For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
61.515% |
23.433% |
|
84.948% |
|
9.171% |
3.668% |
1.483% |
0.572% |
0.156% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.654% |
25.942% |
|
46.596% |
|
20.513% |
14.577% |
9.474% |
5.867% |
2.889% |
0.080% |
0.004% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
8.106% |
18.928% |
|
27.034% |
|
20.581% |
19.077% |
15.225% |
11.072% |
6.631% |
0.352% |
0.028% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.603% |
14.101% |
|
18.704% |
|
19.962% |
20.615% |
17.640% |
13.392% |
9.184% |
0.454% |
0.049% |
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.152% |
6.901% |
|
9.053% |
|
10.737% |
13.949% |
17.230% |
21.280% |
24.607% |
2.693% |
0.450% |
0.001% |
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.312% |
5.759% |
|
7.071% |
|
10.405% |
14.667% |
18.824% |
23.077% |
23.957% |
1.822% |
0.177% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.658% |
4.934% |
|
6.592% |
|
8.615% |
13.380% |
19.841% |
23.707% |
26.380% |
1.372% |
0.113% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.006% |
0.036% |
0.175% |
0.632% |
3.752% |
54.206% |
40.205% |
0.987% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.010% |
0.031% |
0.108% |
0.401% |
2.442% |
38.798% |
56.573% |
1.636% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.221% |
2.401% |
97.376% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
21.392% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
15.104% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.960% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.463% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.306% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.742% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
4.710% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.538% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.278% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.269% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
35.352% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
19.846% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.672% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.395% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.230% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.547% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.451% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.026% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.575% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.189% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – FabChess 1.14.2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
61.026% |
23.292% |
|
84.318% |
|
9.499% |
3.897% |
1.530% |
0.579% |
0.176% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.534% |
25.271% |
|
45.805% |
|
20.661% |
15.119% |
9.781% |
5.776% |
2.792% |
0.064% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
8.183% |
18.547% |
|
26.730% |
|
20.194% |
18.890% |
15.494% |
11.446% |
6.835% |
0.382% |
0.029% |
|
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
6.234% |
16.677% |
|
22.911% |
|
20.428% |
19.493% |
16.351% |
12.334% |
7.882% |
0.553% |
0.048% |
|
5. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.985% |
4.713% |
|
5.698% |
|
9.680% |
15.030% |
20.642% |
23.943% |
23.407% |
1.458% |
0.142% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.717% |
5.167% |
|
6.884% |
|
8.763% |
13.231% |
18.759% |
23.792% |
27.010% |
1.408% |
0.152% |
0.001% |
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.321% |
6.329% |
|
7.650% |
|
10.759% |
14.287% |
17.198% |
21.194% |
26.793% |
1.939% |
0.180% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.013% |
0.031% |
0.134% |
0.526% |
2.887% |
54.872% |
40.527% |
1.008% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.003% |
0.022% |
0.111% |
0.410% |
2.215% |
39.089% |
56.583% |
1.565% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.234% |
2.337% |
97.426% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.571% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.792% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.474% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
12.969% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
5.234% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.595% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.770% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.686% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.345% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.699% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
34.045% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
19.387% |
3. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
16.314% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.770% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.610% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.512% |
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.188% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.177% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.553% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.198% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – FabChess 1.14.2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
62.059% |
23.305% |
|
85.364% |
|
8.767% |
3.612% |
1.507% |
0.584% |
0.164% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
21.061% |
26.388% |
|
47.449% |
|
20.474% |
13.792% |
9.351% |
5.807% |
3.053% |
0.073% |
0.001% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
8.346% |
19.226% |
|
27.572% |
|
19.999% |
18.447% |
15.188% |
11.373% |
7.028% |
0.368% |
0.025% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
3.815% |
13.972% |
|
17.787% |
|
20.848% |
21.890% |
18.185% |
13.239% |
7.734% |
0.306% |
0.011% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.321% |
5.877% |
|
7.198% |
|
10.759% |
14.702% |
18.485% |
22.235% |
24.611% |
1.842% |
0.168% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.641% |
6.117% |
|
7.758% |
|
10.352% |
14.375% |
18.136% |
22.206% |
24.523% |
2.354% |
0.296% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.756% |
5.111% |
|
6.867% |
|
8.786% |
13.125% |
18.886% |
23.560% |
27.306% |
1.352% |
0.118% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.001% |
0.003% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.010% |
0.033% |
0.159% |
0.606% |
3.332% |
53.974% |
40.790% |
1.092% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.005% |
0.024% |
0.103% |
0.390% |
2.246% |
39.469% |
56.113% |
1.649% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.260% |
2.478% |
97.259% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
22.107% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
15.527% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.200% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.307% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.912% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
4.823% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.657% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.636% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.401% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.304% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
36.307% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
20.439% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.111% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.504% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.380% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.705% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.621% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.847% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.303% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.256% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – FabChess 1.14.2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
58.717% |
23.738% |
|
82.455% |
|
10.370% |
4.620% |
1.820% |
0.606% |
0.127% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.629% |
23.790% |
|
43.419% |
|
20.811% |
16.370% |
10.920% |
5.998% |
2.410% |
0.070% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
11.542% |
26.414% |
|
37.956% |
|
27.374% |
19.644% |
9.824% |
4.042% |
1.127% |
0.033% |
|
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
7.381% |
16.430% |
|
23.811% |
|
21.244% |
22.369% |
16.462% |
10.300% |
5.448% |
0.343% |
0.023% |
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.378% |
3.990% |
|
5.368% |
|
8.147% |
15.077% |
24.424% |
24.151% |
21.382% |
1.332% |
0.118% |
0.001% |
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.121% |
4.438% |
|
5.559% |
|
8.995% |
14.653% |
22.575% |
28.889% |
17.640% |
1.534% |
0.155% |
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.232% |
1.200% |
|
1.432% |
|
3.050% |
7.222% |
13.688% |
24.474% |
42.066% |
6.666% |
1.399% |
0.003% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.031% |
0.177% |
0.931% |
6.216% |
51.383% |
40.200% |
1.058% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.014% |
0.110% |
0.609% |
3.582% |
38.413% |
55.613% |
1.654% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.224% |
2.490% |
97.284% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
21.332% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.531% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.526% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
12.167% |
5. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.606% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.245% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.159% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
3.372% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.555% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.519% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
31.057% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
26.938% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
16.412% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.714% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.824% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.783% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.301% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.832% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.923% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
0.875% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.0 |
12.64 |
1.45 |
1.85 |
57 |
21 |
11 |
6 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.5 |
11.30 |
1.57 |
3.20 |
20 |
23 |
19 |
15 |
11 |
8 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.5 |
10.72 |
1.41 |
3.86 |
8 |
18 |
20 |
19 |
16 |
12 |
7 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.0 |
10.53 |
1.62 |
4.13 |
8 |
16 |
17 |
16 |
15 |
13 |
11 |
3 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
5.0 |
9.78 |
1.47 |
5.04 |
2 |
7 |
12 |
15 |
19 |
20 |
19 |
5 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.0 |
9.76 |
1.49 |
5.07 |
3 |
7 |
12 |
15 |
18 |
20 |
20 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.5 |
9.62 |
1.53 |
5.23 |
2 |
7 |
10 |
14 |
17 |
20 |
22 |
6 |
1 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
6.33 |
1.39 |
8.31 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
41 |
42 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
3.0 |
6.18 |
1.37 |
8.42 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
37 |
47 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
3.14 |
1.38 |
9.88 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.16h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-05 21:52 |
45 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 23:01 |
46 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 00:11 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 01:20 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 02:29 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 03:39 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 04:48 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 05:58 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 07:07 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 08:16 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 09:26 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:35 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 11:44 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 12:54 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 14:03 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 15:13 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 16:22 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:31 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:41 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 19:50 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 20:59 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 22:09 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 23:18 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 00:28 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 01:37 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 02:46 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 03:56 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 05:05 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 06:14 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 07:24 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 08:33 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 09:43 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 10:52 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 12:01 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 13:11 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 14:20 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 15:29 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 16:39 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 17:48 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 18:58 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 20:07 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 21:16 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 22:26 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 23:35 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 00:44 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 01:54 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |