For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
56.919% |
22.168% |
|
79.087% |
|
11.046% |
5.580% |
2.705% |
1.197% |
0.380% |
0.005% |
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
24.216% |
37.405% |
|
61.621% |
|
20.260% |
10.005% |
5.034% |
2.296% |
0.776% |
0.008% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
9.258% |
15.132% |
|
24.390% |
|
19.729% |
19.445% |
16.282% |
12.128% |
7.590% |
0.399% |
0.037% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.303% |
11.073% |
|
15.376% |
|
20.935% |
23.066% |
19.122% |
13.422% |
7.731% |
0.332% |
0.016% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.590% |
4.393% |
|
5.983% |
|
10.137% |
14.631% |
18.991% |
23.102% |
25.177% |
1.810% |
0.169% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.792% |
5.189% |
|
6.981% |
|
9.987% |
14.152% |
18.073% |
22.768% |
25.418% |
2.314% |
0.307% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.922% |
4.639% |
|
6.561% |
|
7.898% |
13.062% |
19.563% |
24.097% |
27.308% |
1.386% |
0.125% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.005% |
0.037% |
0.139% |
0.596% |
3.334% |
54.051% |
40.858% |
0.979% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.022% |
0.091% |
0.394% |
2.282% |
39.459% |
56.123% |
1.626% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.236% |
2.365% |
97.395% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
33.266% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
11.771% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.068% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.185% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.849% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.337% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.299% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.160% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.697% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.404% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
45.037% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
13.917% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.014% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.368% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.135% |
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.068% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.729% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.255% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.755% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.726% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – Counter 3.5dev 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
40.786% |
26.362% |
|
67.148% |
|
16.286% |
9.018% |
4.683% |
2.132% |
0.728% |
0.005% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
29.433% |
25.350% |
|
54.783% |
|
18.574% |
12.516% |
7.914% |
4.417% |
1.768% |
0.027% |
0.001% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
14.035% |
18.244% |
|
32.279% |
|
18.160% |
16.628% |
14.390% |
11.125% |
7.022% |
0.370% |
0.026% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
7.429% |
13.022% |
|
20.451% |
|
18.642% |
21.490% |
18.300% |
13.229% |
7.561% |
0.312% |
0.015% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.428% |
5.709% |
|
8.137% |
|
10.292% |
14.140% |
18.089% |
22.303% |
25.009% |
1.860% |
0.166% |
0.004% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.928% |
6.138% |
|
9.066% |
|
9.776% |
13.637% |
17.712% |
22.153% |
24.966% |
2.396% |
0.294% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.961% |
5.172% |
|
8.133% |
|
8.261% |
12.506% |
18.657% |
23.614% |
27.330% |
1.359% |
0.139% |
0.001% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.005% |
0.037% |
0.151% |
0.589% |
3.351% |
53.608% |
38.412% |
3.845% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.004% |
0.028% |
0.103% |
0.438% |
2.251% |
38.908% |
53.237% |
5.030% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.014% |
1.155% |
7.710% |
91.120% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
16.800% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
13.787% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
11.108% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.678% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.891% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.567% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.896% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.704% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
3.191% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.881% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
30.587% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.675% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.595% |
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.768% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.048% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.939% |
7. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.770% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.407% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.762% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.697% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – Counter 3.5dev 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
48.027% |
25.256% |
|
73.283% |
|
13.875% |
7.122% |
3.590% |
1.631% |
0.496% |
0.003% |
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
29.299% |
33.638% |
|
62.937% |
|
19.234% |
9.983% |
4.846% |
2.239% |
0.750% |
0.011% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
11.082% |
15.553% |
|
26.635% |
|
19.042% |
18.739% |
15.763% |
11.922% |
7.510% |
0.371% |
0.018% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
5.168% |
11.140% |
|
16.308% |
|
20.239% |
22.874% |
19.141% |
13.482% |
7.633% |
0.296% |
0.027% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.999% |
4.558% |
|
6.557% |
|
9.747% |
14.563% |
18.995% |
22.738% |
25.407% |
1.837% |
0.156% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.194% |
5.277% |
|
7.471% |
|
9.864% |
13.987% |
18.337% |
22.820% |
24.878% |
2.333% |
0.309% |
0.001% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.231% |
4.578% |
|
6.809% |
|
7.985% |
12.666% |
19.087% |
24.194% |
27.791% |
1.355% |
0.113% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.037% |
0.142% |
0.558% |
3.183% |
54.405% |
40.359% |
1.309% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.029% |
0.099% |
0.416% |
2.352% |
39.031% |
55.897% |
2.169% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.358% |
3.121% |
96.521% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
28.311% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
13.431% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.858% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.638% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.500% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.190% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.061% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.772% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.655% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.228% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
41.742% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
13.138% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.513% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.290% |
5. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.185% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.721% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.370% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.022% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.316% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.184% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – Counter 3.5dev 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
69.860% |
19.207% |
|
89.067% |
|
6.812% |
2.727% |
0.991% |
0.331% |
0.071% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
16.535% |
42.745% |
|
59.280% |
|
22.208% |
10.318% |
5.134% |
2.274% |
0.772% |
0.014% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
7.122% |
14.276% |
|
21.398% |
|
21.270% |
20.307% |
16.742% |
12.135% |
7.764% |
0.358% |
0.026% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
3.003% |
10.670% |
|
13.673% |
|
21.744% |
23.781% |
18.895% |
13.648% |
7.891% |
0.359% |
0.009% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.084% |
3.944% |
|
5.028% |
|
10.211% |
15.090% |
19.393% |
23.249% |
25.069% |
1.811% |
0.149% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.099% |
4.853% |
|
5.952% |
|
9.988% |
14.524% |
18.676% |
22.982% |
25.169% |
2.389% |
0.320% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.297% |
4.303% |
|
5.600% |
|
7.747% |
13.194% |
19.914% |
24.411% |
27.658% |
1.347% |
0.129% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.008% |
0.032% |
0.145% |
0.566% |
3.261% |
54.330% |
41.278% |
0.378% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.012% |
0.027% |
0.110% |
0.404% |
2.345% |
39.341% |
57.096% |
0.665% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.050% |
0.993% |
98.957% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
40.593% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.446% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.052% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.702% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.209% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.894% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.301% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.931% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.923% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.721% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
50.645% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.655% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.423% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.534% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.167% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.063% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.642% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.027% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.858% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.846% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.5 |
12.21 |
1.42 |
2.18 |
45 |
24 |
14 |
8 |
5 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.0 |
11.80 |
1.36 |
2.56 |
30 |
28 |
18 |
11 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.5 |
10.69 |
1.43 |
3.94 |
9 |
15 |
19 |
18 |
16 |
12 |
8 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.5 |
10.50 |
1.48 |
4.18 |
8 |
14 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
14 |
11 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
5.0 |
9.79 |
1.47 |
5.08 |
3 |
7 |
11 |
15 |
18 |
20 |
20 |
5 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.0 |
9.77 |
1.49 |
5.10 |
3 |
7 |
11 |
15 |
18 |
20 |
21 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.0 |
9.63 |
1.40 |
5.30 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
14 |
18 |
22 |
23 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
6.32 |
1.39 |
8.34 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
42 |
42 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
3.0 |
6.18 |
1.37 |
8.43 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
38 |
47 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
3.12 |
1.37 |
9.89 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.16h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 00:27 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 01:37 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 02:47 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 03:57 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 05:06 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 06:16 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 07:26 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 08:35 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 09:45 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:55 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 12:05 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 13:14 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 14:24 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 15:34 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 16:44 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:53 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 19:03 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 20:13 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 21:23 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 22:32 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 23:42 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 00:52 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 02:02 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 03:11 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 04:21 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 05:31 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 06:40 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 07:50 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 09:00 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 10:10 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 11:19 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 12:29 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 13:39 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 14:49 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 15:58 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:08 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 18:18 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 19:28 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 20:37 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 21:47 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 22:57 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-08 00:07 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 01:16 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 02:26 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |