For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
62.163% |
23.252% |
|
85.415% |
|
8.759% |
3.509% |
1.492% |
0.610% |
0.215% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
21.026% |
26.362% |
|
47.388% |
|
20.374% |
14.038% |
9.207% |
5.932% |
2.968% |
0.089% |
0.004% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
8.357% |
19.424% |
|
27.781% |
|
20.166% |
18.303% |
15.052% |
11.281% |
7.024% |
0.372% |
0.021% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
3.817% |
13.702% |
|
17.519% |
|
20.882% |
22.029% |
18.399% |
13.300% |
7.563% |
0.298% |
0.010% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.315% |
6.058% |
|
7.373% |
|
10.755% |
14.621% |
18.212% |
22.454% |
24.628% |
1.795% |
0.161% |
0.001% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.626% |
6.024% |
|
7.650% |
|
10.432% |
14.323% |
18.177% |
22.137% |
24.568% |
2.364% |
0.349% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.696% |
5.176% |
|
6.872% |
|
8.616% |
13.125% |
19.226% |
23.300% |
27.351% |
1.402% |
0.108% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.010% |
0.032% |
0.132% |
0.565% |
3.340% |
54.193% |
40.763% |
0.963% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.020% |
0.103% |
0.421% |
2.340% |
39.242% |
56.268% |
1.600% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.245% |
2.316% |
97.436% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
22.063% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
15.694% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.421% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.144% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
4.997% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.861% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.576% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.687% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.309% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.290% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
36.484% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
20.555% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.827% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.551% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.388% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.608% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.599% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.803% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.275% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.230% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – Counter 3.5dev 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
86.714% |
10.152% |
|
96.866% |
|
2.224% |
0.634% |
0.203% |
0.060% |
0.013% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.810% |
25.515% |
|
30.325% |
|
21.848% |
17.508% |
13.437% |
10.287% |
6.243% |
0.334% |
0.018% |
|
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
3.376% |
22.605% |
|
25.981% |
|
22.382% |
18.904% |
14.708% |
11.135% |
6.658% |
0.222% |
0.010% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.411% |
19.310% |
|
21.721% |
|
20.312% |
20.083% |
17.058% |
12.753% |
7.757% |
0.306% |
0.010% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.669% |
7.784% |
|
8.453% |
|
11.673% |
14.760% |
17.944% |
21.033% |
24.135% |
1.829% |
0.173% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.911% |
8.073% |
|
8.984% |
|
11.395% |
14.189% |
17.785% |
21.252% |
23.754% |
2.318% |
0.323% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.109% |
6.556% |
|
7.665% |
|
10.150% |
13.849% |
18.585% |
22.386% |
25.838% |
1.424% |
0.102% |
0.001% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.008% |
0.048% |
0.164% |
0.661% |
3.242% |
54.134% |
40.759% |
0.982% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.008% |
0.025% |
0.116% |
0.433% |
2.359% |
39.164% |
56.238% |
1.654% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.269% |
2.367% |
97.363% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
24.639% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
21.948% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
18.794% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.733% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
7.547% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.048% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.858% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.553% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.699% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.907% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
28.497% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
24.501% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
20.493% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.408% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.007% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.955% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
0.668% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.490% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.356% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
0.299% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – Counter 3.5dev 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
58.539% |
25.846% |
|
84.385% |
|
9.653% |
3.780% |
1.513% |
0.521% |
0.147% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
22.905% |
28.348% |
|
51.253% |
|
20.678% |
13.409% |
8.145% |
4.542% |
1.932% |
0.041% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
9.079% |
17.821% |
|
26.900% |
|
19.705% |
18.735% |
15.490% |
11.645% |
7.089% |
0.412% |
0.023% |
0.001% |
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.228% |
12.091% |
|
16.319% |
|
20.749% |
22.710% |
18.737% |
13.508% |
7.664% |
0.298% |
0.015% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.484% |
5.522% |
|
7.006% |
|
10.582% |
14.484% |
18.287% |
22.552% |
25.128% |
1.788% |
0.173% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.828% |
5.573% |
|
7.401% |
|
10.258% |
14.041% |
18.170% |
22.440% |
25.004% |
2.387% |
0.298% |
0.001% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.937% |
4.799% |
|
6.736% |
|
8.363% |
12.769% |
19.415% |
23.743% |
27.594% |
1.274% |
0.106% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.043% |
0.132% |
0.641% |
3.261% |
54.625% |
40.274% |
1.017% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.029% |
0.111% |
0.408% |
2.178% |
38.938% |
56.713% |
1.618% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.236% |
2.398% |
97.363% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
23.554% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
16.067% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
13.811% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.452% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.366% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
4.391% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.038% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.293% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.527% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.455% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
39.621% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
19.177% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.311% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.982% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.977% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.963% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.336% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.885% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.381% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.293% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – Counter 3.5dev 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
56.989% |
22.535% |
|
79.524% |
|
10.842% |
5.356% |
2.705% |
1.193% |
0.377% |
0.003% |
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
24.067% |
37.378% |
|
61.445% |
|
20.423% |
10.004% |
5.013% |
2.271% |
0.832% |
0.012% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
9.513% |
14.893% |
|
24.406% |
|
19.796% |
19.453% |
16.126% |
12.255% |
7.561% |
0.372% |
0.031% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.229% |
10.911% |
|
15.140% |
|
20.978% |
23.430% |
18.753% |
13.600% |
7.768% |
0.320% |
0.011% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.616% |
4.435% |
|
6.051% |
|
10.205% |
14.637% |
19.158% |
22.907% |
25.086% |
1.790% |
0.165% |
0.001% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.703% |
5.186% |
|
6.889% |
|
9.956% |
14.076% |
18.524% |
22.889% |
24.954% |
2.411% |
0.301% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.883% |
4.662% |
|
6.545% |
|
7.788% |
12.975% |
19.462% |
23.895% |
27.818% |
1.393% |
0.123% |
0.001% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.008% |
0.041% |
0.153% |
0.604% |
3.262% |
54.484% |
40.440% |
1.008% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.028% |
0.106% |
0.386% |
2.339% |
38.974% |
56.594% |
1.569% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.241% |
2.335% |
97.421% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
33.267% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
11.884% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.050% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.194% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.042% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.222% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.282% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.069% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.772% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.424% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
45.151% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.092% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.067% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.290% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.095% |
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.919% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.806% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.313% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.764% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.734% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.0 |
12.64 |
1.45 |
1.82 |
58 |
20 |
10 |
6 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.5 |
11.30 |
1.57 |
3.18 |
20 |
24 |
18 |
14 |
11 |
8 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.5 |
10.71 |
1.42 |
3.87 |
8 |
18 |
20 |
18 |
15 |
12 |
8 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.5 |
10.51 |
1.48 |
4.13 |
7 |
16 |
18 |
17 |
16 |
14 |
10 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
5.0 |
9.79 |
1.47 |
5.04 |
2 |
8 |
12 |
15 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
5 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.0 |
9.77 |
1.49 |
5.06 |
3 |
8 |
12 |
15 |
18 |
20 |
20 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.0 |
9.63 |
1.40 |
5.26 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
14 |
18 |
22 |
22 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
6.32 |
1.40 |
8.34 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
41 |
42 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
3.0 |
6.19 |
1.36 |
8.43 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
38 |
47 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
3.13 |
1.38 |
9.88 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.16h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-05 23:12 |
46 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 00:21 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 01:31 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 02:40 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 03:50 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 05:00 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 06:09 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 07:19 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 08:28 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 09:38 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:48 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 11:57 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 13:07 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 14:16 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 15:26 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 16:36 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:45 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:55 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 20:04 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 21:14 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 22:24 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 23:33 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 00:43 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 01:52 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 03:02 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 04:12 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 05:21 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 06:31 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 07:40 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 08:50 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 10:00 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 11:09 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 12:19 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 13:28 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 14:38 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 15:48 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 16:57 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 18:07 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 19:16 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 20:26 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 21:36 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 22:45 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 23:55 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 01:04 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 02:14 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |