For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Separate virtual CPU only DivP
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
| 1. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
Fire 021819 |
|
|
94.684% |
|
94.684% |
|
5.128% |
|
0.188% |
|
| 3. |
Ethereal 12.01 |
|
|
1.075% |
|
1.075% |
|
68.321% |
11.593% |
19.011% |
|
| 4. |
Komodo 2503.05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.429% |
85.218% |
11.353% |
|
| 5. |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |
|
|
4.241% |
|
4.241% |
|
23.122% |
3.189% |
43.675% |
25.773% |
| 6. |
KomodoMCTS 2503.05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.773% |
74.227% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
Fire 021819 |
94.684% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |
4.241% |
| 3. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
Ethereal 12.01 |
1.075% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
Fire 021819 |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
94.684% |
| 2. |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
4.241% |
| 3. |
Ethereal 12.01 |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
1.075% |
Speculate LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 – Ethereal 12.01 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
| 1. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
Fire 021819 |
|
|
83.835% |
|
83.835% |
|
16.165% |
|
|
|
| 3. |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |
|
|
16.165% |
|
16.165% |
|
58.214% |
14.129% |
11.324% |
0.168% |
| 4. |
Komodo 2503.05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
15.115% |
82.529% |
2.356% |
|
| 5. |
Ethereal 12.01 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.506% |
3.342% |
86.152% |
|
| 6. |
KomodoMCTS 2503.05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.168% |
99.832% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
Fire 021819 |
83.835% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |
16.165% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
Fire 021819 |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
83.835% |
| 2. |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
16.165% |
Speculate LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 – Ethereal 12.01 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
| 1. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
Fire 021819 |
|
|
97.363% |
|
97.363% |
|
2.483% |
|
0.154% |
|
| 3. |
Ethereal 12.01 |
|
|
0.154% |
|
0.154% |
|
77.061% |
13.940% |
8.845% |
|
| 4. |
Komodo 2503.05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.645% |
84.503% |
13.852% |
|
| 5. |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |
|
|
2.483% |
|
2.483% |
|
18.811% |
1.557% |
51.625% |
25.524% |
| 6. |
KomodoMCTS 2503.05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.524% |
74.476% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
Fire 021819 |
97.363% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |
2.483% |
| 3. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
Ethereal 12.01 |
0.154% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
Fire 021819 |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
97.363% |
| 2. |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
2.483% |
| 3. |
Ethereal 12.01 |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
0.154% |
Speculate LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 – Ethereal 12.01 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
| 1. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
Fire 021819 |
|
|
88.438% |
|
88.438% |
|
10.662% |
|
0.900% |
|
| 3. |
Ethereal 12.01 |
|
|
11.453% |
|
11.453% |
|
86.952% |
1.595% |
|
|
| 4. |
Komodo 2503.05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.405% |
1.595% |
|
| 5. |
KomodoMCTS 2503.05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
73.010% |
26.990% |
| 6. |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |
|
|
0.109% |
|
0.109% |
|
2.386% |
|
24.495% |
73.010% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
Fire 021819 |
88.438% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
Ethereal 12.01 |
11.453% |
| 3. |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |
0.109% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
Fire 021819 |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
88.438% |
| 2. |
Ethereal 12.01 |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
11.453% |
| 3. |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |
Stockfish 202003092246 |
0.109% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
| Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| 1 |
Stockfish 2019121008/202003040717/202003092246/20200407DC |
3.0 |
12.16 |
1.74 |
1.77 |
57 |
23 |
11 |
5 |
3 |
| 2 |
Komodo 2428.00/2503.00/2503.05 |
2.0 |
10.32 |
1.82 |
3.14 |
17 |
25 |
20 |
15 |
12 |
| 3 |
Fire 021819 |
1.0 |
9.86 |
1.88 |
3.56 |
12 |
20 |
20 |
16 |
15 |
| 4 |
Ethereal 11.78_attack_tables/11.78_ttbucket_lock/11.86/11.88/12.00/12.01 |
1.0 |
9.46 |
1.86 |
3.90 |
8 |
16 |
18 |
16 |
17 |
| 5 |
KomodoMCTS 2428.00/2484.00/2499.00/2503.05 |
2.0 |
9.19 |
1.75 |
4.14 |
6 |
13 |
17 |
17 |
19 |
| 6 |
LCZeroCPU v0.24_rc1-n591215/v0.24-n591215 |
7.0 |
9.01 |
0.86 |
4.50 |
0 |
3 |
14 |
30 |
35 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 4.30h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
| 2020-04-24 09:37 |
18 |
Ethereal 12.01 |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |
| 2020-04-24 13:55 |
19 |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |
Fire 021819 |
| 2020-04-24 18:13 |
20 |
Fire 021819 |
LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 |