For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
61.687% |
23.414% |
|
85.101% |
|
8.951% |
3.765% |
1.438% |
0.581% |
0.163% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
21.655% |
27.650% |
|
49.305% |
|
20.185% |
13.392% |
8.749% |
5.544% |
2.755% |
0.067% |
0.003% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.777% |
14.740% |
|
19.517% |
|
21.296% |
20.331% |
16.919% |
13.157% |
8.347% |
0.405% |
0.027% |
0.001% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.810% |
9.734% |
|
12.544% |
|
14.918% |
17.573% |
19.275% |
18.607% |
15.529% |
1.403% |
0.151% |
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.839% |
8.798% |
|
12.637% |
|
11.780% |
15.219% |
16.916% |
18.893% |
21.621% |
2.663% |
0.270% |
0.001% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
3.179% |
8.810% |
|
11.989% |
|
11.994% |
14.710% |
17.453% |
19.672% |
22.070% |
1.954% |
0.155% |
0.003% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.052% |
6.848% |
|
8.900% |
|
10.835% |
14.864% |
18.773% |
21.827% |
21.946% |
2.514% |
0.338% |
0.003% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.001% |
0.006% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.034% |
0.113% |
0.337% |
1.234% |
5.079% |
51.009% |
35.114% |
7.073% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.033% |
0.140% |
0.485% |
2.451% |
37.426% |
53.202% |
6.256% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.039% |
2.558% |
10.740% |
86.663% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
23.167% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.757% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.873% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
8.051% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.880% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.479% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.232% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.345% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.303% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.217% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
37.924% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.218% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.284% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.699% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.696% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.274% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.424% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.522% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.910% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.905% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Bagatur 2.1 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
59.729% |
23.609% |
|
83.338% |
|
9.845% |
4.154% |
1.817% |
0.667% |
0.177% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.789% |
25.651% |
|
46.440% |
|
20.016% |
14.123% |
9.588% |
6.407% |
3.396% |
0.029% |
0.001% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.576% |
14.012% |
|
18.588% |
|
19.618% |
19.737% |
17.317% |
14.270% |
10.180% |
0.274% |
0.016% |
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
7.233% |
13.931% |
|
21.164% |
|
16.496% |
17.827% |
16.921% |
15.015% |
12.268% |
0.300% |
0.009% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.800% |
8.590% |
|
11.390% |
|
13.104% |
16.894% |
20.077% |
20.197% |
17.137% |
1.138% |
0.063% |
|
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
2.960% |
7.803% |
|
10.763% |
|
10.784% |
13.901% |
16.815% |
20.382% |
25.953% |
1.307% |
0.091% |
0.004% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.913% |
6.401% |
|
8.314% |
|
10.128% |
13.339% |
17.349% |
22.346% |
26.699% |
1.638% |
0.186% |
0.001% |
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.020% |
0.082% |
0.447% |
2.415% |
48.593% |
42.647% |
5.791% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.004% |
0.005% |
0.034% |
0.267% |
1.736% |
43.081% |
43.375% |
11.495% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.039% |
3.638% |
13.612% |
82.709% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.620% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.556% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.203% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
10.197% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
6.947% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.977% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.782% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.230% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.301% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.137% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
34.176% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.427% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.217% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.136% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.677% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.702% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.231% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.134% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.791% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.597% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Bagatur 2.1 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
63.011% |
23.203% |
|
86.214% |
|
8.391% |
3.384% |
1.345% |
0.504% |
0.156% |
0.006% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
21.799% |
28.779% |
|
50.578% |
|
20.120% |
13.073% |
8.385% |
5.164% |
2.571% |
0.102% |
0.007% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.843% |
15.193% |
|
20.036% |
|
21.793% |
20.643% |
16.927% |
12.353% |
7.753% |
0.462% |
0.033% |
|
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.983% |
10.512% |
|
13.495% |
|
15.801% |
17.797% |
18.728% |
17.683% |
14.838% |
1.497% |
0.157% |
0.004% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
3.433% |
9.564% |
|
12.997% |
|
12.731% |
15.624% |
17.759% |
19.003% |
19.527% |
2.161% |
0.196% |
0.002% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.000% |
7.034% |
|
9.034% |
|
11.626% |
15.504% |
18.736% |
21.606% |
20.044% |
3.053% |
0.390% |
0.007% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.930% |
5.706% |
|
7.636% |
|
9.506% |
13.820% |
17.530% |
21.657% |
26.479% |
3.081% |
0.290% |
0.001% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.001% |
0.007% |
|
0.008% |
|
0.021% |
0.126% |
0.451% |
1.506% |
6.120% |
55.383% |
31.607% |
4.778% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.011% |
0.029% |
0.139% |
0.524% |
2.479% |
32.358% |
58.336% |
6.122% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.033% |
1.897% |
8.984% |
89.086% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
24.691% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.273% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.336% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
8.813% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.566% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.338% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.260% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.435% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.346% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.006% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
39.964% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.771% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.145% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.572% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.371% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.384% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.503% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.025% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.024% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.695% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Bagatur 2.1 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
64.023% |
23.449% |
|
87.472% |
|
7.944% |
3.002% |
1.098% |
0.385% |
0.091% |
0.008% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
22.043% |
29.767% |
|
51.810% |
|
20.493% |
12.889% |
8.229% |
4.604% |
1.800% |
0.169% |
0.006% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.772% |
15.427% |
|
20.199% |
|
23.201% |
21.678% |
17.381% |
11.623% |
5.029% |
0.840% |
0.049% |
|
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.006% |
11.649% |
|
14.655% |
|
17.451% |
19.672% |
18.675% |
15.711% |
11.167% |
2.347% |
0.319% |
0.003% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
3.479% |
10.298% |
|
13.777% |
|
13.810% |
16.812% |
18.931% |
18.618% |
14.219% |
3.540% |
0.292% |
0.001% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.133% |
7.114% |
|
9.247% |
|
12.344% |
16.766% |
20.369% |
22.159% |
14.113% |
4.464% |
0.537% |
0.001% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.540% |
2.254% |
|
2.794% |
|
4.531% |
8.391% |
12.983% |
20.040% |
32.500% |
16.611% |
2.116% |
0.034% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.004% |
0.041% |
|
0.045% |
|
0.219% |
0.737% |
2.157% |
6.192% |
18.346% |
53.114% |
17.469% |
1.721% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.007% |
0.053% |
0.177% |
0.666% |
2.681% |
17.864% |
72.088% |
6.463% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.054% |
1.043% |
7.124% |
91.777% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
26.011% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.951% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.656% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
9.847% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.259% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.489% |
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.531% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.301% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.046% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.727% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
41.962% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.187% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.208% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.305% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.722% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.457% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.175% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.113% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.053% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.635% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.0 |
12.59 |
1.44 |
1.90 |
55 |
21 |
11 |
6 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.5 |
11.30 |
1.57 |
3.20 |
20 |
23 |
19 |
15 |
11 |
8 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.0 |
10.51 |
1.62 |
4.15 |
8 |
16 |
17 |
16 |
15 |
14 |
11 |
2 |
0 |
4 |
Monolith 2 |
4.5 |
10.22 |
1.58 |
4.48 |
5 |
12 |
15 |
17 |
17 |
16 |
13 |
3 |
1 |
5 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.5 |
10.03 |
1.55 |
4.72 |
4 |
10 |
14 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
16 |
4 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.0 |
10.01 |
1.74 |
4.74 |
5 |
11 |
13 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
17 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.5 |
9.60 |
1.53 |
5.24 |
2 |
7 |
10 |
14 |
17 |
21 |
23 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2.0 |
6.16 |
1.62 |
8.33 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
40 |
33 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
2.5 |
5.76 |
1.45 |
8.61 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
32 |
46 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
3.80 |
1.55 |
9.64 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
18 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.16h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-05 17:30 |
41 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-05 18:40 |
42 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-05 19:50 |
43 |
Monolith 2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-05 21:00 |
44 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-05 22:09 |
45 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 23:19 |
46 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 00:29 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 01:39 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 02:48 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 03:58 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 05:08 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 06:18 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 07:28 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 08:37 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 09:47 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:57 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 12:07 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 13:16 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 14:26 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 15:36 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 16:46 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:56 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 19:05 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 20:15 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 21:25 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 22:35 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 23:44 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 00:54 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 02:04 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 03:14 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 04:23 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 05:33 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 06:43 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 07:53 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 09:03 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 10:12 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 11:22 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 12:32 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 13:42 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 14:51 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 16:01 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:11 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 18:21 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 19:30 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 20:40 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 21:50 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 23:00 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-08 00:10 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 01:19 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 02:29 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |