For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
65.910% |
22.205% |
|
88.115% |
|
7.646% |
2.786% |
1.029% |
0.326% |
0.097% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.818% |
28.899% |
|
48.717% |
|
20.744% |
13.583% |
8.654% |
5.393% |
2.750% |
0.148% |
0.011% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.249% |
14.937% |
|
19.186% |
|
21.585% |
19.438% |
16.269% |
12.932% |
9.442% |
1.072% |
0.074% |
0.002% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.567% |
13.140% |
|
17.707% |
|
16.497% |
17.900% |
17.088% |
15.612% |
12.984% |
1.970% |
0.239% |
0.003% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.380% |
9.613% |
|
11.993% |
|
13.803% |
16.588% |
19.203% |
19.753% |
15.654% |
2.622% |
0.372% |
0.012% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.997% |
7.079% |
|
9.076% |
|
11.774% |
17.362% |
20.037% |
20.212% |
17.940% |
3.355% |
0.242% |
0.002% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.078% |
4.108% |
|
5.186% |
|
7.863% |
12.010% |
16.587% |
22.204% |
27.654% |
7.446% |
1.035% |
0.015% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.001% |
0.012% |
|
0.013% |
|
0.072% |
0.281% |
0.934% |
2.826% |
10.032% |
54.143% |
27.877% |
3.822% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.007% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.016% |
0.052% |
0.197% |
0.738% |
3.399% |
27.550% |
60.537% |
7.504% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.004% |
0.048% |
1.693% |
9.613% |
88.640% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
25.402% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.211% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.497% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.851% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
8.420% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.555% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.170% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.784% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.312% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.004% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
39.613% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.809% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.635% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.566% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.725% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.752% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.987% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.623% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.387% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.309% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
65.820% |
22.188% |
|
88.008% |
|
7.663% |
2.836% |
1.042% |
0.349% |
0.100% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.599% |
28.876% |
|
48.475% |
|
20.752% |
13.349% |
8.826% |
5.462% |
2.861% |
0.272% |
0.003% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.391% |
14.761% |
|
19.152% |
|
21.256% |
19.606% |
16.271% |
12.863% |
9.168% |
1.634% |
0.048% |
0.002% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.801% |
13.514% |
|
18.315% |
|
16.800% |
17.769% |
16.887% |
14.944% |
12.204% |
2.898% |
0.181% |
0.002% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.556% |
9.949% |
|
12.505% |
|
14.045% |
17.065% |
19.147% |
19.210% |
14.461% |
3.266% |
0.298% |
0.003% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.833% |
6.721% |
|
8.554% |
|
11.649% |
16.870% |
19.512% |
20.196% |
17.525% |
5.549% |
0.144% |
0.001% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.998% |
3.944% |
|
4.942% |
|
7.662% |
11.772% |
16.198% |
21.197% |
26.200% |
11.405% |
0.614% |
0.010% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.002% |
0.047% |
|
0.049% |
|
0.173% |
0.727% |
2.086% |
5.615% |
16.632% |
66.187% |
7.736% |
0.795% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.031% |
0.160% |
0.805% |
7.483% |
77.867% |
13.648% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.044% |
1.304% |
13.109% |
85.539% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
25.196% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.126% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.451% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
11.167% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
8.741% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.204% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.024% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.874% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.373% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.868% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
39.322% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.824% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.041% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.992% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.256% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.535% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.889% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.761% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.385% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.356% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
65.988% |
22.148% |
|
88.136% |
|
7.680% |
2.712% |
1.005% |
0.368% |
0.098% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.574% |
29.073% |
|
48.647% |
|
20.597% |
13.560% |
8.800% |
5.485% |
2.780% |
0.122% |
0.009% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.429% |
15.182% |
|
19.611% |
|
21.646% |
19.413% |
16.304% |
12.809% |
9.330% |
0.801% |
0.084% |
0.002% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.503% |
12.906% |
|
17.409% |
|
16.143% |
17.876% |
17.332% |
16.015% |
13.253% |
1.720% |
0.249% |
0.003% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.317% |
9.336% |
|
11.653% |
|
13.776% |
16.765% |
19.282% |
20.091% |
15.939% |
2.131% |
0.358% |
0.005% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.080% |
7.163% |
|
9.243% |
|
12.389% |
17.581% |
19.759% |
20.356% |
17.859% |
2.569% |
0.241% |
0.003% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.109% |
4.186% |
|
5.295% |
|
7.738% |
11.897% |
16.741% |
22.123% |
28.849% |
6.187% |
1.159% |
0.011% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.027% |
0.145% |
0.565% |
1.988% |
8.330% |
53.100% |
31.503% |
4.338% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.004% |
0.051% |
0.212% |
0.761% |
3.505% |
31.409% |
57.986% |
6.070% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.057% |
1.960% |
8.411% |
89.568% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
25.469% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.122% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.880% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.684% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
8.157% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.579% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.213% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.681% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.379% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.902% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
39.591% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.259% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.365% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.315% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.784% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.816% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.931% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.566% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.504% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.266% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
65.816% |
22.175% |
|
87.991% |
|
7.764% |
2.739% |
1.027% |
0.380% |
0.096% |
0.003% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.992% |
29.390% |
|
49.382% |
|
20.332% |
13.460% |
8.472% |
5.485% |
2.739% |
0.122% |
0.008% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.383% |
15.160% |
|
19.543% |
|
21.653% |
19.436% |
16.179% |
12.979% |
9.213% |
0.897% |
0.098% |
0.002% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.289% |
12.444% |
|
16.733% |
|
16.154% |
17.344% |
17.329% |
16.048% |
13.720% |
2.459% |
0.209% |
0.004% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.169% |
9.144% |
|
11.313% |
|
13.311% |
16.643% |
19.133% |
19.731% |
16.162% |
3.391% |
0.312% |
0.004% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.177% |
7.491% |
|
9.668% |
|
12.696% |
17.731% |
19.892% |
20.047% |
17.539% |
2.123% |
0.301% |
0.003% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.173% |
4.187% |
|
5.360% |
|
8.024% |
12.377% |
17.019% |
22.111% |
28.357% |
5.574% |
1.165% |
0.013% |
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
0.001% |
0.008% |
|
0.009% |
|
0.059% |
0.236% |
0.823% |
2.605% |
9.126% |
62.234% |
23.324% |
1.584% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.007% |
0.034% |
0.125% |
0.612% |
3.009% |
21.708% |
64.018% |
10.486% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.002% |
0.039% |
1.489% |
10.565% |
87.904% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
25.729% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.328% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.700% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.219% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
7.986% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.930% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.243% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.578% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.348% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.025% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
40.057% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.048% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.797% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.052% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.199% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.828% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.102% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.569% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.533% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.283% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.0 |
13.43 |
1.59 |
1.68 |
62 |
21 |
9 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.5 |
11.64 |
1.85 |
3.16 |
18 |
25 |
20 |
14 |
10 |
7 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.5 |
10.59 |
1.80 |
4.18 |
6 |
15 |
19 |
18 |
16 |
14 |
9 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.0 |
10.56 |
1.96 |
4.24 |
7 |
16 |
17 |
17 |
15 |
13 |
11 |
4 |
1 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
3.5 |
10.06 |
1.88 |
4.72 |
4 |
11 |
14 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
13 |
5 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.0 |
9.96 |
1.73 |
4.83 |
2 |
9 |
14 |
18 |
19 |
18 |
13 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.5 |
8.92 |
1.75 |
5.87 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
10 |
15 |
21 |
27 |
13 |
2 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
1.5 |
6.52 |
1.74 |
7.91 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
15 |
43 |
24 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
1.5 |
5.23 |
1.68 |
8.69 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
22 |
52 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.0 |
3.09 |
1.61 |
9.71 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
17 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.15h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-05 07:46 |
33 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-05 08:55 |
34 |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 10:04 |
35 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-05 11:13 |
36 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-05 12:22 |
37 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-05 13:30 |
38 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-05 14:39 |
39 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-05 15:48 |
40 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-05 16:57 |
41 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-05 18:06 |
42 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-05 19:15 |
43 |
Monolith 2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-05 20:24 |
44 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-05 21:33 |
45 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 22:42 |
46 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 23:51 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 01:00 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 02:09 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 03:18 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 04:27 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 05:36 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 06:45 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 07:54 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 09:03 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:11 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 11:20 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 12:29 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 13:38 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 14:47 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 15:56 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:05 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:14 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 19:23 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 20:32 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 21:41 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:50 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 23:59 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 01:08 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 02:17 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 03:26 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 04:35 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 05:44 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:52 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 08:01 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 09:10 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 10:19 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 11:28 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 12:37 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 13:46 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 14:55 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 16:04 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 17:13 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 18:22 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 19:31 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 20:40 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 21:49 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 22:58 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 00:07 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 01:16 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |