For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
59.813% |
23.649% |
|
83.462% |
|
9.736% |
4.227% |
1.751% |
0.649% |
0.174% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.792% |
25.815% |
|
46.607% |
|
20.009% |
13.972% |
9.679% |
6.352% |
3.343% |
0.038% |
|
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.643% |
13.994% |
|
18.637% |
|
19.674% |
19.583% |
17.321% |
14.366% |
10.149% |
0.262% |
0.008% |
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
7.210% |
13.806% |
|
21.016% |
|
16.525% |
17.986% |
16.879% |
14.829% |
12.421% |
0.323% |
0.021% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.673% |
8.430% |
|
11.103% |
|
12.986% |
16.912% |
20.294% |
20.280% |
17.251% |
1.097% |
0.077% |
|
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
2.948% |
7.934% |
|
10.882% |
|
10.942% |
13.807% |
16.595% |
20.360% |
26.048% |
1.267% |
0.098% |
0.001% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.921% |
6.370% |
|
8.291% |
|
10.124% |
13.485% |
17.325% |
22.489% |
26.473% |
1.622% |
0.189% |
0.002% |
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.004% |
0.019% |
0.103% |
0.430% |
2.347% |
48.856% |
42.560% |
5.679% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
0.053% |
0.242% |
1.756% |
43.015% |
43.556% |
11.369% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.038% |
3.519% |
13.491% |
82.949% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.838% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.558% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.220% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
10.185% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
6.770% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.064% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.735% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.184% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.247% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.155% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
34.396% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.369% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.348% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.909% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.709% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.730% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.178% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.158% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.747% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.667% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
59.684% |
23.526% |
|
83.210% |
|
9.881% |
4.226% |
1.802% |
0.711% |
0.170% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.866% |
25.739% |
|
46.605% |
|
20.402% |
13.918% |
9.373% |
6.211% |
3.424% |
0.065% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.653% |
14.102% |
|
18.755% |
|
19.470% |
19.597% |
17.345% |
14.309% |
10.098% |
0.402% |
0.024% |
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
7.228% |
13.942% |
|
21.170% |
|
16.428% |
17.992% |
16.899% |
14.912% |
12.129% |
0.452% |
0.018% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.642% |
8.431% |
|
11.073% |
|
12.958% |
16.897% |
20.146% |
20.245% |
17.111% |
1.397% |
0.173% |
|
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
2.938% |
7.937% |
|
10.875% |
|
10.816% |
13.707% |
16.836% |
20.376% |
25.167% |
2.046% |
0.177% |
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.989% |
6.322% |
|
8.311% |
|
10.036% |
13.612% |
17.350% |
22.170% |
25.648% |
2.559% |
0.314% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.028% |
0.140% |
0.608% |
4.027% |
59.049% |
35.175% |
0.968% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.004% |
0.023% |
0.109% |
0.458% |
2.226% |
33.641% |
60.597% |
2.941% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.389% |
3.520% |
96.091% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.687% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.574% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.278% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
10.134% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
6.800% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.064% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.721% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.230% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.368% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.140% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
34.261% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.364% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.324% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.905% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.654% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.702% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.289% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.154% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.696% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.694% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
59.810% |
23.622% |
|
83.432% |
|
9.797% |
4.144% |
1.749% |
0.688% |
0.190% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.744% |
25.608% |
|
46.352% |
|
20.216% |
14.041% |
9.682% |
6.319% |
3.356% |
0.034% |
|
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.688% |
14.074% |
|
18.762% |
|
19.593% |
19.506% |
17.237% |
14.501% |
10.204% |
0.190% |
0.007% |
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
7.246% |
13.951% |
|
21.197% |
|
16.601% |
17.939% |
16.860% |
14.868% |
12.306% |
0.222% |
0.007% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.601% |
8.498% |
|
11.099% |
|
13.062% |
16.689% |
20.158% |
20.471% |
17.406% |
1.069% |
0.046% |
|
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
2.949% |
7.999% |
|
10.948% |
|
10.809% |
13.976% |
16.911% |
20.321% |
25.815% |
1.134% |
0.082% |
0.004% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.962% |
6.246% |
|
8.208% |
|
9.911% |
13.683% |
17.286% |
22.237% |
27.120% |
1.385% |
0.169% |
0.001% |
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.008% |
0.020% |
0.101% |
0.442% |
2.423% |
51.739% |
39.301% |
5.964% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.002% |
0.016% |
0.152% |
1.158% |
40.991% |
46.827% |
10.851% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.022% |
3.236% |
13.561% |
83.180% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.638% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.555% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.296% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
10.292% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
6.844% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.080% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.659% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.245% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.290% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.129% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
34.193% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.537% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.377% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.924% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.759% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.641% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.186% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.122% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.714% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.682% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
59.488% |
23.677% |
|
83.165% |
|
9.995% |
4.246% |
1.757% |
0.665% |
0.170% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.936% |
25.801% |
|
46.737% |
|
20.121% |
13.910% |
9.484% |
6.365% |
3.353% |
0.029% |
0.001% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.554% |
14.156% |
|
18.710% |
|
19.505% |
19.645% |
17.114% |
14.562% |
10.282% |
0.176% |
0.006% |
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
7.336% |
13.960% |
|
21.296% |
|
16.493% |
17.945% |
16.910% |
14.971% |
12.210% |
0.169% |
0.006% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.758% |
8.460% |
|
11.218% |
|
13.007% |
16.938% |
20.235% |
20.253% |
17.344% |
0.972% |
0.033% |
|
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
2.886% |
7.758% |
|
10.644% |
|
10.946% |
13.682% |
16.830% |
20.535% |
26.409% |
0.926% |
0.026% |
0.002% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.042% |
6.187% |
|
8.229% |
|
9.930% |
13.609% |
17.578% |
22.166% |
27.267% |
1.145% |
0.073% |
0.003% |
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.003% |
0.024% |
0.090% |
0.450% |
2.517% |
62.530% |
24.700% |
9.685% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.002% |
0.023% |
0.312% |
21.501% |
36.917% |
41.244% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.010% |
0.136% |
12.550% |
38.238% |
49.066% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.810% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.523% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.279% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
10.243% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
6.733% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.854% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.568% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.254% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.339% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.226% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
34.333% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.497% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.316% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.946% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.491% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.581% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.294% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.198% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.747% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.659% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.0 |
12.61 |
1.45 |
1.92 |
55 |
21 |
11 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.5 |
11.30 |
1.56 |
3.26 |
19 |
22 |
19 |
15 |
11 |
8 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.0 |
10.52 |
1.62 |
4.19 |
8 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
15 |
14 |
12 |
2 |
0 |
4 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.0 |
10.48 |
1.62 |
4.24 |
8 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
15 |
12 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
4.5 |
10.22 |
1.57 |
4.54 |
5 |
12 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
14 |
3 |
1 |
6 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.5 |
9.98 |
1.56 |
4.82 |
4 |
9 |
13 |
16 |
18 |
19 |
18 |
3 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.5 |
9.59 |
1.53 |
5.29 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
13 |
17 |
21 |
25 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
2.5 |
5.76 |
1.45 |
8.54 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
38 |
41 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2.0 |
5.71 |
1.50 |
8.59 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
38 |
38 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
3.83 |
1.54 |
9.60 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
19 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.16h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-05 18:34 |
42 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-05 19:44 |
43 |
Monolith 2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-05 20:53 |
44 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-05 22:03 |
45 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 23:13 |
46 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 00:22 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 01:32 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 02:41 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 03:51 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 05:01 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 06:10 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 07:20 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 08:30 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 09:39 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:49 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 11:58 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 13:08 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 14:18 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 15:27 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 16:37 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:47 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:56 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 20:06 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 21:15 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 22:25 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 23:35 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 00:44 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 01:54 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 03:04 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 04:13 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 05:23 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 06:32 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 07:42 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 08:52 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 10:01 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 11:11 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 12:21 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 13:30 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 14:40 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 15:49 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 16:59 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 18:09 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 19:18 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 20:28 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 21:38 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 22:47 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 23:57 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 01:06 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 02:16 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |