For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 100.000% 100.000%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 100.000%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 74.875% 9.829% 15.296%
5. Ethereal 12.01 15.616% 75.933% 8.451%
6. Komodo 2503.05 9.509% 14.238% 74.159% 2.094% 2.094%
7. Fire 021819 2.094% 97.906% 97.906%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 100.000% 100.000%
9. Houdini 6.03 100.000% 98.587% 1.413%
10. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 100.000% 1.413% 98.587%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Speculate ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 – KomodoMCTS 2503.05 1-0

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 100.000% 100.000%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 100.000%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 75.032% 9.771% 15.197%
5. Ethereal 12.01 15.441% 76.088% 8.471%
6. Komodo 2503.05 9.527% 14.141% 74.281% 2.051% 2.051%
7. Fire 021819 2.051% 97.949% 97.949%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 100.000% 100.000%
9. Houdini 6.03 100.000% 89.038% 10.962%
10. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 100.000% 10.962% 89.038%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Speculate ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 – KomodoMCTS 2503.05 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 100.000% 100.000%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 100.000%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 74.803% 9.819% 15.378%
5. Ethereal 12.01 15.613% 75.913% 8.474%
6. Komodo 2503.05 9.584% 14.268% 74.088% 2.060% 2.060%
7. Fire 021819 2.060% 97.940% 97.940%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 100.000% 100.000%
9. Houdini 6.03 100.000% 100.000%
10. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 100.000% 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Speculate ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 – KomodoMCTS 2503.05 0-1

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 100.000% 100.000%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 100.000%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 74.827% 9.842% 15.331%
5. Ethereal 12.01 15.641% 75.970% 8.389%
6. Komodo 2503.05 9.532% 14.188% 74.160% 2.120% 2.120%
7. Fire 021819 2.120% 97.880% 97.880%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 100.000% 100.000%
9. Houdini 6.03 100.000% 100.000%
10. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 100.000% 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Manually selected ratings by alchemist888

Rank Name Elo + games score
1 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 3600 0 0 24 60%
2 Stockfish 2019121008/202003040717/202003092246 3600 0 0 81 64%
3 AllieStein v0.6_8158ed5-n14.0/v0.5_timefix-n14.0 3600 0 0 24 58%
4 Komodo 2428.00/2503.00/2503.05 3500 0 0 47 53%
5 Stoofvlees II a14 3470 0 0 24 50%
6 Fire 021819 3450 0 0 124 60%
7 Ethereal 11.78_attack_tables/11.78_ttbucket_lock/11.86/11.88/12.00/12.01 3420 0 0 182 55%
8 Houdini 6.03 3420 0 0 928 52%
9 KomodoMCTS 2428.00/2484.00/2499.00/2503.05 3420 0 0 151 56%
10 ScorpioNN 3.0.7/3.0.7.1 3420 0 0 43 47%

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 100.000% 100.000%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 100.000%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 69.349% 9.337% 21.314%
5. Ethereal 12.01 22.787% 71.058% 6.155%
6. Komodo 2503.05 7.864% 19.605% 68.997% 3.534% 3.534%
7. Fire 021819 3.534% 96.466% 96.466%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 100.000% 100.000%
9. Houdini 6.03 100.000% 97.166% 2.834%
10. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 100.000% 2.834% 97.166%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Speculate ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 – KomodoMCTS 2503.05 1-0

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 100.000% 100.000%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 100.000%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 69.345% 9.368% 21.287%
5. Ethereal 12.01 22.864% 71.011% 6.125%
6. Komodo 2503.05 7.791% 19.621% 68.991% 3.597% 3.597%
7. Fire 021819 3.597% 96.403% 96.403%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 100.000% 100.000%
9. Houdini 6.03 100.000% 78.949% 21.051%
10. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 100.000% 21.051% 78.949%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Speculate ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 – KomodoMCTS 2503.05 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 100.000% 100.000%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 100.000%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 69.561% 9.080% 21.359%
5. Ethereal 12.01 22.723% 71.247% 6.030%
6. Komodo 2503.05 7.716% 19.673% 69.190% 3.421% 3.421%
7. Fire 021819 3.421% 96.579% 96.579%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 100.000% 100.000%
9. Houdini 6.03 100.000% 100.000%
10. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 100.000% 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Speculate ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 – KomodoMCTS 2503.05 0-1

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-10. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 100.000% 100.000%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0 100.000%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 69.251% 9.373% 21.376%
5. Ethereal 12.01 22.915% 70.909% 6.176%
6. Komodo 2503.05 7.834% 19.718% 68.893% 3.555% 3.555%
7. Fire 021819 3.555% 96.445% 96.445%
8. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 100.000% 100.000%
9. Houdini 6.03 100.000% 100.000%
10. ScorpioNN 3.0.7.1 100.000% 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
1 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010 22.0 22.54 0.43 1.00 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 Stockfish 2019121008/202003040717/202003092246 21.0 21.60 0.42 2.00 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 AllieStein v0.6_8158ed5-n14.0/v0.5_timefix-n14.0 19.0 19.51 0.43 3.00 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Ethereal 11.78_attack_tables/11.78_ttbucket_lock/11.86/11.88/12.00/12.01 18.0 18.00 0.00 4.81 0 0 0 35 49 16 0 0 0
5 Komodo 2428.00/2503.00/2503.05 17.5 17.96 0.43 4.99 0 0 0 37 26 36 0 0 0
6 Stoofvlees II a14 17.5 17.90 0.42 5.20 0 0 0 27 25 48 0 0 0
7 Fire 021819 17.5 17.50 0.00 7.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0
8 KomodoMCTS 2428.00/2484.00/2499.00/2503.05 15.5 15.97 0.43 8.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0
9 Houdini 6.03 14.5 14.99 0.43 9.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100
10 ScorpioNN 3.0.7/3.0.7.1 13.5 14.03 0.43 10.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Expected start time based on estimate of 2.87h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2020-04-07 22:19 178 Houdini 6.03 AllieStein v0.5_timefix-n14.0
2020-04-08 01:11 179 Komodo 2503.05 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010
2020-04-08 04:04 180 Stockfish 202003092246 Stoofvlees II a14