For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
54.969% |
26.887% |
|
81.856% |
|
10.965% |
4.580% |
1.814% |
0.638% |
0.147% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
26.120% |
26.107% |
|
52.227% |
|
18.994% |
12.807% |
8.348% |
5.049% |
2.506% |
0.065% |
0.004% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
5.896% |
15.036% |
|
20.932% |
|
21.696% |
19.864% |
16.284% |
12.405% |
8.360% |
0.441% |
0.018% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.969% |
10.720% |
|
15.689% |
|
14.238% |
16.860% |
18.103% |
17.286% |
16.103% |
1.527% |
0.190% |
0.004% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.969% |
8.812% |
|
11.781% |
|
13.713% |
16.896% |
19.333% |
19.828% |
16.548% |
1.686% |
0.211% |
0.004% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.381% |
7.316% |
|
10.697% |
|
11.437% |
15.914% |
18.231% |
20.209% |
20.727% |
2.551% |
0.229% |
0.005% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.696% |
5.118% |
|
6.814% |
|
8.921% |
12.911% |
17.370% |
22.588% |
26.811% |
4.019% |
0.558% |
0.008% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.023% |
0.124% |
0.378% |
1.425% |
6.051% |
53.561% |
31.805% |
6.630% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.013% |
0.044% |
0.139% |
0.570% |
2.695% |
33.090% |
54.586% |
8.862% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.052% |
3.060% |
12.399% |
84.487% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.721% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
17.462% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.244% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.652% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
6.845% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.860% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.645% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.160% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.732% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.697% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
38.183% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.941% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.384% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.082% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.729% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.720% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.535% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.264% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.482% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.297% |
Speculate Counter 3.5dev – Combusken 1.1.1 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
45.448% |
33.839% |
|
79.287% |
|
13.180% |
5.119% |
1.762% |
0.529% |
0.121% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
40.362% |
30.036% |
|
70.398% |
|
16.517% |
7.904% |
3.532% |
1.322% |
0.321% |
0.006% |
|
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.873% |
12.406% |
|
17.279% |
|
25.264% |
22.253% |
16.770% |
11.497% |
6.556% |
0.366% |
0.015% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.114% |
9.394% |
|
13.508% |
|
14.477% |
19.305% |
20.051% |
17.718% |
13.208% |
1.532% |
0.199% |
0.002% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.336% |
6.768% |
|
9.104% |
|
14.489% |
18.805% |
22.164% |
21.537% |
12.242% |
1.469% |
0.187% |
0.003% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.677% |
6.520% |
|
9.197% |
|
12.072% |
18.021% |
20.484% |
20.202% |
17.387% |
2.408% |
0.228% |
0.001% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.190% |
1.036% |
|
1.226% |
|
3.966% |
8.427% |
14.586% |
24.580% |
38.407% |
7.524% |
1.270% |
0.014% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.025% |
0.129% |
0.468% |
1.887% |
8.278% |
51.366% |
31.196% |
6.650% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.010% |
0.037% |
0.182% |
0.722% |
3.404% |
32.144% |
54.467% |
9.034% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.006% |
0.076% |
3.183% |
12.438% |
84.296% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.619% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
24.384% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.194% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.642% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.827% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
4.292% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.415% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.869% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.525% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.083% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
52.003% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.138% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.688% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.719% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.130% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.714% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.478% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.563% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.140% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.683% |
Speculate Counter 3.5dev – Combusken 1.1.1 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
59.339% |
23.849% |
|
83.188% |
|
10.069% |
4.299% |
1.669% |
0.629% |
0.146% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.180% |
25.725% |
|
45.905% |
|
20.902% |
14.847% |
9.578% |
5.957% |
2.744% |
0.064% |
0.003% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
6.447% |
15.813% |
|
22.260% |
|
20.159% |
18.837% |
16.209% |
13.001% |
9.007% |
0.498% |
0.029% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.375% |
11.379% |
|
16.754% |
|
13.948% |
15.801% |
17.132% |
17.285% |
17.224% |
1.705% |
0.148% |
0.003% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.194% |
9.382% |
|
12.576% |
|
13.404% |
16.384% |
18.580% |
18.914% |
18.144% |
1.773% |
0.225% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.572% |
7.775% |
|
11.347% |
|
11.240% |
14.986% |
17.526% |
19.855% |
22.201% |
2.656% |
0.184% |
0.005% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.893% |
6.070% |
|
7.963% |
|
10.241% |
14.714% |
18.820% |
22.628% |
22.760% |
2.583% |
0.288% |
0.003% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.005% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.030% |
0.094% |
0.335% |
1.220% |
5.262% |
54.302% |
32.043% |
6.709% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.007% |
0.038% |
0.151% |
0.510% |
2.470% |
33.366% |
54.748% |
8.708% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.042% |
3.053% |
12.332% |
84.572% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.355% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.265% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.689% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.621% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
7.640% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.517% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.512% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.119% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.051% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.466% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
33.620% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.808% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.672% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.059% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.514% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.510% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.994% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.787% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.185% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.958% |
Speculate Counter 3.5dev – Combusken 1.1.1 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
64.630% |
20.551% |
|
85.181% |
|
8.432% |
3.864% |
1.662% |
0.675% |
0.184% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
6.860% |
18.047% |
|
24.907% |
|
17.454% |
16.829% |
15.775% |
13.866% |
10.619% |
0.510% |
0.040% |
|
3. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
7.211% |
16.810% |
|
24.021% |
|
18.383% |
17.702% |
16.023% |
13.592% |
9.403% |
0.809% |
0.067% |
|
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
8.988% |
14.720% |
|
23.708% |
|
17.105% |
17.345% |
16.693% |
14.540% |
10.215% |
0.379% |
0.015% |
|
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.382% |
11.560% |
|
16.942% |
|
14.454% |
15.708% |
16.389% |
17.049% |
17.603% |
1.672% |
0.182% |
0.001% |
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.401% |
10.659% |
|
14.060% |
|
13.229% |
14.666% |
16.381% |
18.383% |
21.128% |
1.889% |
0.261% |
0.003% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.527% |
7.645% |
|
11.172% |
|
10.915% |
13.758% |
16.700% |
20.508% |
23.771% |
2.907% |
0.263% |
0.006% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.023% |
0.091% |
0.270% |
1.000% |
4.735% |
55.294% |
32.035% |
6.546% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
0.001% |
0.002% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.005% |
0.037% |
0.107% |
0.384% |
2.300% |
33.397% |
55.035% |
8.732% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.042% |
3.141% |
12.102% |
84.712% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
15.851% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
13.824% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.933% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
9.263% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.023% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.729% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.689% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.264% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.449% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.327% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
19.300% |
2. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
18.088% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
16.622% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.350% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.859% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.954% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.925% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.903% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.353% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.248% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.0 |
12.55 |
1.46 |
2.05 |
48 |
24 |
14 |
8 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.0 |
11.61 |
1.69 |
3.03 |
24 |
22 |
18 |
14 |
10 |
7 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.5 |
10.67 |
1.78 |
4.04 |
10 |
16 |
17 |
16 |
15 |
13 |
11 |
2 |
0 |
4 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.0 |
10.43 |
1.66 |
4.31 |
6 |
13 |
16 |
18 |
17 |
15 |
11 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
4.0 |
10.14 |
1.73 |
4.62 |
5 |
11 |
14 |
16 |
18 |
17 |
14 |
4 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.0 |
9.97 |
1.74 |
4.82 |
4 |
9 |
13 |
16 |
17 |
19 |
16 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.0 |
9.26 |
1.64 |
5.59 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
11 |
16 |
22 |
27 |
8 |
2 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2.0 |
6.15 |
1.61 |
8.25 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
11 |
43 |
29 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
2.0 |
5.41 |
1.55 |
8.72 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
26 |
46 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
3.82 |
1.54 |
9.58 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
21 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.17h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-05 14:20 |
38 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-05 15:30 |
39 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-05 16:40 |
40 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-05 17:51 |
41 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-05 19:01 |
42 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-05 20:11 |
43 |
Monolith 2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-05 21:22 |
44 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-05 22:32 |
45 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 23:42 |
46 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 00:52 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 02:03 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 03:13 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 04:23 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 05:33 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 06:44 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 07:54 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 09:04 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 10:15 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 11:25 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 12:35 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 13:45 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 14:56 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 16:06 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 17:16 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 18:27 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 19:37 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 20:47 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 21:57 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 23:08 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 00:18 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 01:28 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 02:39 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 03:49 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 04:59 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 06:09 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 07:20 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 08:30 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 09:40 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 10:50 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 12:01 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 13:11 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 14:21 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 15:32 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 16:42 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:52 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 19:02 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 20:13 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 21:23 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 22:33 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 23:44 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-08 00:54 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 02:04 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 03:14 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |