For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
65.900% |
22.375% |
|
88.275% |
|
7.469% |
2.795% |
1.004% |
0.352% |
0.105% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.745% |
28.836% |
|
48.581% |
|
20.670% |
13.540% |
8.869% |
5.461% |
2.773% |
0.103% |
0.003% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.391% |
15.040% |
|
19.431% |
|
21.533% |
19.463% |
16.106% |
13.078% |
9.543% |
0.759% |
0.085% |
0.002% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.491% |
12.826% |
|
17.317% |
|
16.393% |
17.874% |
17.219% |
15.798% |
13.386% |
1.758% |
0.251% |
0.004% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.285% |
9.394% |
|
11.679% |
|
13.560% |
16.707% |
19.378% |
19.949% |
16.093% |
2.248% |
0.379% |
0.007% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.114% |
7.284% |
|
9.398% |
|
12.411% |
17.515% |
19.780% |
20.266% |
17.841% |
2.583% |
0.205% |
0.001% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.074% |
4.239% |
|
5.313% |
|
7.927% |
11.902% |
16.889% |
22.260% |
28.557% |
6.039% |
1.099% |
0.014% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.028% |
0.148% |
0.568% |
2.049% |
8.072% |
53.324% |
31.584% |
4.221% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
0.056% |
0.187% |
0.783% |
3.563% |
31.307% |
58.224% |
5.871% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.067% |
1.879% |
8.170% |
89.880% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
25.319% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.277% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.690% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.578% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
8.244% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.754% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.309% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.715% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.438% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.927% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
39.596% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.128% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.293% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.379% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.016% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.857% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.938% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.566% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.448% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.239% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – FabChess 1.14.2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
64.502% |
22.626% |
|
87.128% |
|
8.437% |
2.956% |
1.029% |
0.363% |
0.084% |
0.003% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
18.614% |
26.495% |
|
45.109% |
|
22.680% |
14.884% |
9.393% |
5.295% |
2.499% |
0.130% |
0.010% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
10.313% |
24.802% |
|
35.115% |
|
24.037% |
17.518% |
11.790% |
7.516% |
3.662% |
0.329% |
0.033% |
|
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.368% |
9.408% |
|
11.776% |
|
13.897% |
17.706% |
19.158% |
19.836% |
15.276% |
2.025% |
0.323% |
0.003% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.017% |
7.386% |
|
9.403% |
|
12.017% |
16.030% |
19.841% |
20.845% |
18.933% |
2.691% |
0.237% |
0.003% |
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
1.025% |
5.084% |
|
6.109% |
|
10.977% |
18.457% |
21.368% |
21.440% |
19.515% |
1.919% |
0.215% |
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.161% |
4.194% |
|
5.355% |
|
7.911% |
12.284% |
16.754% |
22.142% |
28.458% |
6.039% |
1.046% |
0.011% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.034% |
0.135% |
0.522% |
1.940% |
8.361% |
54.015% |
30.846% |
4.144% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.010% |
0.030% |
0.144% |
0.621% |
3.166% |
30.966% |
59.029% |
6.032% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.002% |
0.046% |
1.883% |
8.261% |
89.807% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
22.401% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
20.806% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.019% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
8.141% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.339% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.812% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.135% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.204% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.781% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.724% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
35.420% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.145% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.209% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.922% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.505% |
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.643% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.786% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.422% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.214% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
0.919% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – FabChess 1.14.2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
66.587% |
21.863% |
|
88.450% |
|
7.349% |
2.728% |
0.985% |
0.367% |
0.120% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.668% |
29.938% |
|
50.606% |
|
19.530% |
12.861% |
8.478% |
5.465% |
2.920% |
0.126% |
0.014% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.050% |
15.699% |
|
19.749% |
|
23.930% |
20.618% |
16.162% |
11.835% |
7.232% |
0.437% |
0.037% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
3.117% |
10.971% |
|
14.088% |
|
15.381% |
18.483% |
18.712% |
17.571% |
14.051% |
1.533% |
0.180% |
0.001% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.415% |
9.863% |
|
12.278% |
|
13.658% |
16.061% |
18.871% |
20.159% |
16.346% |
2.235% |
0.384% |
0.008% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.083% |
7.381% |
|
9.464% |
|
12.199% |
17.297% |
19.550% |
20.100% |
18.496% |
2.649% |
0.243% |
0.002% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.080% |
4.277% |
|
5.357% |
|
7.920% |
11.747% |
16.464% |
21.918% |
29.218% |
6.196% |
1.165% |
0.015% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.005% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.028% |
0.163% |
0.579% |
1.870% |
8.136% |
53.171% |
31.671% |
4.377% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.005% |
0.041% |
0.199% |
0.710% |
3.439% |
31.803% |
58.079% |
5.721% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.005% |
0.042% |
1.849% |
8.227% |
89.876% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
26.627% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.009% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
13.210% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.963% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
8.678% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.765% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.340% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.089% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.080% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.862% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
41.636% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.290% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.825% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.869% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.942% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.884% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.084% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.990% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.628% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.430% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – FabChess 1.14.2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
63.519% |
23.021% |
|
86.540% |
|
8.918% |
3.085% |
1.030% |
0.360% |
0.063% |
0.004% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.746% |
28.375% |
|
48.121% |
|
22.158% |
13.663% |
8.304% |
4.982% |
2.670% |
0.095% |
0.007% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
11.476% |
28.929% |
|
40.405% |
|
30.226% |
15.759% |
8.089% |
3.913% |
1.515% |
0.088% |
0.005% |
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.782% |
5.887% |
|
7.669% |
|
12.092% |
22.163% |
21.506% |
19.374% |
14.710% |
2.283% |
0.202% |
0.001% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.827% |
7.327% |
|
9.154% |
|
12.338% |
18.167% |
22.120% |
20.443% |
15.062% |
2.288% |
0.427% |
0.001% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
0.780% |
3.106% |
|
3.886% |
|
7.347% |
13.945% |
19.266% |
23.448% |
26.600% |
4.711% |
0.790% |
0.007% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.869% |
3.354% |
|
4.223% |
|
6.890% |
12.961% |
18.679% |
24.072% |
25.897% |
5.998% |
1.263% |
0.017% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.025% |
0.200% |
0.741% |
2.340% |
8.936% |
50.890% |
32.409% |
4.459% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
0.001% |
0.001% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.006% |
0.057% |
0.265% |
1.064% |
4.484% |
31.763% |
56.618% |
5.741% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.063% |
1.880% |
8.279% |
89.774% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
24.334% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
24.103% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.507% |
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.592% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
6.181% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.192% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.098% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.943% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.455% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.253% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
37.610% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
30.926% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.106% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.041% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.261% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.914% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.722% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.199% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.066% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.914% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.0 |
13.43 |
1.59 |
1.68 |
62 |
21 |
10 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.5 |
11.64 |
1.86 |
3.16 |
18 |
25 |
20 |
14 |
10 |
7 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.0 |
10.58 |
1.96 |
4.20 |
7 |
16 |
17 |
17 |
15 |
13 |
11 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.5 |
10.56 |
1.80 |
4.19 |
5 |
15 |
19 |
18 |
17 |
14 |
9 |
3 |
1 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
3.5 |
10.03 |
1.89 |
4.72 |
4 |
11 |
14 |
16 |
18 |
17 |
14 |
5 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.0 |
10.00 |
1.73 |
4.78 |
3 |
9 |
14 |
18 |
19 |
18 |
13 |
4 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.5 |
8.92 |
1.75 |
5.84 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
10 |
15 |
22 |
28 |
10 |
3 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2.0 |
6.28 |
1.60 |
8.08 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
14 |
43 |
29 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
2.0 |
5.44 |
1.54 |
8.61 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
26 |
51 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.0 |
3.12 |
1.62 |
9.73 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
14 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.15h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-05 08:57 |
34 |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 10:06 |
35 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-05 11:15 |
36 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-05 12:24 |
37 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-05 13:33 |
38 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-05 14:42 |
39 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-05 15:51 |
40 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-05 17:00 |
41 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-05 18:09 |
42 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-05 19:18 |
43 |
Monolith 2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-05 20:28 |
44 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-05 21:37 |
45 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 22:46 |
46 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 23:55 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 01:04 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 02:13 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 03:22 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 04:31 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 05:40 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 06:49 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 07:58 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 09:07 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:16 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 11:25 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 12:34 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 13:43 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 14:52 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 16:01 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:10 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:19 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 19:28 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 20:37 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 21:46 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:55 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 00:04 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 01:13 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 02:22 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 03:31 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 04:40 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 05:49 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:58 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 08:07 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 09:16 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 10:25 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 11:34 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 12:43 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 13:52 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 15:01 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 16:10 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 17:19 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 18:28 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 19:37 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 20:47 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 21:56 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 23:05 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 00:14 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 01:23 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |