 0.008% 0.287% 0.742% 2.106% 96.857% 5.750% 20.345% 37.743% 33.019%
10. Houdini 6.03 0.004% 0.044% 99.952% 0.411% 5.020% 31.995% 62.526%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 35.950%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 33.791%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 12.208%
4. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 11.566%
5. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 2.985%
6. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 2.933%
7. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 0.351%
8. Stockfish 202003092246 Komodo 2503.05 0.122%
9. Stockfish 202003092246 Ethereal 12.01 0.052%
10. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stoofvlees II a14 0.019%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 48.158%
2. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 45.357%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 5.918%
4. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 0.361%
5. Komodo 2503.05 Stockfish 202003092246 0.122%
6. Ethereal 12.01 Stockfish 202003092246 0.052%
7. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stoofvlees II a14 0.021%
8. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stoofvlees II a14 0.007%
9. Fire 021819 Stockfish 202003092246 0.004%

Speculate ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 – AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 0-1

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 60.818% 30.641% 91.459% 8.508% 0.033%
2. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 26.445% 41.682% 68.127% 30.632% 1.068% 0.148% 0.023% 0.002% 0.002%
3. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 12.712% 27.353% 40.065% 56.157% 2.957% 0.614% 0.171% 0.036% 0.035% 0.001%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 0.025% 0.227% 0.252% 2.524% 44.035% 17.914% 13.839% 21.436% 13.600% 6.325% 1.297% 0.214%
5. Ethereal 12.01 0.028% 0.028% 0.895% 24.268% 30.092% 24.959% 19.758% 17.729% 1.938% 0.090% 0.001%
6. Komodo 2503.05 0.069% 0.069% 1.217% 20.642% 32.017% 26.270% 19.785% 17.342% 2.359% 0.083% 0.001%
7. Fire 021819 0.064% 6.730% 18.341% 31.574% 43.291% 37.873% 4.799% 0.567% 0.052%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 0.002% 0.201% 0.637% 2.279% 96.881% 10.265% 65.684% 17.769% 3.163%
9. Houdini 6.03 0.004% 0.038% 99.958% 0.436% 5.743% 46.111% 47.668%
10. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 0.001% 0.066% 0.233% 0.847% 98.853% 2.718% 13.151% 34.083% 48.901%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 37.871%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 22.654%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 21.731%
4. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 8.889%
5. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 4.698%
6. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 3.808%
7. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 0.197%
8. Stockfish 202003092246 Komodo 2503.05 0.068%
9. Stockfish 202003092246 Ethereal 12.01 0.028%
10. Stoofvlees II a14 Stockfish 202003092246 0.021%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246 59.602%
2. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 31.543%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 8.506%
4. Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14 0.218%
5. Komodo 2503.05 Stockfish 202003092246 0.068%
6. Ethereal 12.01 Stockfish 202003092246 0.028%
7. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stoofvlees II a14 0.019%
8. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stoofvlees II a14 0.015%
9. Komodo 2503.05 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 0.001%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
1 Stockfish 2019121008/202003040717/202003092246 18.0 21.69 1.15 1.59 55 32 11 1 0 0 0 0 0
2 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 12.0 20.49 1.85 2.66 24 31 24 9 5 3 2 1 1
3 AllieStein v0.6_8158ed5-n14.0/v0.5_timefix-n14.0 12.0 20.11 1.88 2.99 18 27 28 11 6 4 3 2 1
4 Komodo 2428.00/2503.00/2503.05 15.0 17.84 1.08 5.34 0 2 10 21 23 20 15 7 2
5 Stoofvlees II a14 10.5 17.81 1.90 5.56 2 6 13 18 12 11 12 11 9
6 Ethereal 11.78_attack_tables/11.78_ttbucket_lock/11.86/11.88/12.00/12.01 15.0 17.76 1.05 5.46 0 2 8 20 23 21 16 8 2
7 Fire 021819 15.0 17.43 0.96 6.01 0 0 4 13 21 24 22 12 4
8 KomodoMCTS 2428.00/2484.00/2499.00/2503.05 13.5 16.29 1.05 7.78 0 0 0 2 5 10 18 30 24
9 Houdini 6.03 12.5 15.29 1.04 9.02 0 0 0 0 1 2 6 16 37
10 ScorpioNN 3.0.7/3.0.7.1 8.5 15.28 1.79 8.59 0 0 1 3 4 5 8 13 20

Expected start time based on estimate of 2.88h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2020-04-02 17:08 134 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Ethereal 12.01
2020-04-02 20:01 135 Stoofvlees II a14 KomodoMCTS 2503.05
2020-04-02 22:54 136 Houdini 6.03 ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1
2020-04-03 01:46 137 Ethereal 12.01 Stoofvlees II a14
2020-04-03 04:39 138 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010
2020-04-03 07:32 139 ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010
2020-04-03 10:25 140 Stoofvlees II a14 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0
2020-04-03 13:18 141 Fire 021819 ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1
2020-04-03 16:11 142 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stockfish 202003092246
2020-04-03 19:03 143 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stoofvlees II a14
2020-04-03 21:56 144 ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 Stoofvlees II a14
2020-04-04 00:49 145 Stockfish 202003092246 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010
2020-04-04 03:42 146 Komodo 2503.05 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0
2020-04-04 06:35 147 KomodoMCTS 2503.05 ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1
2020-04-04 09:28 148 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Houdini 6.03
2020-04-04 12:20 149 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Komodo 2503.05
2020-04-04 15:13 150 Stoofvlees II a14 Stockfish 202003092246
2020-04-04 18:06 151 ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 Stockfish 202003092246
2020-04-04 20:59 152 Stoofvlees II a14 Komodo 2503.05
2020-04-04 23:52 153 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Houdini 6.03
2020-04-05 02:45 154 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Fire 021819
2020-04-05 05:38 155 Ethereal 12.01 ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1
2020-04-05 08:30 156 KomodoMCTS 2503.05 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0
2020-04-05 11:23 157 Fire 021819 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010
2020-04-05 14:16 158 Houdini 6.03 Stoofvlees II a14
2020-04-05 17:09 159 ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 Komodo 2503.05
2020-04-05 20:02 160 Stoofvlees II a14 Fire 021819
2020-04-05 22:55 161 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 KomodoMCTS 2503.05
2020-04-06 01:47 162 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Ethereal 12.01
2020-04-06 04:40 163 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1
2020-04-06 07:33 164 Ethereal 12.01 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010
2020-04-06 10:26 165 KomodoMCTS 2503.05 Stoofvlees II a14
2020-04-06 13:19 166 ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 Houdini 6.03
2020-04-06 16:12 167 Stoofvlees II a14 Ethereal 12.01
2020-04-06 19:05 168 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0
2020-04-06 21:57 169 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1
2020-04-07 00:50 170 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Stoofvlees II a14
2020-04-07 03:43 171 ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 Fire 021819
2020-04-07 06:36 172 Stockfish 202003092246 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0
2020-04-07 09:29 173 Stoofvlees II a14 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010
2020-04-07 12:22 174 Stoofvlees II a14 ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1
2020-04-07 15:14 175 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246
2020-04-07 18:07 176 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 Komodo 2503.05
2020-04-07 21:00 177 ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 KomodoMCTS 2503.05
2020-04-07 23:53 178 Houdini 6.03 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0
2020-04-08 02:46 179 Komodo 2503.05 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010
2020-04-08 05:39 180 Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14