For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post


Separate virtual CPU only DivP

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 100.000% 100.000%
2. Fire 021819 98.874% 98.874% 1.126%
3. Ethereal 12.01 81.909% 18.091%
4. Komodo 2503.05 81.909% 18.091%
5. LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 1.126% 1.126% 16.965% 62.744% 19.165%
6. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 19.165% 80.835%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 Fire 021819 98.874%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 1.126%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Fire 021819 Stockfish 202003092246 98.874%
2. LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 Stockfish 202003092246 1.126%

Speculate LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 – Fire 021819 1-0

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 100.000% 100.000%
2. Fire 021819 91.384% 91.384% 8.616%
3. LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 8.616% 8.616% 77.356% 14.028%
4. Ethereal 12.01 14.028% 85.972%
5. Komodo 2503.05 14.028% 85.972%
6. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 Fire 021819 91.384%
2. Stockfish 202003092246 LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 8.616%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Fire 021819 Stockfish 202003092246 91.384%
2. LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 Stockfish 202003092246 8.616%

Speculate LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 – Fire 021819 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 100.000% 100.000%
2. Fire 021819 100.000% 100.000%
3. Ethereal 12.01 91.635% 8.365%
4. Komodo 2503.05 91.635% 8.365%
5. LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 8.365% 77.299% 14.336%
6. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 14.336% 85.664%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 Fire 021819 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Fire 021819 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Speculate LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 – Fire 021819 0-1

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 100.000% 100.000%
2. Fire 021819 100.000% 100.000%
3. Ethereal 12.01 100.000%
4. Komodo 2503.05 100.000%
5. KomodoMCTS 2503.05 91.795% 8.205%
6. LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215 8.205% 91.795%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202003092246 Fire 021819 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Fire 021819 Stockfish 202003092246 100.000%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5
1 Stockfish 2019121008/202003040717/202003092246/20200407DC 3.0 12.15 1.74 1.76 58 23 11 5 2
2 Komodo 2428.00/2503.00/2503.05 2.0 10.31 1.83 3.13 17 26 21 14 11
3 Fire 021819 1.0 9.86 1.88 3.54 12 21 20 14 14
4 Ethereal 11.78_attack_tables/11.78_ttbucket_lock/11.86/11.88/12.00/12.01 2.0 9.49 1.74 3.87 8 17 20 17 16
5 KomodoMCTS 2428.00/2484.00/2499.00/2503.05 2.0 9.20 1.74 4.13 6 13 18 17 17
6 LCZeroCPU v0.24_rc1-n591215/v0.24-n591215 8.0 8.98 0.61 4.57 0 1 11 34 40

Expected start time based on estimate of 4.18h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2020-04-24 15:55 20 Fire 021819 LCZeroCPU v0.24-n591215