For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
60.677% |
23.348% |
|
84.025% |
|
9.428% |
3.918% |
1.715% |
0.709% |
0.203% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.395% |
24.939% |
|
45.334% |
|
20.330% |
14.811% |
10.011% |
6.286% |
3.153% |
0.073% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
8.018% |
17.820% |
|
25.838% |
|
19.485% |
18.893% |
15.996% |
12.117% |
7.316% |
0.330% |
0.025% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.532% |
13.531% |
|
18.063% |
|
19.179% |
20.091% |
18.220% |
14.135% |
9.895% |
0.389% |
0.028% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.827% |
9.378% |
|
12.205% |
|
13.468% |
15.938% |
18.147% |
19.868% |
18.772% |
1.438% |
0.163% |
0.001% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.868% |
6.153% |
|
8.021% |
|
9.846% |
13.520% |
17.134% |
22.344% |
26.045% |
2.740% |
0.349% |
0.001% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.683% |
4.829% |
|
6.512% |
|
8.254% |
12.781% |
18.580% |
23.576% |
28.938% |
1.261% |
0.098% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.005% |
0.022% |
0.115% |
0.613% |
3.621% |
59.143% |
35.532% |
0.948% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.005% |
0.026% |
0.082% |
0.352% |
2.054% |
34.276% |
60.389% |
2.815% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.348% |
3.414% |
96.235% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.223% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.040% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.506% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.826% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
7.646% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.671% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.606% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.335% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.123% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.118% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
33.729% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
18.711% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.925% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.824% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.569% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.266% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.241% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.986% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.818% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.355% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
59.646% |
23.231% |
|
82.877% |
|
9.538% |
4.469% |
2.039% |
0.823% |
0.250% |
0.004% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.912% |
23.367% |
|
43.279% |
|
19.738% |
14.811% |
11.115% |
7.238% |
3.767% |
0.052% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
7.548% |
16.332% |
|
23.880% |
|
18.148% |
18.295% |
16.849% |
13.908% |
8.595% |
0.314% |
0.011% |
|
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
5.013% |
14.593% |
|
19.606% |
|
19.085% |
19.199% |
17.572% |
14.795% |
9.534% |
0.203% |
0.006% |
|
5. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.520% |
12.702% |
|
17.222% |
|
17.313% |
19.118% |
18.825% |
15.861% |
11.303% |
0.346% |
0.012% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.772% |
5.153% |
|
6.925% |
|
8.744% |
12.509% |
17.011% |
23.448% |
28.712% |
2.459% |
0.192% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.589% |
4.621% |
|
6.210% |
|
7.428% |
11.569% |
16.476% |
23.393% |
33.763% |
1.114% |
0.047% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.029% |
0.105% |
0.494% |
3.517% |
70.526% |
24.461% |
0.862% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
|
0.001% |
0.008% |
0.040% |
0.556% |
24.513% |
70.243% |
4.638% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.469% |
5.028% |
94.500% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.358% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.972% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
12.526% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
11.841% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.044% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.315% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.717% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.159% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.102% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.064% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
31.330% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
16.841% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.943% |
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.108% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.614% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.040% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.839% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.083% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.750% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.226% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
61.573% |
23.283% |
|
84.856% |
|
9.041% |
3.851% |
1.550% |
0.526% |
0.174% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.595% |
26.001% |
|
46.596% |
|
20.678% |
14.368% |
9.607% |
5.846% |
2.826% |
0.077% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
8.257% |
18.884% |
|
27.141% |
|
20.246% |
19.017% |
15.152% |
11.272% |
6.782% |
0.368% |
0.022% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.540% |
14.329% |
|
18.869% |
|
20.177% |
20.589% |
17.398% |
13.365% |
9.123% |
0.455% |
0.024% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.309% |
5.639% |
|
6.948% |
|
10.481% |
14.667% |
19.060% |
22.913% |
24.006% |
1.769% |
0.156% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.035% |
6.841% |
|
8.876% |
|
10.754% |
14.012% |
17.195% |
21.338% |
24.628% |
2.806% |
0.390% |
0.001% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.690% |
5.022% |
|
6.712% |
|
8.615% |
13.431% |
19.759% |
23.651% |
26.317% |
1.386% |
0.129% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.041% |
0.170% |
0.672% |
3.730% |
54.062% |
40.345% |
0.977% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
0.001% |
0.001% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.005% |
0.024% |
0.109% |
0.417% |
2.412% |
38.840% |
56.564% |
1.627% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.235% |
2.368% |
97.395% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
21.393% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
15.141% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.898% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.627% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.243% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.794% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
4.653% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.515% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.313% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.196% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
35.291% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
19.935% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.746% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.243% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.211% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.509% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.429% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.063% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.567% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.232% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
61.768% |
23.582% |
|
85.350% |
|
8.964% |
3.678% |
1.418% |
0.477% |
0.109% |
0.004% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.965% |
26.699% |
|
47.664% |
|
21.257% |
14.588% |
9.234% |
5.042% |
2.062% |
0.146% |
0.007% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
8.252% |
19.875% |
|
28.127% |
|
21.338% |
19.922% |
15.162% |
9.702% |
5.099% |
0.599% |
0.051% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.717% |
14.743% |
|
19.460% |
|
21.714% |
21.967% |
17.228% |
12.065% |
6.767% |
0.735% |
0.064% |
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.203% |
7.778% |
|
9.981% |
|
12.379% |
15.594% |
18.531% |
19.789% |
19.294% |
3.673% |
0.757% |
0.002% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.694% |
5.034% |
|
6.728% |
|
8.916% |
14.874% |
22.900% |
26.353% |
17.849% |
2.142% |
0.238% |
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.400% |
2.270% |
|
2.670% |
|
5.359% |
9.102% |
14.521% |
23.030% |
33.812% |
9.838% |
1.665% |
0.003% |
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
0.001% |
0.014% |
|
0.015% |
|
0.058% |
0.221% |
0.772% |
2.689% |
10.997% |
48.833% |
35.972% |
0.443% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.005% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.015% |
0.054% |
0.234% |
0.853% |
4.010% |
33.904% |
59.851% |
1.074% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.126% |
1.395% |
98.478% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
22.257% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
15.956% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.253% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.090% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.077% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.837% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.543% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.439% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.349% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.223% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
36.510% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
20.793% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.313% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.232% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.788% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.483% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.150% |
8. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.005% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.608% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.257% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.0 |
12.60 |
1.45 |
1.92 |
55 |
21 |
11 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.5 |
11.30 |
1.57 |
3.26 |
19 |
22 |
18 |
15 |
11 |
8 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.5 |
10.71 |
1.41 |
3.95 |
8 |
17 |
19 |
19 |
16 |
13 |
8 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.0 |
10.54 |
1.63 |
4.19 |
8 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
15 |
14 |
12 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
4.5 |
10.24 |
1.57 |
4.54 |
5 |
12 |
15 |
17 |
17 |
17 |
14 |
3 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.0 |
9.75 |
1.48 |
5.14 |
2 |
7 |
11 |
14 |
18 |
21 |
21 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.5 |
9.60 |
1.53 |
5.32 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
13 |
17 |
21 |
25 |
6 |
1 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
6.32 |
1.40 |
8.26 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
48 |
35 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
2.5 |
5.79 |
1.45 |
8.56 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
32 |
52 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
3.15 |
1.38 |
9.85 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.16h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-05 20:48 |
44 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-05 21:58 |
45 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 23:07 |
46 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 00:17 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 01:26 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 02:36 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 03:45 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 04:55 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 06:04 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 07:14 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 08:23 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 09:33 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:42 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 11:52 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 13:01 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 14:11 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 15:20 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 16:30 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:39 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:49 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 19:58 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 21:08 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 22:17 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 23:27 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 00:36 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 01:46 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 02:55 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 04:05 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 05:14 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 06:24 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 07:33 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 08:43 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 09:52 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 11:02 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 12:11 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 13:21 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 14:30 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 15:40 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 16:49 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 17:59 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 19:08 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 20:18 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 21:27 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 22:37 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 23:46 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 00:56 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 02:05 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |