For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
64.953% |
22.492% |
|
87.445% |
|
7.934% |
3.018% |
1.129% |
0.380% |
0.093% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.484% |
28.963% |
|
49.447% |
|
20.323% |
13.602% |
8.536% |
5.397% |
2.616% |
0.076% |
0.003% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.578% |
15.414% |
|
19.992% |
|
22.217% |
20.020% |
16.347% |
12.581% |
8.365% |
0.456% |
0.022% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
3.899% |
11.320% |
|
15.219% |
|
14.849% |
17.242% |
17.714% |
17.097% |
16.034% |
1.668% |
0.175% |
0.002% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.256% |
8.982% |
|
11.238% |
|
14.072% |
16.855% |
19.552% |
19.821% |
16.444% |
1.764% |
0.252% |
0.002% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.565% |
7.512% |
|
10.077% |
|
11.545% |
15.901% |
18.494% |
20.131% |
20.780% |
2.842% |
0.227% |
0.003% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.263% |
5.310% |
|
6.573% |
|
9.017% |
13.168% |
17.646% |
22.460% |
26.408% |
4.133% |
0.589% |
0.006% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.002% |
0.006% |
|
0.008% |
|
0.033% |
0.141% |
0.454% |
1.593% |
6.482% |
54.738% |
32.124% |
4.427% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.010% |
0.053% |
0.128% |
0.540% |
2.750% |
32.386% |
58.027% |
6.105% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.028% |
1.936% |
8.581% |
89.455% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
25.163% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.635% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.860% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.124% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
7.686% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.814% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.300% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.333% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.290% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.096% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
39.798% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.193% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.414% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.759% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.268% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.006% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.202% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.344% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.729% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.524% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – chess22k 1.14 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
41.864% |
26.859% |
|
68.723% |
|
15.789% |
8.612% |
4.349% |
1.913% |
0.605% |
0.009% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
31.167% |
24.800% |
|
55.967% |
|
17.275% |
11.805% |
7.705% |
4.882% |
2.293% |
0.071% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
8.994% |
15.356% |
|
24.350% |
|
19.893% |
18.978% |
15.833% |
12.212% |
8.275% |
0.428% |
0.030% |
0.001% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
6.474% |
11.015% |
|
17.489% |
|
13.983% |
16.139% |
17.334% |
17.582% |
15.713% |
1.573% |
0.182% |
0.005% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
4.518% |
8.907% |
|
13.425% |
|
13.249% |
16.323% |
19.148% |
19.851% |
16.180% |
1.603% |
0.216% |
0.005% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
4.451% |
7.707% |
|
12.158% |
|
11.044% |
15.310% |
18.227% |
19.766% |
20.574% |
2.659% |
0.248% |
0.014% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.531% |
5.350% |
|
7.881% |
|
8.727% |
12.687% |
16.866% |
21.875% |
27.201% |
4.115% |
0.626% |
0.022% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.001% |
0.004% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.031% |
0.092% |
0.394% |
1.356% |
6.154% |
49.531% |
29.934% |
12.503% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.009% |
0.054% |
0.139% |
0.539% |
2.735% |
32.355% |
48.161% |
16.006% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.024% |
0.270% |
7.656% |
20.601% |
71.444% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.433% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.946% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.204% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.003% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.917% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
5.132% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.449% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.448% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.714% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.669% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
32.379% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.652% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.717% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.344% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.609% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.552% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.036% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.105% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.919% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.809% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – chess22k 1.14 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
55.052% |
26.979% |
|
82.031% |
|
11.023% |
4.474% |
1.699% |
0.611% |
0.160% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
25.917% |
26.055% |
|
51.972% |
|
19.108% |
12.882% |
8.246% |
5.247% |
2.465% |
0.076% |
0.004% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
5.978% |
15.071% |
|
21.049% |
|
21.500% |
20.020% |
16.240% |
12.483% |
8.232% |
0.441% |
0.035% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.963% |
10.881% |
|
15.844% |
|
14.279% |
16.869% |
17.811% |
17.247% |
16.134% |
1.623% |
0.193% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.103% |
8.506% |
|
11.609% |
|
14.034% |
16.929% |
19.317% |
19.745% |
16.425% |
1.703% |
0.237% |
0.001% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.282% |
7.338% |
|
10.620% |
|
11.137% |
15.816% |
18.531% |
20.166% |
20.881% |
2.604% |
0.238% |
0.007% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.704% |
5.169% |
|
6.873% |
|
8.881% |
12.865% |
17.553% |
22.483% |
26.735% |
4.092% |
0.509% |
0.009% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.001% |
0.001% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.024% |
0.104% |
0.429% |
1.423% |
6.161% |
53.362% |
31.901% |
6.594% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.014% |
0.041% |
0.174% |
0.590% |
2.757% |
33.082% |
54.374% |
8.968% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.050% |
3.015% |
12.509% |
84.421% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.708% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
17.368% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.281% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.809% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
6.641% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.894% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.718% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.168% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.866% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.755% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
38.076% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.147% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.564% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.937% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.670% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.703% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.636% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.224% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.513% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.230% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – chess22k 1.14 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
74.530% |
18.722% |
|
93.252% |
|
4.877% |
1.353% |
0.404% |
0.095% |
0.019% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
15.765% |
32.130% |
|
47.895% |
|
21.476% |
13.936% |
8.558% |
5.377% |
2.672% |
0.081% |
0.005% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
3.111% |
15.740% |
|
18.851% |
|
22.965% |
20.281% |
16.660% |
12.327% |
8.389% |
0.496% |
0.031% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
2.596% |
11.484% |
|
14.080% |
|
15.312% |
17.313% |
17.938% |
17.538% |
15.908% |
1.719% |
0.192% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.416% |
9.098% |
|
10.514% |
|
14.253% |
17.240% |
19.626% |
19.643% |
16.743% |
1.767% |
0.214% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.827% |
7.523% |
|
9.350% |
|
11.826% |
16.373% |
18.573% |
20.361% |
20.467% |
2.785% |
0.264% |
0.001% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.755% |
5.299% |
|
6.054% |
|
9.259% |
13.318% |
17.597% |
22.479% |
26.609% |
4.113% |
0.570% |
0.001% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.026% |
0.143% |
0.476% |
1.615% |
6.522% |
56.003% |
32.632% |
2.579% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.043% |
0.168% |
0.565% |
2.667% |
32.189% |
60.825% |
3.537% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.847% |
5.267% |
93.882% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
29.959% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
14.419% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.563% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.320% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
8.399% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.592% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.837% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.897% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.741% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.228% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
42.522% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
16.316% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.061% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.228% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.820% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.301% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.783% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.317% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.009% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
0.848% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.5 |
13.12 |
1.50 |
1.74 |
60 |
21 |
10 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.0 |
11.56 |
1.68 |
3.15 |
19 |
25 |
20 |
15 |
10 |
7 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.5 |
10.68 |
1.77 |
4.11 |
8 |
16 |
18 |
17 |
15 |
13 |
11 |
2 |
0 |
4 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.0 |
10.45 |
1.66 |
4.34 |
5 |
13 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
15 |
11 |
3 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
4.0 |
10.14 |
1.71 |
4.68 |
4 |
11 |
14 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
14 |
4 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.0 |
9.98 |
1.74 |
4.86 |
3 |
10 |
13 |
16 |
18 |
18 |
16 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.0 |
9.29 |
1.64 |
5.59 |
1 |
5 |
8 |
12 |
16 |
22 |
27 |
8 |
1 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2.0 |
6.25 |
1.60 |
8.16 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
11 |
46 |
29 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
2.0 |
5.43 |
1.54 |
8.65 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
27 |
52 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.0 |
3.11 |
1.62 |
9.74 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
14 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.17h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-05 13:02 |
37 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-05 14:12 |
38 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-05 15:22 |
39 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-05 16:32 |
40 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-05 17:42 |
41 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-05 18:52 |
42 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-05 20:02 |
43 |
Monolith 2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-05 21:12 |
44 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-05 22:22 |
45 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 23:32 |
46 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 00:42 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 01:52 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 03:02 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 04:12 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 05:22 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 06:33 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 07:43 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 08:53 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 10:03 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 11:13 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 12:23 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 13:33 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 14:43 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 15:53 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 17:03 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 18:13 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 19:23 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 20:33 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 21:43 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 22:53 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 00:03 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 01:13 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 02:24 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 03:34 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 04:44 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 05:54 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 07:04 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 08:14 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 09:24 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 10:34 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 11:44 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 12:54 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 14:04 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 15:14 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 16:24 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:34 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 18:44 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 19:54 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 21:04 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 22:15 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 23:25 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-08 00:35 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 01:45 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 02:55 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |