For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
60.113% |
23.346% |
|
83.459% |
|
9.712% |
4.129% |
1.799% |
0.698% |
0.202% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.443% |
26.034% |
|
46.477% |
|
20.197% |
14.062% |
9.675% |
6.208% |
3.315% |
0.064% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.674% |
14.066% |
|
18.740% |
|
19.691% |
19.432% |
17.051% |
14.478% |
10.166% |
0.417% |
0.025% |
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
7.200% |
14.208% |
|
21.408% |
|
16.323% |
18.027% |
16.789% |
14.764% |
12.205% |
0.458% |
0.026% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.656% |
8.328% |
|
10.984% |
|
13.082% |
17.066% |
20.070% |
20.115% |
16.985% |
1.535% |
0.163% |
|
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
2.918% |
7.741% |
|
10.659% |
|
10.910% |
13.909% |
16.805% |
20.468% |
25.020% |
2.054% |
0.175% |
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.996% |
6.276% |
|
8.272% |
|
10.071% |
13.319% |
17.545% |
22.140% |
25.786% |
2.532% |
0.334% |
0.001% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.007% |
0.031% |
0.144% |
0.688% |
4.007% |
59.005% |
35.134% |
0.983% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.025% |
0.122% |
0.441% |
2.314% |
33.590% |
60.544% |
2.957% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.344% |
3.597% |
96.059% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.912% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.389% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.332% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
10.478% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
6.765% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.981% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.644% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.159% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.302% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.113% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
34.301% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.637% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.415% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.881% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.589% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.635% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.256% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.121% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.647% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.629% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – Asymptote 0.8 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
60.653% |
23.455% |
|
84.108% |
|
9.319% |
3.956% |
1.733% |
0.694% |
0.189% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.578% |
24.892% |
|
45.470% |
|
20.276% |
14.519% |
10.162% |
6.248% |
3.243% |
0.079% |
0.003% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
7.947% |
17.648% |
|
25.595% |
|
19.791% |
18.676% |
15.988% |
12.088% |
7.506% |
0.334% |
0.022% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.443% |
13.679% |
|
18.122% |
|
19.077% |
20.251% |
17.791% |
14.444% |
9.853% |
0.430% |
0.032% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.777% |
9.402% |
|
12.179% |
|
13.447% |
16.032% |
18.294% |
19.867% |
18.600% |
1.428% |
0.151% |
0.002% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.990% |
6.182% |
|
8.172% |
|
9.901% |
13.686% |
17.114% |
21.990% |
26.092% |
2.707% |
0.338% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.611% |
4.737% |
|
6.348% |
|
8.175% |
12.812% |
18.721% |
23.757% |
28.795% |
1.302% |
0.090% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.007% |
0.043% |
0.106% |
0.534% |
3.683% |
59.516% |
35.151% |
0.957% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
0.001% |
0.002% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.007% |
0.025% |
0.091% |
0.378% |
2.038% |
33.860% |
60.872% |
2.726% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.343% |
3.341% |
96.315% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.097% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
13.890% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.748% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.971% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
7.686% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.649% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.572% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.355% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.184% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.148% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
33.845% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
18.462% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.993% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.862% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.692% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.332% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.248% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.976% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.819% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.400% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – Asymptote 0.8 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
60.690% |
23.413% |
|
84.103% |
|
9.289% |
4.103% |
1.675% |
0.655% |
0.173% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
21.196% |
26.268% |
|
47.464% |
|
19.456% |
13.480% |
9.499% |
6.535% |
3.487% |
0.077% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.665% |
14.432% |
|
19.097% |
|
20.043% |
19.038% |
16.677% |
14.052% |
10.625% |
0.447% |
0.021% |
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
6.704% |
14.174% |
|
20.878% |
|
17.624% |
19.506% |
17.535% |
14.283% |
9.856% |
0.305% |
0.013% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.677% |
8.637% |
|
11.314% |
|
13.067% |
16.609% |
19.952% |
20.270% |
17.209% |
1.426% |
0.152% |
0.001% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
2.010% |
6.554% |
|
8.564% |
|
10.246% |
13.831% |
17.553% |
21.875% |
26.066% |
1.731% |
0.134% |
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.058% |
6.522% |
|
8.580% |
|
10.263% |
13.384% |
16.880% |
21.314% |
26.606% |
2.616% |
0.356% |
0.001% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.008% |
0.029% |
0.140% |
0.612% |
3.873% |
59.563% |
34.861% |
0.914% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.020% |
0.089% |
0.404% |
2.104% |
33.479% |
61.104% |
2.796% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.354% |
3.357% |
96.288% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
21.655% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.027% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.625% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
10.476% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
7.021% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.963% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.950% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.893% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.300% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.222% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
35.682% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.369% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.803% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.230% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.041% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.978% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.095% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.208% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.703% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.502% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – Asymptote 0.8 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
54.533% |
25.333% |
|
79.866% |
|
12.446% |
5.031% |
1.925% |
0.595% |
0.134% |
0.003% |
|
|
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
17.808% |
25.360% |
|
43.168% |
|
22.048% |
17.343% |
10.267% |
5.394% |
1.740% |
0.038% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
18.951% |
23.851% |
|
42.802% |
|
23.363% |
15.884% |
9.658% |
5.501% |
2.727% |
0.063% |
0.002% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.337% |
12.340% |
|
16.677% |
|
17.743% |
21.237% |
19.917% |
15.574% |
8.416% |
0.407% |
0.029% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.145% |
6.523% |
|
8.668% |
|
11.832% |
19.552% |
24.955% |
20.276% |
13.341% |
1.217% |
0.159% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.811% |
5.085% |
|
6.896% |
|
8.892% |
13.729% |
19.679% |
27.769% |
20.412% |
2.299% |
0.324% |
|
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
0.415% |
1.508% |
|
1.923% |
|
3.669% |
7.165% |
13.279% |
23.408% |
44.788% |
5.146% |
0.622% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.034% |
0.183% |
0.932% |
5.524% |
57.551% |
34.819% |
0.953% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.025% |
0.137% |
0.551% |
2.917% |
32.932% |
60.483% |
2.952% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.344% |
3.560% |
96.095% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
18.918% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.803% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.222% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.517% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.519% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.016% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
4.784% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.249% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.517% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.867% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
29.435% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
28.025% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.211% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.265% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.643% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.336% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.709% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.111% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.282% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.280% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.0 |
12.60 |
1.45 |
1.93 |
54 |
21 |
12 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.5 |
11.31 |
1.56 |
3.25 |
19 |
22 |
19 |
15 |
12 |
8 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.0 |
10.51 |
1.63 |
4.22 |
8 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
14 |
12 |
2 |
0 |
4 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.0 |
10.50 |
1.61 |
4.24 |
8 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
15 |
12 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
4.5 |
10.21 |
1.57 |
4.58 |
5 |
11 |
15 |
17 |
17 |
17 |
14 |
3 |
1 |
6 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.5 |
10.01 |
1.55 |
4.82 |
4 |
10 |
13 |
15 |
17 |
19 |
18 |
4 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.5 |
9.61 |
1.53 |
5.30 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
13 |
17 |
21 |
24 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
6.30 |
1.39 |
8.26 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
48 |
36 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
2.5 |
5.80 |
1.46 |
8.56 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
32 |
51 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
3.15 |
1.37 |
9.85 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.16h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-05 19:34 |
43 |
Monolith 2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-05 20:44 |
44 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-05 21:53 |
45 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 23:02 |
46 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 00:12 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 01:21 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 02:31 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 03:40 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 04:49 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 05:59 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 07:08 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 08:18 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 09:27 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:36 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 11:46 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 12:55 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 14:05 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 15:14 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 16:23 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:33 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:42 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 19:51 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 21:01 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 22:10 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 23:20 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 00:29 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 01:38 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 02:48 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 03:57 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 05:07 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 06:16 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 07:25 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 08:35 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 09:44 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 10:54 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 12:03 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 13:12 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 14:22 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 15:31 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 16:41 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 17:50 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 18:59 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 20:09 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 21:18 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 22:28 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 23:37 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 00:46 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 01:56 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |