For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
60.488% |
23.520% |
|
84.008% |
|
9.456% |
4.023% |
1.716% |
0.626% |
0.166% |
0.005% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.810% |
26.345% |
|
47.155% |
|
20.352% |
14.154% |
9.378% |
5.908% |
2.971% |
0.081% |
0.001% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.717% |
14.283% |
|
19.000% |
|
20.241% |
20.211% |
17.551% |
13.848% |
8.759% |
0.355% |
0.035% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.419% |
11.907% |
|
17.326% |
|
13.971% |
15.465% |
16.380% |
17.019% |
17.966% |
1.702% |
0.169% |
0.002% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.985% |
9.479% |
|
12.464% |
|
14.436% |
17.310% |
19.406% |
19.081% |
15.855% |
1.313% |
0.135% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.692% |
8.197% |
|
11.889% |
|
11.137% |
14.480% |
16.797% |
19.403% |
23.178% |
2.862% |
0.254% |
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.889% |
6.263% |
|
8.152% |
|
10.356% |
14.212% |
18.285% |
22.424% |
23.683% |
2.584% |
0.300% |
0.004% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.040% |
0.105% |
0.354% |
1.210% |
5.112% |
54.868% |
31.707% |
6.598% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.011% |
0.040% |
0.133% |
0.476% |
2.276% |
33.118% |
54.862% |
9.084% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.034% |
3.112% |
12.537% |
84.312% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
21.457% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.864% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.394% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.193% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
7.742% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.011% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.686% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.078% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.229% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.221% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
35.321% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.615% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.271% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.000% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.106% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.690% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.296% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.900% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.225% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.943% |
Speculate Tucano 8.07_dev2 – ChessFighter 3.3 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
62.903% |
23.485% |
|
86.388% |
|
8.595% |
3.303% |
1.196% |
0.428% |
0.084% |
0.006% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
22.340% |
30.490% |
|
52.830% |
|
20.667% |
12.380% |
7.541% |
4.373% |
2.100% |
0.105% |
0.004% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.863% |
15.372% |
|
20.235% |
|
23.163% |
21.089% |
16.695% |
11.923% |
6.212% |
0.625% |
0.058% |
|
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.740% |
9.920% |
|
12.660% |
|
15.797% |
19.227% |
20.135% |
17.499% |
12.141% |
2.293% |
0.246% |
0.002% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
4.100% |
9.366% |
|
13.466% |
|
12.748% |
16.813% |
18.068% |
18.602% |
16.806% |
2.960% |
0.533% |
0.004% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.074% |
7.324% |
|
9.398% |
|
12.064% |
16.560% |
20.283% |
21.962% |
16.012% |
3.112% |
0.607% |
0.002% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
0.979% |
4.032% |
|
5.011% |
|
6.875% |
10.206% |
14.758% |
21.201% |
31.878% |
8.332% |
1.722% |
0.017% |
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.007% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.058% |
0.276% |
0.847% |
2.475% |
9.323% |
49.853% |
35.132% |
2.029% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.001% |
0.004% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.033% |
0.146% |
0.477% |
1.536% |
5.398% |
31.397% |
52.887% |
8.121% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.046% |
1.317% |
8.811% |
89.825% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
26.334% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.702% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.513% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
8.274% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
7.031% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.595% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.147% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.459% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.437% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.361% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
42.036% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.950% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.501% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.490% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.702% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.699% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.653% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.644% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.995% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.745% |
Speculate Tucano 8.07_dev2 – ChessFighter 3.3 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
61.768% |
23.484% |
|
85.252% |
|
8.949% |
3.607% |
1.489% |
0.528% |
0.173% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
21.641% |
27.467% |
|
49.108% |
|
20.107% |
13.542% |
8.883% |
5.501% |
2.778% |
0.079% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.704% |
14.826% |
|
19.530% |
|
21.210% |
20.325% |
17.039% |
13.066% |
8.360% |
0.442% |
0.028% |
|
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.842% |
9.851% |
|
12.693% |
|
14.825% |
17.685% |
19.400% |
18.530% |
15.318% |
1.409% |
0.137% |
0.003% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
3.158% |
8.903% |
|
12.061% |
|
11.876% |
14.858% |
17.568% |
19.540% |
21.979% |
1.962% |
0.155% |
0.001% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.835% |
8.583% |
|
12.418% |
|
11.868% |
15.018% |
16.772% |
19.181% |
21.773% |
2.689% |
0.274% |
0.007% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.052% |
6.883% |
|
8.935% |
|
11.122% |
14.843% |
18.340% |
21.910% |
21.978% |
2.583% |
0.284% |
0.005% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.032% |
0.099% |
0.374% |
1.241% |
5.092% |
50.781% |
35.514% |
6.864% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.011% |
0.023% |
0.135% |
0.501% |
2.508% |
37.528% |
53.128% |
6.166% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.041% |
2.525% |
10.478% |
86.954% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
23.064% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.823% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.013% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
8.164% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.967% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.333% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.224% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.302% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.252% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.237% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
37.887% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.315% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.424% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.756% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.585% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.282% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.281% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.389% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.961% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.889% |
Speculate Tucano 8.07_dev2 – ChessFighter 3.3 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
57.858% |
23.943% |
|
81.801% |
|
10.505% |
4.702% |
2.028% |
0.763% |
0.198% |
0.003% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.171% |
23.456% |
|
42.627% |
|
20.935% |
15.623% |
10.907% |
6.641% |
3.193% |
0.073% |
0.001% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
10.335% |
18.475% |
|
28.810% |
|
18.048% |
16.878% |
14.755% |
12.278% |
8.913% |
0.313% |
0.005% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.527% |
12.989% |
|
17.516% |
|
18.270% |
20.250% |
18.486% |
15.140% |
10.007% |
0.321% |
0.010% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.843% |
8.489% |
|
11.332% |
|
13.187% |
16.677% |
19.392% |
20.709% |
17.740% |
0.898% |
0.065% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.506% |
7.159% |
|
10.665% |
|
9.982% |
13.027% |
16.758% |
20.121% |
26.616% |
2.707% |
0.122% |
0.002% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.759% |
5.486% |
|
7.245% |
|
9.048% |
12.772% |
17.385% |
23.183% |
27.705% |
2.535% |
0.125% |
0.002% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.001% |
0.003% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.024% |
0.070% |
0.276% |
1.067% |
4.949% |
64.954% |
23.237% |
5.419% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.001% |
0.013% |
0.097% |
0.637% |
23.944% |
60.953% |
14.354% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.042% |
4.252% |
15.482% |
80.223% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.769% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.156% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.223% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.079% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
6.722% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.932% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.096% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.034% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.865% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.147% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
29.992% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
20.088% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.995% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.860% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.004% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.012% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.859% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.865% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.914% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.655% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.0 |
12.59 |
1.45 |
1.95 |
54 |
21 |
12 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.5 |
11.28 |
1.57 |
3.28 |
19 |
21 |
19 |
15 |
12 |
8 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.0 |
10.52 |
1.62 |
4.20 |
8 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
16 |
14 |
12 |
2 |
0 |
4 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.0 |
10.44 |
1.66 |
4.29 |
7 |
14 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
15 |
12 |
3 |
1 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
4.5 |
10.25 |
1.58 |
4.51 |
5 |
12 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
13 |
3 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.0 |
9.96 |
1.73 |
4.84 |
5 |
10 |
12 |
14 |
16 |
18 |
18 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.5 |
9.58 |
1.52 |
5.31 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
13 |
17 |
22 |
24 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2.0 |
6.16 |
1.62 |
8.28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
45 |
29 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
2.0 |
5.41 |
1.55 |
8.75 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
27 |
47 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
3.81 |
1.54 |
9.59 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
21 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.16h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-05 16:16 |
40 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-05 17:26 |
41 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-05 18:36 |
42 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-05 19:45 |
43 |
Monolith 2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-05 20:55 |
44 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-05 22:05 |
45 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 23:14 |
46 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 00:24 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 01:34 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 02:43 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 03:53 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 05:03 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 06:12 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 07:22 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 08:32 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 09:41 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:51 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 12:01 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 13:10 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 14:20 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 15:30 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 16:39 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:49 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:59 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 20:08 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 21:18 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 22:28 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 23:37 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 00:47 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 01:57 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 03:06 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 04:16 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 05:26 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 06:35 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 07:45 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 08:55 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 10:04 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 11:14 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 12:24 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 13:33 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 14:43 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 15:53 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:02 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 18:12 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 19:22 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 20:31 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 21:41 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 22:51 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-08 00:00 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 01:10 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 02:20 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |